Handball · Portugal 2a Divisao · 31/10, 19:30
Prediction: GM 1 Dezembro vs Samora Correia
Team pages: GM 1 Dezembro · Samora Correia
Prediction summary
Estimated points
56.9Total
GM 1 Dezembro27.8
Samora Correia29.2
1X2
GM 1 Dezembro
Samora Correia
Recent form · 10 last
GM 1 Dezembro
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Samora Correia
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
GM 1 Dezembro
0–3
Samora Correia
(3 last)
- Samora Correia38-32GM 1 Dezembro
- GM 1 Dezembro28-33Samora Correia
- GM 1 Dezembro7-9Samora Correia
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · GM 1 Dezembro 1537 · Samora Correia 1583
| GM 1 Dezembro | Samora Correia | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 24% | 66% |
Estimated total (ours)
56.9 points · Bet365 line 55.5 · +1.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points56.9GM 1 Dezembro 27.8 · Samora Correia 29.2
Match keys
- H2H favours Samora Correia: 3-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| GM 1 Dezembro | Samora Correia | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 31.4 / 28.7 | 31.7 / 26.1 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 32.6 / 26.2 | 30.4 / 23.4 |
| Est. result | 28 | 29 |
Est. total56.9
Line O/U55.5
Diff.1.4
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · GM 1 Dezembro 0–0–3 Samora Correia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/05/26 Portugal 2a Divisao | Samora Correia | 38-32 | GM 1 Dezembro |
| 11/02/26 Portugal 2a Divisao | GM 1 Dezembro | 28-33 | Samora Correia |
| 22/01/26 Portugal 2a Divisao | GM 1 Dezembro | 7-9 | Samora Correia |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | GM 1 Dezembro | Samora Correia |
|---|---|---|
| Alto Moinho | 36-26 W | 32-26 W |
| CDE Camoes | 34-27 W | 25-23 W |
| C. Oriental Lisboa | 35-27 W | 30-25 W |
| CA Rangers Telheiras | 24-31 L | 27-28 L |
| UJ Alverca | 27-26 W | 38-15 W |
| CSS Pinhal Frades | 37-32 W | 31-31 D |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 1 L | 4 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: GM 1 Dezembro (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
GM 1 Dezembro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Alto Moinho Portugal 2a Divisao |
36-26 | W |
| 05/10 | CDE Camoes Portugal 2a Divisao |
34-27 | W |
| 26/09 | Estrela Amadora Portugal 2a Divisao |
28-24 | W |
| 09/06 | C. Oriental Lisboa Portugal 2a Divisao |
35-27 | W |
| 06/06 | Alto Moinho Portugal 2a Divisao |
30-27 | W |
| 30/05 | Samora Correia Portugal 2a Divisao |
32-38 | L |
| 27/05 | CA Rangers Telheiras Portugal 2a Divisao |
24-31 | L |
| 23/05 | UJ Alverca Portugal 2a Divisao |
27-26 | W |
| 09/05 | CSS Pinhal Frades Portugal 2a Divisao |
37-32 | W |
| 03/05 | Club Naval Setubalense Portugal 2a Divisao |
31-29 | W |
Samora Correia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | CDE Camoes Portugal 2a Divisao |
25-23 | W |
| 19/09 | C. Oriental Lisboa Portugal 2a Divisao |
30-25 | W |
| 10/06 | Alto Moinho Portugal 2a Divisao |
32-26 | W |
| 06/06 | CA Rangers Telheiras Portugal 2a Divisao |
27-28 | L |
| 04/06 | UJ Alverca Portugal 2a Divisao |
38-15 | W |
| 30/05 | GM 1 Dezembro Portugal 2a Divisao |
38-32 | W |
| 23/05 | CSS Pinhal Frades Portugal 2a Divisao |
31-31 | D |
| 06/05 | Alto Moinho Portugal 2a Divisao |
40-28 | W |
| 18/04 | UJ Alverca Portugal 2a Divisao |
23-23 | D |
| 30/03 | CSS Pinhal Frades Portugal 2a Divisao |
33-30 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in GM 1 Dezembro vs Samora Correia?
Our model gives 63% to Samora Correia.
How many points are expected in GM 1 Dezembro vs Samora Correia?
The model estimates 56.9 total points (GM 1 Dezembro 27.8 · Samora Correia 29.2).