Handball · Iceland Olis Deildin Women · 20/09, 20:00

Prediction: Haukar Hafnarfjordur (W) vs Valur (W)

Team pages: Valur (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

52.9Total

Haukar Hafnarfjordur (W)26.1

Valur (W)26.8

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

49% 51%

Haukar Hafnarfjordur (W) Valur (W)

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Haukar Hafnarfjordur (W) 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

DWWWLDWDWW

Valur (W) 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWLWLW

Head-to-head

Haukar Hafnarfjordur (W) 1–5 Valur (W) (6 last)

Valur (W)23-19Haukar Hafnarfjordur (W)
Valur (W)29-23Haukar Hafnarfjordur (W)
Haukar Hafnarfjordur (W)24-31Valur (W)
Valur (W)21-24Haukar Hafnarfjordur (W)
Valur (W)22-15Haukar Hafnarfjordur (W)
Valur (W)30-25Haukar Hafnarfjordur (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Haukar Hafnarfjordur (W) 1526 · Valur (W) 1565

	Haukar Hafnarfjordur (W)	Valur (W)
Our model	54%	46%
Market	40%	49%

Estimated total (ours) 52.9 points · Bet365 line 56.5 · -3.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points52.9Haukar Hafnarfjordur (W) 26.1 · Valur (W) 26.8

Match keys

H2H favours Valur (W): 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Haukar Hafnarfjordur (W)	Valur (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	27.8 / 25	28.7 / 26.6
Points F\|A (Last 5)	28.6 / 25	26.8 / 27.2
Est. result	26	27

Est. total52.9

Line O/U56.5

Diff.3.6

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.30

X8.00

21.85

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.85

2 (-0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 56.51.85

Under 56.51.85

Diff.: 2.45 · Est. total: 54.05

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 13:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.40 → 2.30▼	Bet365 2.30
X	8.50 → 8.00▼	Bet365 8.00
2	1.42 → 1.85▲	Bet365 1.85

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10%

Time*	1	X	2
12:00 +1’	3.40	8.50	1.42
13:06 +1’	2.30▼	8.00▼	1.85▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Haukar Hafnarfjordur (W) 1–0–5 Valur (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/02/26 Iceland Cup Women	Valur (W)	23-19	Haukar Hafnarfjordur (W)
07/02/26 Iceland Olis Deildin Women	Valur (W)	29-23	Haukar Hafnarfjordur (W)
05/11/25 Iceland Olis Deildin Women	Haukar Hafnarfjordur (W)	24-31	Valur (W)
13/09/25 Iceland Olis Deildin Women	Valur (W)	21-24	Haukar Hafnarfjordur (W)
30/08/25 Iceland Super Cup Women	Valur (W)	22-15	Haukar Hafnarfjordur (W)
26/05/25 Iceland Olis Deildin Women	Valur (W)	30-25	Haukar Hafnarfjordur (W)

Standings · Iceland Olis Deildin Women

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Fram Reykjavik (W)	3	3	0	91	75	6
2	IR Reykjavik (W)	3	3	0	66	54	6
3	Haukar Hafnarfjordur (W)	2	2	0	61	46	4
4	IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)	3	2	1	95	93	4
5	UMF Stjarnan (W)	3	1	2	80	85	2
6	UMF Selfoss (W)	3	1	2	84	83	2
7	Grotta (W)	3	1	2	77	87	2
8	Valur (W)	2	1	1	52	52	2
9	HK Kopavogs (W)	3	0	3	61	74	0
10	KA/Thor (W)	3	0	3	70	88	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Haukar Hafnarfjordur (W)

DWWWLDWDWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
12/09	KA/Thor (W) Iceland Olis Deildin Women	33-26	W
06/09	HK Kopavogs (W) Iceland Olis Deildin Women	28-20	W
28/04	IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Olis Deildin Women	27-27	D
25/04	IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Olis Deildin Women	26-23	W
22/04	IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Olis Deildin Women	29-29	D
18/04	IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Olis Deildin Women	28-29	L
15/04	IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Olis Deildin Women	29-26	W
01/04	KA/Thor (W) Iceland Olis Deildin Women	25-20	W
28/03	KA/Thor (W) Iceland Olis Deildin Women	27-24	W
21/03	UMF Stjarnan (W) Iceland Olis Deildin Women	26-26	D

Valur (W)

WWWWWWLWLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
13/09	IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Olis Deildin Women	31-27	W
05/09	UMF Selfoss (W) Iceland Olis Deildin Women	21-25	L
12/05	IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Olis Deildin Women	30-26	W
09/05	IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Olis Deildin Women	27-35	L
05/05	IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Olis Deildin Women	25-23	W
02/05	IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Olis Deildin Women	39-33	W
22/04	Fram Reykjavik (W) Iceland Olis Deildin Women	31-27	W
18/04	Fram Reykjavik (W) Iceland Olis Deildin Women	27-18	W
15/04	Fram Reykjavik (W) Iceland Olis Deildin Women	26-24	W
28/03	IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Olis Deildin Women	30-28	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Haukar Hafnarfjordur (W) vs Valur (W)?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Haukar Hafnarfjordur (W) 49% · Valur (W) 51%).

How many points are expected in Haukar Hafnarfjordur (W) vs Valur (W)?

The model estimates 52.9 total points (Haukar Hafnarfjordur (W) 26.1 · Valur (W) 26.8).