Handball · Portugal 2a Divisao · 24/10, 21:00

Prediction: Aguas Santas B vs Gondomar Cultural

Team pages: Aguas Santas B · Gondomar Cultural

Prediction summary

Estimated points

60.5Total

Aguas Santas B31.3

Gondomar Cultural29.2

1X2

79% 21%

Aguas Santas B Gondomar Cultural

Recent form · 10 last

Aguas Santas B 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWWDWLWWLW

Gondomar Cultural 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LWLLWWWDLW

Head-to-head

Aguas Santas B 5–1 Gondomar Cultural (6 last)

Gondomar Cultural33-34Aguas Santas B
Aguas Santas B29-25Gondomar Cultural
Gondomar Cultural25-30Aguas Santas B
Aguas Santas B37-26Gondomar Cultural
Gondomar Cultural24-31Aguas Santas B
Aguas Santas B29-32Gondomar Cultural

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Aguas Santas B 1568 · Gondomar Cultural 1500

	Aguas Santas B	Gondomar Cultural
Our model	69%	31%
Market	78%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 60.5 points · Bet365 line 57.5 · +3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points60.5Aguas Santas B 31.3 · Gondomar Cultural 29.2

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aguas Santas B (rating 1568 vs 1500).
Aguas Santas B is a clear favourite (79% market).
H2H favours Aguas Santas B: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Aguas Santas B	Gondomar Cultural
Points F\|A (Last 10)	32.5 / 29.8	30.2 / 29.4
Points F\|A (Last 5)	28.8 / 27.8	30.4 / 29.4
Est. result	31	29

Est. total60.5

Line O/U57.5

Diff.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.15

X11.00

26.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-5.5)1.85

2 (+5.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 57.51.80

Under 57.51.90

Diff.: 3.45 · Est. total: 60.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:23

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.15 → 1.15	Bet365 1.15
X	11.00 → 11.00	Bet365 11.00
2	6.50 → 6.50	Bet365 6.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
10:59 +24’	1.15	11.00	6.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Aguas Santas B 5–0–1 Gondomar Cultural

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 Portugal 2a Divisao	Gondomar Cultural	33-34	Aguas Santas B
03/04/26 Portugal 2a Divisao	Aguas Santas B	29-25	Gondomar Cultural
28/02/26 Portugal 2a Divisao	Gondomar Cultural	25-30	Aguas Santas B
17/05/25 Portugal 2a Divisao	Aguas Santas B	37-26	Gondomar Cultural
29/03/25 Portugal 2a Divisao	Gondomar Cultural	24-31	Aguas Santas B
22/02/25 Portugal 2a Divisao	Aguas Santas B	29-32	Gondomar Cultural

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Aguas Santas B	Gondomar Cultural
Padroense	28-29 L	31-32 L
Academico FC	30-25 W	33-24 W
CDC Santana	30-29 W	30-29 W
AC Vermoim	26-35 L	33-29 W
AD Afifense	39-36 W	34-29 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 2 L	4 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Gondomar Cultural (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Aguas Santas B

WWWDWLWWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
10/10	CDC Sao Paio Oleiros Portugal 2a Divisao	30-21	W
05/10	Padroense Portugal 2a Divisao	28-29	L
26/09	Academico FC Portugal 2a Divisao	30-25	W
13/06	CDC Santana Portugal 2a Divisao	30-29	W
10/06	AC Vermoim Portugal 2a Divisao	26-35	L
06/06	CD Marienses Portugal 2a Divisao	37-27	W
04/06	Academico FC Portugal 2a Divisao	34-34	D
30/05	AD Afifense Portugal 2a Divisao	39-36	W
23/05	Gondomar Cultural Portugal 2a Divisao	34-33	W
09/05	Padroense Portugal 2a Divisao	37-29	W

Gondomar Cultural

LWLLWWWDLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
10/10	CDC Santana Portugal 2a Divisao	30-29	W
05/10	AC Lamego Portugal 2a Divisao	30-39	L
03/10	AC Lusitanos Portugal 2a Divisao	26-26	D
13/06	AC Vermoim Portugal 2a Divisao	33-29	W
06/06	Academico FC Portugal 2a Divisao	33-24	W
04/06	AD Afifense Portugal 2a Divisao	34-29	W
30/05	Padroense Portugal 2a Divisao	31-32	L
23/05	Aguas Santas B Portugal 2a Divisao	33-34	L
09/05	CDC Santana Portugal 2a Divisao	28-27	W
03/05	AC Vermoim Portugal 2a Divisao	24-25	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Aguas Santas B vs Gondomar Cultural?

Our model gives 79% to Aguas Santas B.

How many points are expected in Aguas Santas B vs Gondomar Cultural?

The model estimates 60.5 total points (Aguas Santas B 31.3 · Gondomar Cultural 29.2).