Handball · Iceland Úrvalsdeild · 12/11, 19:00

Prediction: UMF Afturelding vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar

Team pages: UMF Afturelding · IBV Vestmannaeyjar

Prediction summary

Estimated points

62Total

UMF Afturelding31.7

IBV Vestmannaeyjar30.2

1X2

61% 39%

UMF Afturelding IBV Vestmannaeyjar

Recent form · 10 last

UMF Afturelding 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LWDLWWWLWL

IBV Vestmannaeyjar 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LLWWLLWLWW

Head-to-head

UMF Afturelding 3–1–2 IBV Vestmannaeyjar (6 last)

IBV Vestmannaeyjar32-29UMF Afturelding
UMF Afturelding33-34IBV Vestmannaeyjar
UMF Afturelding27-22IBV Vestmannaeyjar
IBV Vestmannaeyjar25-27UMF Afturelding
UMF Afturelding32-30IBV Vestmannaeyjar
IBV Vestmannaeyjar35-35UMF Afturelding

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · UMF Afturelding 1518 · IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1526

	UMF Afturelding	IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Our model	59%	41%
Market	56%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 62 points · Bet365 line 61.5 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points62UMF Afturelding 31.7 · IBV Vestmannaeyjar 30.2

Match keys

H2H favours UMF Afturelding: 3-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	UMF Afturelding	IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Points F\|A (Last 10)	33.9 / 31.6	30.1 / 30.8
Points F\|A (Last 5)	35 / 31.2	30.2 / 30.6
Est. result	32	30

Est. total62

Line O/U61.5

Diff.0.5

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.60

X8.50

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.85

2 (+1.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 61.51.85

Under 61.51.85

Diff.: 1.7 · Est. total: 63.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.60 → 1.60	Bet365 1.60
X	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50
2	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
01:52 +23’	1.60	8.50	2.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · UMF Afturelding 3–1–2 IBV Vestmannaeyjar

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/02/26 Iceland Úrvalsdeild	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	32-29	UMF Afturelding
18/10/25 Iceland Úrvalsdeild	UMF Afturelding	33-34	IBV Vestmannaeyjar
06/10/25 Iceland Cup	UMF Afturelding	27-22	IBV Vestmannaeyjar
08/04/25 Iceland Úrvalsdeild	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	25-27	UMF Afturelding
05/04/25 Iceland Úrvalsdeild	UMF Afturelding	32-30	IBV Vestmannaeyjar
20/02/25 Iceland Úrvalsdeild	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	35-35	UMF Afturelding

Standings · Iceland Úrvalsdeild

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Haukar Hafnafjordur	9	9	0	0	323	247	18
2	Valur	9	7	0	2	339	310	14
3	FH Hafnafjordur	9	6	1	2	320	290	13
4	Knattspyrnufelag Akureyrar	9	6	0	3	295	277	12
5	UMF Afturelding	9	5	1	3	315	284	11
6	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	9	5	0	4	277	283	10
7	Vikingur	9	3	0	6	282	297	6
8	Thor AK	9	3	0	6	303	320	6
9	Fram Reykjavik	9	3	0	6	282	326	6
10	HK Kopavogs	9	3	0	6	269	298	6
11	UMF Stjarnan	9	2	1	6	291	311	5
12	UMF Selfoss	9	0	1	8	257	310	1

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	UMF Afturelding	IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Valur	37-40 L	28-36 L
Thor AK	38-34 W	37-31 W
Knattspyrnufelag Akureyrar	28-32 L	25-31 L
HK Kopavogs	30-26 W	34-35 L
Fram Reykjavik	42-24 W	33-30 W
UMF Selfoss	42-34 W	30-27 W
Haukar Hafnafjordur	30-32 L	29-38 L
Vikingur	35-29 W	30-29 W
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 3 L	4 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: UMF Afturelding (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

UMF Afturelding

LWDLWWWLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/10	Valur Iceland Úrvalsdeild	37-40	L
27/10	Thor AK Iceland Úrvalsdeild	38-34	W
22/10	Knattspyrnufelag Akureyrar Iceland Úrvalsdeild	28-32	L
15/10	HK Kopavogs Iceland Úrvalsdeild	30-26	W
01/10	Fram Reykjavik Iceland Úrvalsdeild	42-24	W
24/09	UMF Selfoss Iceland Úrvalsdeild	42-34	W
16/09	Haukar Hafnafjordur Iceland Úrvalsdeild	30-32	L
10/09	FH Hafnafjordur Iceland Úrvalsdeild	33-33	D
04/09	Vikingur Iceland Úrvalsdeild	35-29	W
02/04	Haukar Hafnafjordur Iceland Úrvalsdeild	24-32	L

IBV Vestmannaeyjar

LLWWLLWLWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
01/11	UMF Stjarnan Iceland Úrvalsdeild	31-26	W
29/10	Vikingur Iceland Úrvalsdeild	30-29	W
23/10	Valur Iceland Úrvalsdeild	28-36	L
16/10	Thor AK Iceland Úrvalsdeild	37-31	W
01/10	Knattspyrnufelag Akureyrar Iceland Úrvalsdeild	25-31	L
24/09	HK Kopavogs Iceland Úrvalsdeild	34-35	L
17/09	Fram Reykjavik Iceland Úrvalsdeild	33-30	W
10/09	UMF Selfoss Iceland Úrvalsdeild	30-27	W
06/09	Haukar Hafnafjordur Iceland Úrvalsdeild	29-38	L
29/03	Knattspyrnufelag Akureyrar Iceland Úrvalsdeild	24-25	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in UMF Afturelding vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar?

Our model gives 61% to UMF Afturelding.

How many points are expected in UMF Afturelding vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar?

The model estimates 62 total points (UMF Afturelding 31.7 · IBV Vestmannaeyjar 30.2).