Handball · Iceland Úrvalsdeild · 12/11, 20:30

Prediction: Fram Reykjavik vs HK Kopavogs

Team pages: Fram Reykjavik · HK Kopavogs

Prediction summary

Estimated points

64.8Total

Fram Reykjavik32.2

HK Kopavogs32.7

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

60% 40%

Fram Reykjavik HK Kopavogs

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Markets

Over 61.5 points 80%

Recent form · 10 last

Fram Reykjavik 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LWWLLLLLWL

HK Kopavogs 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LLLLWWLLLW

Head-to-head

Fram Reykjavik 6–0 HK Kopavogs (6 last)

Fram Reykjavik33-29HK Kopavogs
HK Kopavogs29-40Fram Reykjavik
HK Kopavogs33-38Fram Reykjavik
Fram Reykjavik26-25HK Kopavogs
HK Kopavogs26-35Fram Reykjavik
Fram Reykjavik39-35HK Kopavogs

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Fram Reykjavik 1437 · HK Kopavogs 1438

	Fram Reykjavik	HK Kopavogs
Our model	60%	40%
Market	53%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 64.8 points · Bet365 line 61.5 · +3.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points64.8Fram Reykjavik 32.2 · HK Kopavogs 32.7

Over / Under 61.5Over · 80%recent trend · ~64.4 pts · strength 3

Match keys

H2H favours Fram Reykjavik: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Fram Reykjavik	HK Kopavogs
Points F\|A (Last 10)	30.9 / 35.9	29.7 / 33
Points F\|A (Last 5)	27.6 / 36.4	29.2 / 30.6
Est. result	32	33

Est. total64.8

Line O/U61.5

Diff.3.3

Over / Under80% / 20%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.70

X8.50

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.95

2 (+1.5)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 61.51.85

Under 61.51.85

Diff.: 3.25 · Est. total: 64.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.70 → 1.70	Bet365 1.70
X	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50
2	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
01:26 +50’	1.70	8.50	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Fram Reykjavik 6–0–0 HK Kopavogs

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/02/26 Iceland Úrvalsdeild	Fram Reykjavik	33-29	HK Kopavogs
25/10/25 Iceland Úrvalsdeild	HK Kopavogs	29-40	Fram Reykjavik
08/03/25 Iceland Úrvalsdeild	HK Kopavogs	33-38	Fram Reykjavik
31/10/24 Iceland Úrvalsdeild	Fram Reykjavik	26-25	HK Kopavogs
22/03/24 Iceland Úrvalsdeild	HK Kopavogs	26-35	Fram Reykjavik
26/10/23 Iceland Úrvalsdeild	Fram Reykjavik	39-35	HK Kopavogs

Standings · Iceland Úrvalsdeild

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Haukar Hafnafjordur	9	9	0	0	323	247	18
2	Valur	9	7	0	2	339	310	14
3	FH Hafnafjordur	9	6	1	2	320	290	13
4	Knattspyrnufelag Akureyrar	9	6	0	3	295	277	12
5	UMF Afturelding	9	5	1	3	315	284	11
6	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	9	5	0	4	277	283	10
7	Vikingur	9	3	0	6	282	297	6
8	Thor AK	9	3	0	6	303	320	6
9	Fram Reykjavik	9	3	0	6	282	326	6
10	HK Kopavogs	9	3	0	6	269	298	6
11	UMF Stjarnan	9	2	1	6	291	311	5
12	UMF Selfoss	9	0	1	8	257	310	1

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Fram Reykjavik	HK Kopavogs
UMF Selfoss	35-29 W	34-22 W
Haukar Hafnafjordur	23-39 L	22-37 L
FH Hafnafjordur	28-36 L	29-33 L
UMF Afturelding	24-42 L	26-30 L
UMF Stjarnan	29-37 L	35-31 W
IBV Vestmannaeyjar	30-33 L	35-34 W
Valur	47-40 W	29-38 L
Thor AK	38-34 W	31-36 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 5 L	3 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: HK Kopavogs (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Fram Reykjavik

LWWLLLLLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
01/11	Vikingur Iceland Úrvalsdeild	28-36	L
27/10	UMF Selfoss Iceland Úrvalsdeild	35-29	W
20/10	Haukar Hafnafjordur Iceland Úrvalsdeild	23-39	L
17/10	FH Hafnafjordur Iceland Úrvalsdeild	28-36	L
01/10	UMF Afturelding Iceland Úrvalsdeild	24-42	L
24/09	UMF Stjarnan Iceland Úrvalsdeild	29-37	L
17/09	IBV Vestmannaeyjar Iceland Úrvalsdeild	30-33	L
11/09	Valur Iceland Úrvalsdeild	47-40	W
05/09	Thor AK Iceland Úrvalsdeild	38-34	W
30/03	FH Hafnafjordur Iceland Úrvalsdeild	27-33	L

HK Kopavogs

LLLLWWLLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
01/11	UMF Selfoss Iceland Úrvalsdeild	34-22	W
28/10	Haukar Hafnafjordur Iceland Úrvalsdeild	22-37	L
23/10	FH Hafnafjordur Iceland Úrvalsdeild	29-33	L
15/10	UMF Afturelding Iceland Úrvalsdeild	26-30	L
04/10	UMF Stjarnan Iceland Úrvalsdeild	35-31	W
24/09	IBV Vestmannaeyjar Iceland Úrvalsdeild	35-34	W
16/09	Valur Iceland Úrvalsdeild	29-38	L
10/09	Thor AK Iceland Úrvalsdeild	31-36	L
03/09	Knattspyrnufelag Akureyrar Iceland Úrvalsdeild	28-37	L
29/03	Valur Iceland Úrvalsdeild	28-32	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fram Reykjavik vs HK Kopavogs?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Fram Reykjavik 60% · HK Kopavogs 40%).

How many points are expected in Fram Reykjavik vs HK Kopavogs?

The model estimates 64.8 total points (Fram Reykjavik 32.2 · HK Kopavogs 32.7).

Over or under 61.5 points?

Recent history points to over 61.5 points (80%).