Handball · Iceland Úrvalsdeild · 12/11, 19:19

Prediction: FH Hafnafjordur vs Valur

Team pages: FH Hafnafjordur · Valur

Prediction summary

Estimated points

68.2Total

FH Hafnafjordur33.9

Valur34.3

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

51% 49%

FH Hafnafjordur Valur

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

FH Hafnafjordur 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LWDWLWWWLW

Valur 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

DWWLWLWWWW

Head-to-head

FH Hafnafjordur 1–1–4 Valur (6 last)

Valur27-26FH Hafnafjordur
FH Hafnafjordur29-29Valur
Valur32-30FH Hafnafjordur
FH Hafnafjordur31-25Valur
Valur37-33FH Hafnafjordur
FH Hafnafjordur29-34Valur

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FH Hafnafjordur 1523 · Valur 1589

	FH Hafnafjordur	Valur
Our model	51%	49%
Market	46%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 68.2 points · Bet365 line 64.5 · +3.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points68.2FH Hafnafjordur 33.9 · Valur 34.3

Match keys

H2H favours Valur: 4-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	FH Hafnafjordur	Valur
Points F\|A (Last 10)	34.6 / 31.7	35.5 / 33
Points F\|A (Last 5)	35 / 31.4	37.4 / 33.8
Est. result	34	34

Est. total68.2

Line O/U64.5

Diff.3.7

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.95

X8.50

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.95

2 (+0.5)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 64.51.85

Under 64.51.85

Diff.: 2.9 · Est. total: 67.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95
X	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.7%

Time*	1	X	2
01:45 +30’	1.95	8.50	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FH Hafnafjordur 1–1–4 Valur

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/05/26 Iceland Úrvalsdeild	Valur	27-26	FH Hafnafjordur
04/05/26 Iceland Úrvalsdeild	FH Hafnafjordur	29-29	Valur
30/04/26 Iceland Úrvalsdeild	Valur	32-30	FH Hafnafjordur
27/04/26 Iceland Úrvalsdeild	FH Hafnafjordur	31-25	Valur
24/04/26 Iceland Úrvalsdeild	Valur	37-33	FH Hafnafjordur
05/12/25 Iceland Úrvalsdeild	FH Hafnafjordur	29-34	Valur

Standings · Iceland Úrvalsdeild

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Haukar Hafnafjordur	9	9	0	0	323	247	18
2	Valur	9	7	0	2	339	310	14
3	FH Hafnafjordur	9	6	1	2	320	290	13
4	Knattspyrnufelag Akureyrar	9	6	0	3	295	277	12
5	UMF Afturelding	9	5	1	3	315	284	11
6	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	9	5	0	4	277	283	10
7	Vikingur	9	3	0	6	282	297	6
8	Thor AK	9	3	0	6	303	320	6
9	Fram Reykjavik	9	3	0	6	282	326	6
10	HK Kopavogs	9	3	0	6	269	298	6
11	UMF Stjarnan	9	2	1	6	291	311	5
12	UMF Selfoss	9	0	1	8	257	310	1

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FH Hafnafjordur	Valur
Knattspyrnufelag Akureyrar	33-39 L	33-39 L
HK Kopavogs	33-29 W	38-29 W
Fram Reykjavik	36-28 W	40-47 L
UMF Selfoss	36-31 W	34-30 W
Vikingur	40-34 W	41-31 W
UMF Afturelding	33-33 D	40-37 W
UMF Stjarnan	38-31 W	37-34 W
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 1 L	5 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FH Hafnafjordur

LWDWLWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
01/11	Thor AK Iceland Úrvalsdeild	37-30	W
28/10	Knattspyrnufelag Akureyrar Iceland Úrvalsdeild	33-39	L
23/10	HK Kopavogs Iceland Úrvalsdeild	33-29	W
17/10	Fram Reykjavik Iceland Úrvalsdeild	36-28	W
03/10	UMF Selfoss Iceland Úrvalsdeild	36-31	W
24/09	Haukar Hafnafjordur Iceland Úrvalsdeild	34-35	L
16/09	Vikingur Iceland Úrvalsdeild	40-34	W
10/09	UMF Afturelding Iceland Úrvalsdeild	33-33	D
04/09	UMF Stjarnan Iceland Úrvalsdeild	38-31	W
07/05	Valur Iceland Úrvalsdeild	26-27	L

Valur

DWWLWLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/10	UMF Afturelding Iceland Úrvalsdeild	40-37	W
27/10	UMF Stjarnan Iceland Úrvalsdeild	37-34	W
23/10	IBV Vestmannaeyjar Iceland Úrvalsdeild	36-28	W
16/10	Vikingur Iceland Úrvalsdeild	41-31	W
25/09	Knattspyrnufelag Akureyrar Iceland Úrvalsdeild	33-39	L
16/09	HK Kopavogs Iceland Úrvalsdeild	38-29	W
11/09	Fram Reykjavik Iceland Úrvalsdeild	40-47	L
03/09	UMF Selfoss Iceland Úrvalsdeild	34-30	W
07/05	FH Hafnafjordur Iceland Úrvalsdeild	27-26	W
04/05	FH Hafnafjordur Iceland Úrvalsdeild	29-29	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FH Hafnafjordur vs Valur?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (FH Hafnafjordur 51% · Valur 49%).

How many points are expected in FH Hafnafjordur vs Valur?

The model estimates 68.2 total points (FH Hafnafjordur 33.9 · Valur 34.3).