Handball · Portugal 2a Divisao · 24/10, 20:00

Prediction: Academico FC vs CDC Sao Paio Oleiros

Team pages: Academico FC · CDC Sao Paio Oleiros

Prediction summary

Estimated points

55.2Total

Academico FC27.9

CDC Sao Paio Oleiros27.3

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

47% 53%

Academico FC CDC Sao Paio Oleiros

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Academico FC 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WDWDLWLLWL

CDC Sao Paio Oleiros 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWLWWWDL

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Academico FC 1516 · CDC Sao Paio Oleiros 1540

	Academico FC	CDC Sao Paio Oleiros
Our model	57%	43%
Market	36%	52%

Estimated total (ours) 55.2 points · Bet365 line 54.5 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points55.2Academico FC 27.9 · CDC Sao Paio Oleiros 27.3

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Academico FC	CDC Sao Paio Oleiros
Points F\|A (Last 10)	30.2 / 29	27.4 / 25
Points F\|A (Last 5)	29 / 28.2	24.8 / 25.4
Est. result	28	27

Est. total55.2

Line O/U54.5

Diff.0.7

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.50

X8.00

21.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.95

2 (-0.5)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 54.51.85

Under 54.51.85

Diff.: 1.3 · Est. total: 55.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50
X	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00
2	1.75 → 1.75	Bet365 1.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.6%

Time*	1	X	2
11:16 +6’	2.50	8.00	1.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Academico FC	CDC Sao Paio Oleiros
Aguas Santas B	25-30 L	21-30 L
CDC Santana	33-31 W	22-22 D
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	0 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Academico FC (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Academico FC

WDWDLWLLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
10/10	Padroense Portugal 2a Divisao	27-30	L
03/10	AC Vermoim Portugal 2a Divisao	24-22	W
26/09	Aguas Santas B Portugal 2a Divisao	25-30	L
13/06	Padroense Portugal 2a Divisao	25-33	L
10/06	AD Afifense Portugal 2a Divisao	44-26	W
06/06	Gondomar Cultural Portugal 2a Divisao	24-33	L
04/06	Aguas Santas B Portugal 2a Divisao	34-34	D
30/05	CDC Santana Portugal 2a Divisao	33-31	W
03/05	Padroense Portugal 2a Divisao	30-30	D
01/05	AD Afifense Portugal 2a Divisao	36-21	W

CDC Sao Paio Oleiros

WWWWLWWWDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
10/10	Aguas Santas B Portugal 2a Divisao	21-30	L
05/10	CDC Santana Portugal 2a Divisao	22-22	D
03/10	AC Lamego Portugal 2a Divisao	29-27	W
26/09	AC Lusitanos Portugal 2a Divisao	23-20	W
13/06	AC Lamego Portugal 2a Divisao	29-28	W
06/06	AC Coimbra Portugal 2a Divisao	28-32	L
04/06	FC Gaia B Portugal 2a Divisao	29-19	W
30/05	AC Sismaria Portugal 2a Divisao	33-19	W
01/05	AD Albicastrense Portugal 2a Divisao	26-25	W
18/04	FC Gaia B Portugal 2a Divisao	34-28	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Academico FC vs CDC Sao Paio Oleiros?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Academico FC 47% · CDC Sao Paio Oleiros 53%).

How many points are expected in Academico FC vs CDC Sao Paio Oleiros?

The model estimates 55.2 total points (Academico FC 27.9 · CDC Sao Paio Oleiros 27.3).