Handball · Japan League · 31/10, 08:00

Prediction: Wakunaga vs Earth Friends BM

Team pages: Wakunaga · Earth Friends BM

Prediction summary

Estimated points

58.9Total

Wakunaga32.8

Earth Friends BM26.1

1X2

83% 17%

Wakunaga Earth Friends BM

Recent form · 10 last

Wakunaga 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LWLDLLWDLW

Earth Friends BM 1-0-9 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLWLLL

Head-to-head

Wakunaga 4–2 Earth Friends BM (6 last)

Wakunaga35-22Earth Friends BM
Earth Friends BM26-38Wakunaga
Earth Friends BM29-28Wakunaga
Wakunaga36-38Earth Friends BM
Earth Friends BM34-35Wakunaga
Wakunaga35-31Earth Friends BM

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Wakunaga 1517 · Earth Friends BM 1399

	Wakunaga	Earth Friends BM
Our model	75%	25%
Market	82%	11%

Estimated total (ours) 58.9 points · Bet365 line 60.5 · -1.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points58.9Wakunaga 32.8 · Earth Friends BM 26.1

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Wakunaga (rating 1517 vs 1399).
Wakunaga is a clear favourite (83% market).
H2H favours Wakunaga: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Wakunaga	Earth Friends BM
Points F\|A (Last 10)	27.3 / 28.7	25.1 / 37.6
Points F\|A (Last 5)	24 / 25.4	23 / 36.4
Est. result	33	26

Est. total58.9

Line O/U60.5

Diff.1.6

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.10

X13.00

28.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-6.5)1.85

2 (+6.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 60.51.85

Under 60.51.85

Diff.: 1.15 · Est. total: 59.35

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 23:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.22 → 1.10▼	Bet365 1.10
X	10.00 → 13.00▲	Bet365 13.00
2	5.00 → 8.00▲	Bet365 8.00

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
20:17 +1’	1.22	10.00	5.00
22:50 +25’	1.10▼	13.00▲	8.00▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Wakunaga 4–0–2 Earth Friends BM

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/02/26 Japan League	Wakunaga	35-22	Earth Friends BM
06/09/25 Japan League	Earth Friends BM	26-38	Wakunaga
24/05/25 Japan League	Earth Friends BM	29-28	Wakunaga
24/02/25 Japan League	Wakunaga	36-38	Earth Friends BM
24/03/24 Japan League	Earth Friends BM	34-35	Wakunaga
23/11/23 Japan League	Wakunaga	35-31	Earth Friends BM

Standings · Japan League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Blue Falcon	4	4	0	0	154	120	8
2	Brave Kings	3	3	0	0	107	66	6
3	Zeekstar Tokyo	4	3	0	1	132	110	6
4	Phoenix	2	2	0	0	64	55	4
5	Toyama	3	2	0	1	92	86	4
6	Osaki Osol	3	1	1	1	93	95	3
7	Liaison Osaka	3	1	1	1	91	100	3
8	Wakunaga	3	1	1	1	63	75	3
9	Regarosso	2	1	0	1	66	48	2
10	Red Tornado	3	1	0	2	95	98	2
11	Alvamos Osaka	3	1	0	2	88	108	2
12	Ryukyu Corazon	3	0	1	2	94	102	1
13	Blue Thunder	2	0	0	2	56	59	0
14	Golden Wolves Fukuoka	3	0	0	3	62	89	0
15	Earth Friends BM	3	0	0	3	69	115	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Wakunaga	Earth Friends BM
Zeekstar Tokyo	18-31 L	28-34 L
Brave Kings	26-34 L	22-40 L
Toyama	27-31 L	28-35 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 3 L	0 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Wakunaga (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Wakunaga

LWLDLLWDLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
24/10	Golden Wolves Fukuoka Japan League	20-19	W
17/10	Zeekstar Tokyo Japan League	18-31	L
12/10	Osaki Osol Japan League	25-25	D
23/05	Golden Wolves Fukuoka Japan League	31-18	W
20/05	Brave Kings Japan League	26-34	L
16/05	Red Tornado Japan League	33-34	L
03/05	Osaki Osol Japan League	29-29	D
25/04	Phoenix Japan League	33-38	L
19/04	Ryukyu Corazon Japan League	31-28	W
11/04	Toyama Japan League	27-31	L

Earth Friends BM

LLLLLLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
24/10	Toyama Japan League	28-35	L
17/10	Brave Kings Japan League	22-40	L
12/10	Regarosso Japan League	19-40	L
24/05	Toyama Japan League	28-27	W
16/05	Brave Kings Japan League	18-40	L
02/05	Alvamos Osaka Japan League	28-38	L
27/04	Regarosso Japan League	24-34	L
19/04	Blue Falcon Japan League	23-46	L
11/04	Zeekstar Tokyo Japan League	28-34	L
08/04	Zeekstar Tokyo Japan League	33-42	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Wakunaga vs Earth Friends BM?

Our model gives 83% to Wakunaga.

How many points are expected in Wakunaga vs Earth Friends BM?

The model estimates 58.9 total points (Wakunaga 32.8 · Earth Friends BM 26.1).