Handball · Portugal 2a Divisao · 24/10, 22:00

Prediction: AC Vermoim vs AC Lamego

Team pages: AC Lamego

Prediction summary
Estimated points
54Total
AC Vermoim27.2
AC Lamego26.8
1X2 Even — no clear favourite
38% 62%
AC Vermoim AC Lamego

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Markets
Under 57.5 points 65%
Recent form · 10 last
AC Vermoim 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
WWLDWWLLLD
AC Lamego 6-0-4 (W-D-L)
WWLWLWLWLW
Head-to-head
AC Vermoim 0–3 AC Lamego (3 last)
  • AC Vermoim27-37AC Lamego
  • AC Lamego34-22AC Vermoim
  • AC Vermoim30-34AC Lamego
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · AC Vermoim 1487 · AC Lamego 1526
AC VermoimAC Lamego
Our model54%46%
Market24%66%
Estimated total (ours) 54 points · Bet365 line 57.5 · -3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Estimated points54AC Vermoim 27.2 · AC Lamego 26.8
Over / Under 57.5Under · 65%recent trend · ~55.3 pts · strength 2

Match keys

  • H2H favours AC Lamego: 3-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

AC VermoimAC Lamego
Points F|A (Last 10)26.1 / 25.129.4 / 28.5
Points F|A (Last 5)26 / 25.832 / 30
Est. result2727
Est. total54
Line O/U57.5
Diff.3.5
Over / Under35% / 65%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Head-to-head (H2H) · AC Vermoim 0–0–3 AC Lamego

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DateHomeScoreAway
17/05/25
Portugal 2a Divisao
AC Vermoim27-37AC Lamego
29/03/25
Portugal 2a Divisao
AC Lamego34-22AC Vermoim
18/01/25
Portugal 2a Divisao
AC Vermoim30-34AC Lamego

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAC VermoimAC Lamego
Gondomar Cultural 29-33 L 39-30 W
Padroense 21-23 L 34-32 W
Record vs common 0 W 0 D 2 L 2 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: AC Lamego (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AC Vermoim

WWLDWWLLLD

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Date Opponent FT Res.
05/10 AC Lusitanos
Portugal 2a Divisao
22-22 D
03/10 Academico FC
Portugal 2a Divisao
22-24 L
03/10 Academico do Porto
Portugal 2a Divisao
22-24 L
13/06 Gondomar Cultural
Portugal 2a Divisao
29-33 L
10/06 Aguas Santas B
Portugal 2a Divisao
35-26 W
07/06 CD Marienses
Portugal 2a Divisao
27-23 W
06/06 CDC Santana
Portugal 2a Divisao
25-25 D
04/06 Padroense
Portugal 2a Divisao
21-23 L
09/05 AD Afifense
Portugal 2a Divisao
33-27 W
03/05 Gondomar Cultural
Portugal 2a Divisao
25-24 W

AC Lamego

WWLWLWLWLW

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Date Opponent FT Res.
05/10 Gondomar Cultural
Portugal 2a Divisao
39-30 W
03/10 CDC Sao Paio Oleiros
Portugal 2a Divisao
27-29 L
26/09 Padroense
Portugal 2a Divisao
34-32 W
13/06 CDC Sao Paio Oleiros
Portugal 2a Divisao
28-29 L
06/06 AD Albicastrense
Portugal 2a Divisao
32-30 W
04/06 AC Coimbra
Portugal 2a Divisao
23-33 L
23/05 AC Sismaria
Portugal 2a Divisao
30-20 W
16/05 FC Gaia B
Portugal 2a Divisao
27-32 L
08/05 Alavarium AC
Portugal 2a Divisao
26-25 W
01/05 ADC Benavente
Portugal 2a Divisao
28-25 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AC Vermoim vs AC Lamego?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (AC Vermoim 38% · AC Lamego 62%).

How many points are expected in AC Vermoim vs AC Lamego?

The model estimates 54 total points (AC Vermoim 27.2 · AC Lamego 26.8).

Over or under 57.5 points?

Recent history points to under 57.5 points (65%).