Handball · Hungary NB1 · 15/11, 17:00

Prediction: Szigetszentmiklosi KSK vs NEKA

Team pages: Szigetszentmiklosi KSK · NEKA

Prediction summary

Estimated points

59Total

Szigetszentmiklosi KSK29.4

NEKA29.6

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

59% 41%

Szigetszentmiklosi KSK NEKA

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Markets

Over 52.5 points 75%

Recent form · 10 last

Szigetszentmiklosi KSK 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

LDLWDLDLLL

NEKA 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WLLWDWLLLW

Head-to-head

Szigetszentmiklosi KSK 0–2 NEKA (2 last)

NEKA36-31Szigetszentmiklosi KSK
Szigetszentmiklosi KSK26-28NEKA

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Szigetszentmiklosi KSK 1415 · NEKA 1488

	Szigetszentmiklosi KSK	NEKA
Our model	50%	50%
Market	58%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 59 points · Bet365 line 52.5 · +6.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points59Szigetszentmiklosi KSK 29.4 · NEKA 29.6

Match keys

H2H favours NEKA: 2-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Szigetszentmiklosi KSK	NEKA
Points F\|A (Last 10)	27.3 / 30.2	28.8 / 32
Points F\|A (Last 5)	27.4 / 32.2	27.6 / 29.8
Est. result	29	30

Est. total59

Line O/U52.5

Diff.6.5

Over / Under75% / 25%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.55

X8.00

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.80

2 (+1.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 52.51.95

Under 52.51.75

Diff.: 6.65 · Est. total: 59.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 23:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.55 → 1.55	Bet365 1.55
X	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.3%

Time*	1	X	2
22:57 +20’	1.55	8.00	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Szigetszentmiklosi KSK 0–0–2 NEKA

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Hungary NB1	NEKA	36-31	Szigetszentmiklosi KSK
21/11/25 Hungary NB1	Szigetszentmiklosi KSK	26-28	NEKA

Standings · Hungary NB1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Pick Szeged	10	9	0	1	385	281	18
2	Veszprem	7	7	0	0	292	183	14
3	Tatabanya	8	5	2	1	249	215	12
4	Gyori ETO-UNI FKC	8	5	1	2	256	226	11
5	Csurgoi KK	8	4	2	2	218	208	10
6	Gyongyos	9	4	1	4	277	306	9
7	Ferencvaros	8	4	0	4	241	277	8
8	PLER Budapest	7	3	2	2	208	189	8
9	NEKA	8	3	1	4	214	238	7
10	Balatonfuredi KSE	8	3	1	4	219	237	7
11	Szigetszentmiklosi KSK	8	1	2	5	214	238	4
12	Dabas	8	2	0	6	241	299	4
13	Budai Farkasok-Rev	8	1	0	7	216	241	2
14	Eger	9	0	0	9	230	322	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Szigetszentmiklosi KSK	NEKA
Balatonfuredi KSE	23-30 L	29-25 W
Tatabanya	31-31 D	23-30 L
Pick Szeged	30-43 L	29-40 L
Gyongyos	27-27 D	25-28 L
Budai Farkasok-Rev	25-24 W	32-26 W
PLER Budapest	25-26 L	27-27 D
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 3 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: NEKA (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Szigetszentmiklosi KSK

LDLWDLDLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/10	Csurgoi KK Hungary NB1	22-23	L
24/10	Gyori ETO-UNI FKC Hungary NB1	31-34	L
16/10	Balatonfuredi KSE Hungary NB1	23-30	L
10/10	Tatabanya Hungary NB1	31-31	D
26/09	Pick Szeged Hungary NB1	30-43	L
19/09	Gyongyos Hungary NB1	27-27	D
12/09	Budai Farkasok-Rev Hungary NB1	25-24	W
04/09	PLER Budapest Hungary NB1	25-26	L
20/05	PLER Budapest Hungary NB1	28-28	D
10/05	Ferencvaros Hungary NB1	31-36	L

NEKA

WLLWDWLLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/10	Balatonfuredi KSE Hungary NB1	29-25	W
24/10	Tatabanya Hungary NB1	23-30	L
18/10	Pick Szeged Hungary NB1	29-40	L
10/10	Gyongyos Hungary NB1	25-28	L
26/09	Budai Farkasok-Rev Hungary NB1	32-26	W
18/09	PLER Budapest Hungary NB1	27-27	D
12/09	Eger Hungary NB1	28-22	W
04/09	Veszprem Hungary NB1	21-40	L
20/05	Veszprem Hungary NB1	40-51	L
10/05	Balatonfuredi KSE Hungary NB1	34-31	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Szigetszentmiklosi KSK vs NEKA?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Szigetszentmiklosi KSK 59% · NEKA 41%).

How many points are expected in Szigetszentmiklosi KSK vs NEKA?

The model estimates 59 total points (Szigetszentmiklosi KSK 29.4 · NEKA 29.6).