Handball · Hungary NB1 · 14/11, 18:00

Prediction: Tatabanya vs Ferencvaros

Team pages: Tatabanya · Ferencvaros

Prediction summary

Estimated points

63.3Total

Tatabanya33.5

Ferencvaros29.8

1X2

77% 23%

Tatabanya Ferencvaros

Recent form · 10 last

Tatabanya 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWDLDWWW

Ferencvaros 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WLWLWLLWWL

Head-to-head

Tatabanya 0–2–4 Ferencvaros (6 last)

Tatabanya32-38Ferencvaros
Ferencvaros31-25Tatabanya
Ferencvaros26-26Tatabanya
Tatabanya34-37Ferencvaros
Ferencvaros41-33Tatabanya
Ferencvaros27-27Tatabanya

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tatabanya 1533 · Ferencvaros 1491

	Tatabanya	Ferencvaros
Our model	66%	34%
Market	78%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 63.3 points · Bet365 line 62.5 · +0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points63.3Tatabanya 33.5 · Ferencvaros 29.8

Match keys

Tatabanya is a clear favourite (77% market).
H2H favours Ferencvaros: 4-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Tatabanya	Ferencvaros
Points F\|A (Last 10)	32.1 / 27.8	30.4 / 34.5
Points F\|A (Last 5)	31.6 / 27.6	29 / 35.2
Est. result	34	30

Est. total63.3

Line O/U62.5

Diff.0.8

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.15

X11.00

26.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-5.5)1.85

2 (+5.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 62.51.95

Under 62.51.75

Diff.: 0.1 · Est. total: 62.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 23:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.15 → 1.15	Bet365 1.15
X	11.00 → 11.00	Bet365 11.00
2	6.50 → 6.50	Bet365 6.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
22:56 +20’	1.15	11.00	6.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Tatabanya 0–2–4 Ferencvaros

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
06/05/26 Hungary NB1	Tatabanya	32-38	Ferencvaros
29/11/25 Hungary NB1	Ferencvaros	31-25	Tatabanya
05/11/25 Hungary Cup	Ferencvaros	26-26	Tatabanya
22/02/25 Hungary NB1	Tatabanya	34-37	Ferencvaros
21/09/24 Hungary NB1	Ferencvaros	41-33	Tatabanya
07/04/24 Hungary NB1	Ferencvaros	27-27	Tatabanya

Standings · Hungary NB1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Pick Szeged	10	9	0	1	385	281	18
2	Veszprem	7	7	0	0	292	183	14
3	Tatabanya	8	5	2	1	249	215	12
4	Gyori ETO-UNI FKC	8	5	1	2	256	226	11
5	Csurgoi KK	8	4	2	2	218	208	10
6	Gyongyos	9	4	1	4	277	306	9
7	Ferencvaros	8	4	0	4	241	277	8
8	PLER Budapest	7	3	2	2	208	189	8
9	NEKA	8	3	1	4	214	238	7
10	Balatonfuredi KSE	8	3	1	4	219	237	7
11	Szigetszentmiklosi KSK	8	1	2	5	214	238	4
12	Dabas	8	2	0	6	241	299	4
13	Budai Farkasok-Rev	8	1	0	7	216	241	2
14	Eger	9	0	0	9	230	322	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Tatabanya	Ferencvaros
Dabas	41-31 W	39-29 W
Szigetszentmiklosi KSK	31-31 D	36-31 W
Gyori ETO-UNI FKC	24-24 D	22-40 L
Pick Szeged	32-31 W	27-35 L
Gyongyos	35-22 W	32-42 L
Budai Farkasok-Rev	41-34 W	32-29 W
PLER Budapest	31-29 W	32-30 W
Record vs common	5 W 2 D 0 L	4 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Tatabanya (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tatabanya

WWWWDLDWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/10	Dabas Hungary NB1	41-31	W
24/10	NEKA Hungary NB1	30-23	W
17/10	Csurgoi KK Hungary NB1	30-26	W
10/10	Szigetszentmiklosi KSK Hungary NB1	31-31	D
26/09	Balatonfuredi KSE Hungary NB1	26-27	L
18/09	Gyori ETO-UNI FKC Hungary NB1	24-24	D
13/09	Pick Szeged Hungary NB1	32-31	W
06/09	Gyongyos Hungary NB1	35-22	W
20/05	Budai Farkasok-Rev Hungary NB1	41-34	W
10/05	PLER Budapest Hungary NB1	31-29	W

Ferencvaros

WLWLWLLWWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
24/10	Gyongyos Hungary NB1	32-42	L
16/10	Budai Farkasok-Rev Hungary NB1	32-29	W
09/10	PLER Budapest Hungary NB1	32-30	W
02/10	Pick Szeged Hungary NB1	27-35	L
27/09	Gyori ETO-UNI FKC Hungary NB1	22-40	L
25/09	Eger Hungary NB1	31-30	W
18/09	Veszprem Hungary NB1	26-42	L
04/09	Dabas Hungary NB1	39-29	W
20/05	Pick Szeged Hungary NB1	27-37	L
10/05	Szigetszentmiklosi KSK Hungary NB1	36-31	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tatabanya vs Ferencvaros?

Our model gives 77% to Tatabanya.

How many points are expected in Tatabanya vs Ferencvaros?

The model estimates 63.3 total points (Tatabanya 33.5 · Ferencvaros 29.8).