Tennis · Challenger Brasov MD · 02/07, 09:30
Prediction: Duda/Latinovic vs Cervantes/Molchanov
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 52% to Duda/Latinovic; the market gives 50% to Duda/Latinovic (odds 1.83).
On recent form, Duda/Latinovic is 5-5 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Cervantes/Molchanov 4-6 over theirs.
51%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Duda/Latinovic 1537 · Cervantes/Molchanov 1521
| Duda/Latinovic | Cervantes/Molchanov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Duda/Latinovic | Cervantes/Molchanov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.3-13.1 | 13.9-13.7 |
| Aces | 3.4 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 73.1% | 75% |
| Break % | 40.9% | 47.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Duda/Latinovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Betov/Simakin Challenger Brasov MD · Clay |
2-1 | 11-8 | W |
| 05/06 | Gille/Verbeek Challenger Perugia MD · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 04/06 | Jecan/Pavel Challenger Perugia MD · Clay |
2-1 | 21-20 | W |
| 03/06 | Barrientos/Behar Challenger Perugia MD · Clay |
2-1 | 21-15 | W |
| 27/05 | Goldhoff/Winegar Challenger Chisinau MD · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/05 | Goldhoff/Winegar Challenger Istanbul MD · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/05 | Martos Gornes/Walkow Challenger Istanbul MD · Clay |
2-1 | 22-17 | W |
| 22/05 | Prashanth/Ramanathan Challenger Istanbul MD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/05 | Ingildsen/Paris Challenger Istanbul MD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/05 | Ivanisevic/Simundza Challenger Zagreb MD · Clay |
1-2 | 12-19 | L |
Cervantes/Molchanov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Cretu/Taylor Challenger Brasov MD · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 20/06 | Drzewiecki/Matuszewski Challenger Poznan MD · Clay |
1-2 | 16-23 | L |
| 18/06 | Karol/Serdarusic Challenger Poznan MD · Clay |
2-1 | 21-17 | W |
| 17/06 | Duda/Vrbensky Challenger Poznan MD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/06 | Drzewiecki/Matuszewski Challenger Bratislava MD · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 11/06 | Lammons/Withrow Challenger Bratislava MD · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/06 | Kolar/Poljak Challenger Bratislava MD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/06 | Lammons/Withrow Challenger Prostejov MD · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Kadhe/Zormann Challenger Chisinau MD · Clay |
1-2 | 15-20 | L |
| 22/05 | Goldhoff/Winegar Challenger Istanbul MD · Clay |
1-2 | 17-22 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Duda/Latinovic vs Cervantes/Molchanov?
Our model gives 51% to Duda/Latinovic, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.