Handball · Portugal 2a Divisao · 26/09, 16:00

Prediction: AC Vermoim vs Gondomar Cultural

Prediction summary

Estimated points

57Total

AC Vermoim28.5

Gondomar Cultural28.5

1X2

65% 35%

AC Vermoim Gondomar Cultural

Recent form · 10 last

AC Vermoim 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DDLWWLDWWL

Gondomar Cultural 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WDWLWLLWWW

Head-to-head

AC Vermoim 4–1–1 Gondomar Cultural (6 last)

Gondomar Cultural33-29AC Vermoim
AC Vermoim25-24Gondomar Cultural
Gondomar Cultural33-34AC Vermoim
AC Vermoim34-32Gondomar Cultural
AC Vermoim27-26Gondomar Cultural
Gondomar Cultural26-26AC Vermoim

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · AC Vermoim 1507 · Gondomar Cultural 1511

	AC Vermoim	Gondomar Cultural
Our model	59%	41%
Market	62%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 57 points · Bet365 line 60.5 · -3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points57AC Vermoim 28.5 · Gondomar Cultural 28.5

Match keys

AC Vermoim is a clear favourite (65% market).
H2H favours AC Vermoim: 4-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	AC Vermoim	Gondomar Cultural
Points F\|A (Last 10)	27.7 / 26.7	31.7 / 28.9
Points F\|A (Last 5)	27.4 / 26	32.8 / 29.6
Est. result	29	29

Est. total57

Line O/U60.5

Diff.3.5

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.45

X9.00

23.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.5)1.85

2 (+2.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 60.51.85

Under 60.51.85

Diff.: 3 · Est. total: 57.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.45 → 1.45	Bet365 1.45
X	9.00 → 9.00	Bet365 9.00
2	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.4%

Time*	1	X	2
10:47 +31’	1.45	9.00	3.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · AC Vermoim 4–1–1 Gondomar Cultural

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
13/06/26 Portugal 2a Divisao	Gondomar Cultural	33-29	AC Vermoim
03/05/26 Portugal 2a Divisao	AC Vermoim	25-24	Gondomar Cultural
24/01/26 Portugal 2a Divisao	Gondomar Cultural	33-34	AC Vermoim
02/12/25 Portugal Cup	AC Vermoim	34-32	Gondomar Cultural
18/10/25 Portugal 2a Divisao	AC Vermoim	27-26	Gondomar Cultural
10/05/25 Portugal 2a Divisao	Gondomar Cultural	26-26	AC Vermoim

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	AC Vermoim	Gondomar Cultural
Aguas Santas B	35-26 W	33-34 L
CD Marienses	27-23 W	35-32 W
CDC Santana	25-25 D	28-27 W
Padroense	21-23 L	31-32 L
AD Afifense	33-27 W	34-29 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: AC Vermoim (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AC Vermoim

DDLWWLDWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
13/06	Gondomar Cultural Portugal 2a Divisao	29-33	L
10/06	Aguas Santas B Portugal 2a Divisao	35-26	W
07/06	CD Marienses Portugal 2a Divisao	27-23	W
06/06	CDC Santana Portugal 2a Divisao	25-25	D
04/06	Padroense Portugal 2a Divisao	21-23	L
09/05	AD Afifense Portugal 2a Divisao	33-27	W
03/05	Gondomar Cultural Portugal 2a Divisao	25-24	W
01/05	Aguas Santas B Portugal 2a Divisao	28-32	L
25/04	CDC Santana Portugal 2a Divisao	23-23	D
18/04	Padroense Portugal 2a Divisao	31-31	D

Gondomar Cultural

WDWLWLLWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
13/06	AC Vermoim Portugal 2a Divisao	33-29	W
06/06	Academico FC Portugal 2a Divisao	33-24	W
04/06	AD Afifense Portugal 2a Divisao	34-29	W
30/05	Padroense Portugal 2a Divisao	31-32	L
23/05	Aguas Santas B Portugal 2a Divisao	33-34	L
09/05	CDC Santana Portugal 2a Divisao	28-27	W
03/05	AC Vermoim Portugal 2a Divisao	24-25	L
01/05	CD Marienses Portugal 2a Divisao	35-32	W
25/04	Academico FC Portugal 2a Divisao	28-28	D
18/04	AD Afifense Portugal 2a Divisao	38-29	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AC Vermoim vs Gondomar Cultural?

Our model gives 65% to AC Vermoim.

How many points are expected in AC Vermoim vs Gondomar Cultural?

The model estimates 57 total points (AC Vermoim 28.5 · Gondomar Cultural 28.5).