Handball · Portugal 2a Divisao · 19/09, 22:00

Prediction: CDC Sao Paio Oleiros vs Gondomar Cultural

Prediction summary

Estimated points

56.2Total

CDC Sao Paio Oleiros28.7

Gondomar Cultural27.4

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

47% 53%

CDC Sao Paio Oleiros Gondomar Cultural

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

CDC Sao Paio Oleiros 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WLLWWWWWLW

Gondomar Cultural 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WDWLWLLWWW

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CDC Sao Paio Oleiros 1536 · Gondomar Cultural 1518

	CDC Sao Paio Oleiros	Gondomar Cultural
Our model	62%	38%
Market	32%	57%

Estimated total (ours) 56.2 points · Bet365 line 57.5 · -1.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points56.2CDC Sao Paio Oleiros 28.7 · Gondomar Cultural 27.4

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	CDC Sao Paio Oleiros	Gondomar Cultural
Points F\|A (Last 10)	28.4 / 25	31.7 / 28.9
Points F\|A (Last 5)	29 / 24.6	32.8 / 29.6
Est. result	29	27

Est. total56.2

Line O/U57.5

Diff.1.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.80

X8.50

21.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)1.85

2 (-1.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 57.51.85

Under 57.51.85

Diff.: 0.5 · Est. total: 57

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80
X	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50
2	1.60 → 1.60	Bet365 1.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10%

Time*	1	X	2
12:31 +40’	2.80	8.50	1.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CDC Sao Paio Oleiros

WLLWWWWWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
13/06	AC Lamego Portugal 2a Divisao	29-28	W
06/06	AC Coimbra Portugal 2a Divisao	28-32	L
04/06	FC Gaia B Portugal 2a Divisao	29-19	W
30/05	AC Sismaria Portugal 2a Divisao	33-19	W
01/05	AD Albicastrense Portugal 2a Divisao	26-25	W
18/04	FC Gaia B Portugal 2a Divisao	34-28	W
28/02	FC Gaia B Portugal 2a Divisao	28-24	W
21/02	AC Coimbra Portugal 2a Divisao	25-26	L
14/02	Alavarium AC Portugal 2a Divisao	24-28	L
07/02	AC Lamego Portugal 2a Divisao	28-21	W

Gondomar Cultural

WDWLWLLWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
13/06	AC Vermoim Portugal 2a Divisao	33-29	W
06/06	Academico FC Portugal 2a Divisao	33-24	W
04/06	AD Afifense Portugal 2a Divisao	34-29	W
30/05	Padroense Portugal 2a Divisao	31-32	L
23/05	Aguas Santas B Portugal 2a Divisao	33-34	L
09/05	CDC Santana Portugal 2a Divisao	28-27	W
03/05	AC Vermoim Portugal 2a Divisao	24-25	L
01/05	CD Marienses Portugal 2a Divisao	35-32	W
25/04	Academico FC Portugal 2a Divisao	28-28	D
18/04	AD Afifense Portugal 2a Divisao	38-29	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CDC Sao Paio Oleiros vs Gondomar Cultural?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (CDC Sao Paio Oleiros 47% · Gondomar Cultural 53%).

How many points are expected in CDC Sao Paio Oleiros vs Gondomar Cultural?

The model estimates 56.2 total points (CDC Sao Paio Oleiros 28.7 · Gondomar Cultural 27.4).