Handball · Iceland Olis Deildin Women · 10/10, 16:30

Prediction: Fram Reykjavik (W) vs Valur (W)

Team pages: Fram Reykjavik (W) · Valur (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

54.3Total

Fram Reykjavik (W)26.8

Valur (W)27.4

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

47% 53%

Fram Reykjavik (W) Valur (W)

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Markets

Over 51.5 points 65%

Recent form · 10 last

Fram Reykjavik (W) 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

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Valur (W) 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WWWWLWLWLW

Head-to-head

Fram Reykjavik (W) 0–6 Valur (W) (6 last)

Valur (W)31-27Fram Reykjavik (W)
Fram Reykjavik (W)18-27Valur (W)
Valur (W)26-24Fram Reykjavik (W)
Valur (W)32-31Fram Reykjavik (W)
Fram Reykjavik (W)19-30Valur (W)
Valur (W)28-24Fram Reykjavik (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Fram Reykjavik (W) 1525 · Valur (W) 1558

	Fram Reykjavik (W)	Valur (W)
Our model	55%	45%
Market	36%	52%

Estimated total (ours) 54.3 points · Bet365 line 51.5 · +2.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points54.3Fram Reykjavik (W) 26.8 · Valur (W) 27.4

Over / Under 51.5Over · 65%recent trend · ~54 pts · strength 3

Match keys

H2H favours Valur (W): 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Fram Reykjavik (W)	Valur (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	27.6 / 25.3	29 / 26.9
Points F\|A (Last 5)	27.8 / 24.6	28.2 / 26.6
Est. result	27	27

Est. total54.3

Line O/U51.5

Diff.2.8

Over / Under65% / 35%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.55

X8.00

21.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.95

2 (-0.5)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 51.51.85

Under 51.51.85

Diff.: 2.9 · Est. total: 54.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 09:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55
X	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00
2	1.75 → 1.75	Bet365 1.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.9%

Time*	1	X	2
09:12 +4’	2.55	8.00	1.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Fram Reykjavik (W) 0–0–6 Valur (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/04/26 Iceland Olis Deildin Women	Valur (W)	31-27	Fram Reykjavik (W)
18/04/26 Iceland Olis Deildin Women	Fram Reykjavik (W)	18-27	Valur (W)
15/04/26 Iceland Olis Deildin Women	Valur (W)	26-24	Fram Reykjavik (W)
14/03/26 Iceland Olis Deildin Women	Valur (W)	32-31	Fram Reykjavik (W)
10/01/26 Iceland Olis Deildin Women	Fram Reykjavik (W)	19-30	Valur (W)
08/10/25 Iceland Olis Deildin Women	Valur (W)	28-24	Fram Reykjavik (W)

Standings · Iceland Olis Deildin Women

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Haukar Hafnarfjordur (W)	4	4	0	121	98	8
2	Fram Reykjavik (W)	4	4	0	112	92	8
3	IR Reykjavik (W)	4	4	0	97	84	8
4	IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)	4	3	1	124	117	6
5	Valur (W)	4	2	2	111	107	4
6	Grotta (W)	5	2	3	137	143	4
7	UMF Selfoss (W)	4	1	3	101	104	2
8	UMF Stjarnan (W)	4	1	3	108	117	2
9	HK Kopavogs (W)	4	0	4	85	103	0
10	KA/Thor (W)	5	0	5	122	153	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Fram Reykjavik (W)	Valur (W)
UMF Selfoss (W)	21-17 W	21-25 L
KA/Thor (W)	35-25 W	35-27 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 0 L	1 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Fram Reykjavik (W) (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Fram Reykjavik (W)

WWWLLLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
01/10	UMF Selfoss (W) Iceland Olis Deildin Women	21-17	W
19/09	HK Kopavogs (W) Iceland Olis Deildin Women	26-23	W
11/09	UMF Stjarnan (W) Iceland Olis Deildin Women	35-28	W
05/09	Grotta (W) Iceland Olis Deildin Women	30-24	W
22/04	Valur (W) Iceland Olis Deildin Women	27-31	L
18/04	Valur (W) Iceland Olis Deildin Women	18-27	L
15/04	Valur (W) Iceland Olis Deildin Women	24-26	L
01/04	IR Reykjavik (W) Iceland Olis Deildin Women	29-25	W
28/03	IR Reykjavik (W) Iceland Olis Deildin Women	31-27	W
22/03	KA/Thor (W) Iceland Olis Deildin Women	35-25	W

Valur (W)

WWWWLWLWLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
02/10	KA/Thor (W) Iceland Olis Deildin Women	35-27	W
20/09	Haukar Hafnarfjordur (W) Iceland Olis Deildin Women	24-28	L
13/09	IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Olis Deildin Women	31-27	W
05/09	UMF Selfoss (W) Iceland Olis Deildin Women	21-25	L
12/05	IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Olis Deildin Women	30-26	W
09/05	IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Olis Deildin Women	27-35	L
05/05	IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Olis Deildin Women	25-23	W
02/05	IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Olis Deildin Women	39-33	W
22/04	Fram Reykjavik (W) Iceland Olis Deildin Women	31-27	W
18/04	Fram Reykjavik (W) Iceland Olis Deildin Women	27-18	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fram Reykjavik (W) vs Valur (W)?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Fram Reykjavik (W) 47% · Valur (W) 53%).

How many points are expected in Fram Reykjavik (W) vs Valur (W)?

The model estimates 54.3 total points (Fram Reykjavik (W) 26.8 · Valur (W) 27.4).

Over or under 51.5 points?

Recent history points to over 51.5 points (65%).