Handball · Hungary NB1 Women · 07/10, 18:00

Prediction: Vac (W) vs NEKA (W)

Team pages: Vac (W) · NEKA (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

58Total

Vac (W)31.4

NEKA (W)26.7

1X2

74% 26%

Vac (W) NEKA (W)

Markets

Over 54.5 points 85%

Recent form · 10 last

Vac (W) 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LWLWWWLWLD

NEKA (W) 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

WLLLLLLLWL

Head-to-head

Vac (W) 5–1 NEKA (W) (6 last)

Vac (W)34-24NEKA (W)
NEKA (W)18-32Vac (W)
NEKA (W)18-32Vac (W)
Vac (W)25-27NEKA (W)
NEKA (W)22-34Vac (W)
Vac (W)32-26NEKA (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Vac (W) 1477 · NEKA (W) 1418

	Vac (W)	NEKA (W)
Our model	68%	32%
Market	70%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 58 points · Bet365 line 54.5 · +3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points58Vac (W) 31.4 · NEKA (W) 26.7

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vac (W) (rating 1477 vs 1418).
Vac (W) is a clear favourite (74% market).
H2H favours Vac (W): 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Vac (W)	NEKA (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	31.4 / 29.8	23.9 / 32.3
Points F\|A (Last 5)	30.2 / 32.4	24.2 / 33.4
Est. result	31	27

Est. total58

Line O/U54.5

Diff.3.5

Over / Under85% / 15%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.30

X9.00

24.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-3.5)1.85

2 (+3.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 54.51.85

Under 54.51.85

Diff.: 4.2 · Est. total: 58.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:55

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.30 → 1.30	Bet365 1.30
X	9.00 → 9.00	Bet365 9.00
2	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.3%

Time*	1	X	2
14:16 +39’	1.30	9.00	4.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Vac (W) 5–0–1 NEKA (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Hungary NB1 Women	Vac (W)	34-24	NEKA (W)
17/01/26 Hungary NB1 Women	NEKA (W)	18-32	Vac (W)
22/12/24 Hungary Cup Women	NEKA (W)	18-32	Vac (W)
25/05/24 Hungary NB1 Women	Vac (W)	25-27	NEKA (W)
27/01/24 Hungary NB1 Women	NEKA (W)	22-34	Vac (W)
25/02/23 Hungary NB1 Women	Vac (W)	32-26	NEKA (W)

Standings · Hungary NB1 Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Esztergomi KC (W)	4	4	0	0	171	101	8
2	Gyor (W)	4	4	0	0	150	91	8
3	Ferencvarosi TC (W)	4	4	0	0	150	92	8
4	DVSC (W)	4	4	0	0	142	103	8
5	MTK Budapest (W)	4	2	0	2	124	121	4
6	Fehervar KC (W)	4	2	0	2	96	99	4
7	Szombathelyi KKA (W)	4	1	1	2	109	134	3
8	Kisvarda (W)	4	1	1	2	93	133	3
9	Budaors (W)	4	1	1	2	109	115	3
10	Vac (W)	4	1	1	2	118	132	3
11	Vasas SC (W)	4	1	0	3	102	124	2
12	NEKA (W)	4	1	0	3	97	125	2
13	Mosonmagyarovari KC (W)	4	0	0	4	106	140	0
14	Eszterhazy (W)	4	0	0	4	91	148	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Vac (W)	NEKA (W)
Mosonmagyarovari KC (W)	33-30 W	27-40 L
Szombathelyi KKA (W)	37-28 W	26-25 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 0 L	1 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Vac (W) (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Vac (W)

LWLWWWLWLD

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
30/09	Budaors (W) Hungary NB1 Women	27-27	D
20/09	DVSC (W) Hungary NB1 Women	33-37	L
12/09	Vasas SC (W) Hungary NB1 Women	29-26	W
05/09	Esztergomi KC (W) Hungary NB1 Women	29-42	L
31/05	Mosonmagyarovari KC (W) Hungary NB1 Women	33-30	W
24/05	Szombathelyi KKA (W) Hungary NB1 Women	37-28	W
16/05	NEKA (W) Hungary NB1 Women	34-24	W
09/05	DVSC (W) Hungary NB1 Women	23-33	L
25/04	Dunaujvaros (W) Hungary NB1 Women	41-17	W
18/04	Esztergomi KC (W) Hungary NB1 Women	28-34	L

NEKA (W)

WLLLLLLLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
02/10	Fehervar KC (W) Hungary NB1 Women	21-23	L
18/09	Eszterhazy (W) Hungary NB1 Women	30-26	W
09/09	Ferencvarosi TC (W) Hungary NB1 Women	22-39	L
01/09	Gyor (W) Hungary NB1 Women	24-37	L
31/05	Gyor (W) Hungary NB1 Women	24-42	L
24/05	Ferencvarosi TC (W) Hungary NB1 Women	22-35	L
16/05	Vac (W) Hungary NB1 Women	24-34	L
09/05	Kisvarda (W) Hungary NB1 Women	19-22	L
25/04	Mosonmagyarovari KC (W) Hungary NB1 Women	27-40	L
18/04	Szombathelyi KKA (W) Hungary NB1 Women	26-25	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vac (W) vs NEKA (W)?

Our model gives 74% to Vac (W).

How many points are expected in Vac (W) vs NEKA (W)?

The model estimates 58 total points (Vac (W) 31.4 · NEKA (W) 26.7).