Handball · Iceland Úrvalsdeild · 13/11, 21:15

Prediction: UMF Selfoss vs Knattspyrnufelag Akureyrar

Team pages: UMF Selfoss · Knattspyrnufelag Akureyrar

Prediction summary

Estimated points

62.4Total

UMF Selfoss29.4

Knattspyrnufelag Akureyrar33.1

1X2

31% 69%

UMF Selfoss Knattspyrnufelag Akureyrar

Recent form · 10 last

UMF Selfoss 0-2-8 (W-D-L)

DLLDLLLLLL

Knattspyrnufelag Akureyrar 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

LWWLWWLWWL

Head-to-head

UMF Selfoss 3–3 Knattspyrnufelag Akureyrar (6 last)

Knattspyrnufelag Akureyrar33-28UMF Selfoss
UMF Selfoss30-33Knattspyrnufelag Akureyrar
Knattspyrnufelag Akureyrar28-30UMF Selfoss
UMF Selfoss23-30Knattspyrnufelag Akureyrar
Knattspyrnufelag Akureyrar29-35UMF Selfoss
UMF Selfoss34-24Knattspyrnufelag Akureyrar

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · UMF Selfoss 1388 · Knattspyrnufelag Akureyrar 1533

	UMF Selfoss	Knattspyrnufelag Akureyrar
Our model	39%	61%
Market	22%	68%

Estimated total (ours) 62.4 points · Bet365 line 64.5 · -2.1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points62.4UMF Selfoss 29.4 · Knattspyrnufelag Akureyrar 33.1

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Knattspyrnufelag Akureyrar (rating 1388 vs 1533).
Knattspyrnufelag Akureyrar is a clear favourite (69% market).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	UMF Selfoss	Knattspyrnufelag Akureyrar
Points F\|A (Last 10)	28.4 / 33.7	32.9 / 31.5
Points F\|A (Last 5)	26.4 / 34	32.4 / 31.4
Est. result	29	33

Est. total62.4

Line O/U64.5

Diff.2.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

14.00

X9.50

21.32

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+3.5)1.85

2 (-3.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 64.51.85

Under 64.51.85

Diff.: 1.25 · Est. total: 63.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
X	9.50 → 9.50	Bet365 9.50
2	1.32 → 1.32	Bet365 1.32

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
02:15 +2’	4.00	9.50	1.32

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · UMF Selfoss 3–0–3 Knattspyrnufelag Akureyrar

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
27/11/25 Iceland Úrvalsdeild	Knattspyrnufelag Akureyrar	33-28	UMF Selfoss
06/09/25 Iceland Úrvalsdeild	UMF Selfoss	30-33	Knattspyrnufelag Akureyrar
09/12/23 Iceland Úrvalsdeild	Knattspyrnufelag Akureyrar	28-30	UMF Selfoss
09/09/23 Iceland Úrvalsdeild	UMF Selfoss	23-30	Knattspyrnufelag Akureyrar
26/02/23 Iceland Úrvalsdeild	Knattspyrnufelag Akureyrar	29-35	UMF Selfoss
21/10/22 Iceland Úrvalsdeild	UMF Selfoss	34-24	Knattspyrnufelag Akureyrar

Standings · Iceland Úrvalsdeild

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Haukar Hafnafjordur	9	9	0	0	323	247	18
2	Valur	9	7	0	2	339	310	14
3	FH Hafnafjordur	9	6	1	2	320	290	13
4	Knattspyrnufelag Akureyrar	9	6	0	3	295	277	12
5	UMF Afturelding	9	5	1	3	315	284	11
6	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	9	5	0	4	277	283	10
7	Vikingur	9	3	0	6	282	297	6
8	Thor AK	9	3	0	6	303	320	6
9	Fram Reykjavik	9	3	0	6	282	326	6
10	HK Kopavogs	9	3	0	6	269	298	6
11	UMF Stjarnan	9	2	1	6	291	311	5
12	UMF Selfoss	9	0	1	8	257	310	1

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	UMF Selfoss	Knattspyrnufelag Akureyrar
HK Kopavogs	22-34 L	37-28 W
Vikingur	28-34 L	26-24 W
Haukar Hafnafjordur	22-31 L	27-36 L
FH Hafnafjordur	31-36 L	39-33 W
UMF Afturelding	34-42 L	32-28 W
UMF Stjarnan	34-34 D	33-35 L
IBV Vestmannaeyjar	27-30 L	31-25 W
Valur	30-34 L	39-33 W
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 7 L	6 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Knattspyrnufelag Akureyrar (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

UMF Selfoss

DLLDLLLLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
01/11	HK Kopavogs Iceland Úrvalsdeild	22-34	L
27/10	Fram Reykjavik Iceland Úrvalsdeild	29-35	L
21/10	Vikingur Iceland Úrvalsdeild	28-34	L
15/10	Haukar Hafnafjordur Iceland Úrvalsdeild	22-31	L
03/10	FH Hafnafjordur Iceland Úrvalsdeild	31-36	L
24/09	UMF Afturelding Iceland Úrvalsdeild	34-42	L
16/09	UMF Stjarnan Iceland Úrvalsdeild	34-34	D
10/09	IBV Vestmannaeyjar Iceland Úrvalsdeild	27-30	L
03/09	Valur Iceland Úrvalsdeild	30-34	L
12/03	UMF Afturelding Iceland Úrvalsdeild	27-27	D

Knattspyrnufelag Akureyrar

LWWLWWLWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/10	Haukar Hafnafjordur Iceland Úrvalsdeild	27-36	L
28/10	FH Hafnafjordur Iceland Úrvalsdeild	39-33	W
22/10	UMF Afturelding Iceland Úrvalsdeild	32-28	W
16/10	UMF Stjarnan Iceland Úrvalsdeild	33-35	L
01/10	IBV Vestmannaeyjar Iceland Úrvalsdeild	31-25	W
25/09	Valur Iceland Úrvalsdeild	39-33	W
16/09	Thor AK Iceland Úrvalsdeild	31-35	L
11/09	Vikingur Iceland Úrvalsdeild	26-24	W
03/09	HK Kopavogs Iceland Úrvalsdeild	37-28	W
13/04	Valur Iceland Úrvalsdeild	34-38	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in UMF Selfoss vs Knattspyrnufelag Akureyrar?

Our model gives 69% to Knattspyrnufelag Akureyrar.

How many points are expected in UMF Selfoss vs Knattspyrnufelag Akureyrar?

The model estimates 62.4 total points (UMF Selfoss 29.4 · Knattspyrnufelag Akureyrar 33.1).