Handball · Czechia Extraliga · 15/11, 17:00

Prediction: KH Koprivnice vs HK Lovosice

Team pages: KH Koprivnice · HK Lovosice

Prediction summary

Estimated points

58.5Total

KH Koprivnice27.9

HK Lovosice30.5

1X2

25% 75%

KH Koprivnice HK Lovosice

Markets

Under 62.5 points 75%

Recent form · 10 last

KH Koprivnice 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

WLLLLLLLLW

HK Lovosice 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWDLLWWWWW

Head-to-head

KH Koprivnice 0–6 HK Lovosice (6 last)

HK Lovosice33-30KH Koprivnice
KH Koprivnice27-38HK Lovosice
HK Lovosice31-25KH Koprivnice
KH Koprivnice28-37HK Lovosice
KH Koprivnice25-28HK Lovosice
HK Lovosice35-26KH Koprivnice

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · KH Koprivnice 1436 · HK Lovosice 1569

	KH Koprivnice	HK Lovosice
Our model	41%	59%
Market	14%	79%

Estimated total (ours) 58.5 points · Bet365 line 62.5 · -4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points58.5KH Koprivnice 27.9 · HK Lovosice 30.5

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours HK Lovosice (rating 1436 vs 1569).
HK Lovosice is a clear favourite (75% market).
H2H favours HK Lovosice: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	KH Koprivnice	HK Lovosice
Points F\|A (Last 10)	26.2 / 29.8	31.8 / 28.4
Points F\|A (Last 5)	27.2 / 30.4	32.4 / 27.6
Est. result	28	31

Est. total58.5

Line O/U62.5

Diff.4

Over / Under25% / 75%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

16.50

X12.00

21.15

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+5.5)1.85

2 (-5.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 62.51.85

Under 62.51.85

Diff.: 4.4 · Est. total: 58.1

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 14:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	6.50 → 6.50	Bet365 6.50
X	12.00 → 11.00▼	Bet365 11.00
2	1.15 → 1.15	Bet365 1.15

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
10:21 +1’	6.50	12.00	1.15
14:13 +3’	6.50	11.00▼	1.15

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

Our recommendation on this match 1 odds move recorded

Go premium to see the odds journey

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · KH Koprivnice 0–0–6 HK Lovosice

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/02/26 Czechia Extraliga	HK Lovosice	33-30	KH Koprivnice
11/10/25 Czechia Extraliga	KH Koprivnice	27-38	HK Lovosice
08/02/25 Czechia Extraliga	HK Lovosice	31-25	KH Koprivnice
16/10/24 Czechia Extraliga	KH Koprivnice	28-37	HK Lovosice
25/05/24 Czechia Extraliga	KH Koprivnice	25-28	HK Lovosice
22/05/24 Czechia Extraliga	HK Lovosice	35-26	KH Koprivnice

Standings · Czechia Extraliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Banik Karvina	11	9	2	0	365	307	20
2	Talent Plzen	10	7	2	1	313	283	16
3	HK Lovosice	10	7	1	2	321	287	15
4	Dukla Praha	9	7	0	2	324	256	14
5	Nove Veseli	10	6	1	3	304	275	13
6	HC Zubri	10	6	1	3	303	288	13
7	KP Brno 1920	10	5	0	5	292	303	10
8	HBC Jicin	11	4	0	7	308	335	8
9	HC Frydek-Mistek	11	2	1	8	297	342	5
10	KH Koprivnice	10	2	0	8	262	298	4
11	HBC Strakonice 1921	11	1	1	9	320	361	3
12	HC Zlin	11	1	1	9	297	371	3

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	KH Koprivnice	HK Lovosice
Dukla Praha	29-33 L	26-39 L
Talent Plzen	29-36 L	29-29 D
HBC Jicin	27-30 L	36-26 W
Banik Karvina	23-26 L	27-29 L
KP Brno 1920	25-30 L	36-30 W
HC Zubri	26-30 L	36-27 W
HC Zlin	22-29 L	33-27 W
Nove Veseli	22-30 L	28-27 W
HC Frydek-Mistek	31-27 W	29-27 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 8 L	6 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: HK Lovosice (7 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

KH Koprivnice

WLLLLLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/10	HBC Strakonice 1921 Czechia Extraliga	28-27	W
28/10	Dukla Praha Czechia Extraliga	29-33	L
25/10	Talent Plzen Czechia Extraliga	29-36	L
17/10	HBC Jicin Czechia Extraliga	27-30	L
10/10	Banik Karvina Czechia Extraliga	23-26	L
07/10	KP Brno 1920 Czechia Extraliga	25-30	L
26/09	HC Zubri Czechia Extraliga	26-30	L
20/09	HC Zlin Czechia Extraliga	22-29	L
13/09	Nove Veseli Czechia Extraliga	22-30	L
06/09	HC Frydek-Mistek Czechia Extraliga	31-27	W

HK Lovosice

WWDLLWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
01/11	KP Brno 1920 Czechia Extraliga	36-30	W
28/10	HC Zubri Czechia Extraliga	36-27	W
24/10	HC Zlin Czechia Extraliga	33-27	W
17/10	Nove Veseli Czechia Extraliga	28-27	W
10/10	HC Frydek-Mistek Czechia Extraliga	29-27	W
03/10	Banik Karvina Czechia Extraliga	27-29	L
19/09	Dukla Praha Czechia Extraliga	26-39	L
13/09	Talent Plzen Czechia Extraliga	29-29	D
05/09	HBC Jicin Czechia Extraliga	36-26	W
01/05	KP Brno 1920 Czechia Extraliga	38-23	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in KH Koprivnice vs HK Lovosice?

Our model gives 75% to HK Lovosice.

How many points are expected in KH Koprivnice vs HK Lovosice?

The model estimates 58.5 total points (KH Koprivnice 27.9 · HK Lovosice 30.5).