Handball · Slovenia Prva Liga · 12/09, 20:15

Prediction: RK Celje vs RK Trimo Trebnje

Team pages: RK Celje · RK Trimo Trebnje

Prediction summary

Estimated points

67.2Total

RK Celje33.8

RK Trimo Trebnje33.4

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

56% 44%

RK Celje RK Trimo Trebnje

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

RK Celje 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WWLWLWWWWW

RK Trimo Trebnje 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LLWWLLWWWD

Head-to-head

RK Celje 3–1–2 RK Trimo Trebnje (6 last)

RK Celje30-30RK Trimo Trebnje
RK Trimo Trebnje39-38RK Celje
RK Celje36-31RK Trimo Trebnje
RK Celje36-34RK Trimo Trebnje
RK Celje31-28RK Trimo Trebnje
RK Trimo Trebnje34-33RK Celje

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · RK Celje 1545 · RK Trimo Trebnje 1553

	RK Celje	RK Trimo Trebnje
Our model	59%	41%
Market	49%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 67.2 points · Bet365 line 64.5 · +2.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points67.2RK Celje 33.8 · RK Trimo Trebnje 33.4

Match keys

H2H favours RK Celje: 3-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	RK Celje	RK Trimo Trebnje
Points F\|A (Last 10)	37.5 / 33.1	34.3 / 31
Points F\|A (Last 5)	39 / 33.2	33.8 / 29.8
Est. result	34	33

Est. total67.2

Line O/U64.5

Diff.2.7

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.85

X8.50

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.85

2 (+0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 64.51.85

Under 64.51.85

Diff.: 3.45 · Est. total: 67.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:52

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.85 → 1.85	Bet365 1.85
X	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50
2	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.3%

Time*	1	X	2
10:47 +5’	1.85	8.50	2.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · RK Celje 3–1–2 RK Trimo Trebnje

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/08/26 Slovenia Super Cup	RK Celje	30-30	RK Trimo Trebnje
29/04/26 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Trimo Trebnje	39-38	RK Celje
18/04/26 Slovenia Cup	RK Celje	36-31	RK Trimo Trebnje
01/04/26 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Celje	36-34	RK Trimo Trebnje
17/12/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Celje	31-28	RK Trimo Trebnje
01/10/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Trimo Trebnje	34-33	RK Celje

Standings · Slovenia Prva Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	RD Slovan	2	2	0	0	72	49	4
2	RK Celje	2	2	0	0	75	54	4
3	MRK Krka	2	2	0	0	62	52	4
4	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011	2	1	1	0	66	56	3
5	RK Trimo Trebnje	2	1	1	0	66	60	3
6	RD Loka	2	1	0	1	61	59	2
7	RK Gorenje Velenje	2	1	0	1	58	55	2
8	RK Ormoz	2	1	0	1	58	62	2
9	RK Ajdovscina	2	0	0	2	54	69	0
10	SD Skofljica	2	0	0	2	57	74	0
11	RK Svis	2	0	0	2	51	68	0
12	RD Ribnica	2	0	0	2	50	72	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	RK Celje	RK Trimo Trebnje
RD Slovan	41-39 W	30-31 L
RK Slovenj Gradec 2011	37-35 W	32-32 D
MRK Krka	35-26 W	26-30 L
RK Ormoz	36-33 W	39-20 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 0 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: RK Celje (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

RK Celje

WWLWLWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
05/09	SD Skofljica Slovenia Prva Liga	40-33	W
02/09	RK Svis Slovenia Prva Liga	35-21	W
31/05	RD Slovan Slovenia Prva Liga	41-39	W
27/05	RD Slovan Slovenia Prva Liga	42-38	W
23/05	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 Slovenia Prva Liga	37-35	W
09/05	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 Slovenia Prva Liga	30-31	L
06/05	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 Slovenia Prva Liga	41-36	W
29/04	RK Trimo Trebnje Slovenia Prva Liga	38-39	L
22/04	MRK Krka Slovenia Prva Liga	35-26	W
11/04	RK Ormoz Slovenia Prva Liga	36-33	W

RK Trimo Trebnje

LLWWLLWWWD

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
05/09	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 Slovenia Prva Liga	32-32	D
02/09	RD Ribnica Slovenia Prva Liga	34-28	W
31/05	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 Slovenia Prva Liga	37-24	W
27/05	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 Slovenia Prva Liga	36-34	W
09/05	RD Slovan Slovenia Prva Liga	30-31	L
06/05	RD Slovan Slovenia Prva Liga	36-37	L
29/04	RK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga	39-38	W
25/04	RK Ormoz Slovenia Prva Liga	39-20	W
10/04	MRK Krka Slovenia Prva Liga	26-30	L
01/04	RK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga	34-36	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in RK Celje vs RK Trimo Trebnje?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (RK Celje 56% · RK Trimo Trebnje 44%).

How many points are expected in RK Celje vs RK Trimo Trebnje?

The model estimates 67.2 total points (RK Celje 33.8 · RK Trimo Trebnje 33.4).