Tennis · Billie Jean King Cup · 02/07, 17:10

Prediction: Ana Carmen Zamburek vs Juliana Rodriguez

Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 60% to Ana Carmen Zamburek; the market gives 91% to Ana Carmen Zamburek (odds 1.02).

Over their last 10 matches, Ana Carmen Zamburek sits at 6-4 (W-L), while Juliana Rodriguez arrives on a 3-7 run.

77%1
77% 23%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ana Carmen Zamburek 1523 · Juliana Rodriguez 1451
Ana Carmen ZamburekJuliana Rodriguez
Our model60%40%
Market91%9%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ana Carmen Zamburek (rating 1523 vs 1451).
  • Note: Ana Carmen Zamburek makes many double faults (4.1/match).

Statistics

Ana Carmen ZamburekJuliana Rodriguez
Win %50%30%
Win % · Clay 75% (4) 33% (6)
Sets (G-P)1.4-10.6-1.5
Games (G-P)12-9.26.4-10.3
Aces0.20.1
Double faults4.11.8
1st serve %61.4%47.6%
Break %60.6%34.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ana Carmen Zamburek

WWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
25/06 Ana Candiotto
W15 Asuncion · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
24/06 Josefina Estevez
W15 Asuncion · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
23/06 Maria F Herazo Gonzalez
W15 Asuncion · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
22/06 Martina Maria Bovio
W15 Asuncion · ~Clay
2-0 12-1 W
13/06 Briley Rhoden
UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
11/06 Juliette Nask
UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard
2-0 12-2 W
10/06 Kolie Allen
UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard
1-2 14-14 L
09/06 Shravani Chennamsetty
UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard
1-2 9-16 L
08/06 Cookie Jarvis-Tredgett
UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard
1-2 15-15 L
30/05 Isabel Adrover Gallego
UTR Pro San Luis Obispo Women · Hard
1-2 16-17 L

Juliana Rodriguez

LWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
01/07 Noelia Zeballos
Billie Jean King Cup
0-2 3-12 L
22/06 Agustina Soto Neira
W15 Asuncion · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
24/03 Victoria Luiza Barros
W15 Santiago
0-2 2-12 L
23/03 Mariana Soares
W15 Santiago
2-0 12-2 W
17/03 Catarina M I Melleiro Junior
W15 Santiago
0-2 6-12 L
05/12 Claudina Aiassa
UTR Pro Buenos Aires Women · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
04/12 Luciana Blatter
UTR Pro Buenos Aires Women · Clay
0-2 2-12 L
03/12 Martina Capurro Taborda
UTR Pro Buenos Aires Women · Clay
0-2 3-12 L
02/12 Carola Celina Sosa
UTR Pro Buenos Aires Women · Clay
2-1 16-10 W
01/12 Ana Victoria Gobbi Monllau
UTR Pro Buenos Aires Women · Clay
0-2 4-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ana Carmen Zamburek vs Juliana Rodriguez?

Our model gives 77% to Ana Carmen Zamburek, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.