Handball · Portugal Divisao de Honra Women · 10/10, 20:00
Prediction: Santa Joana Maia (W) vs Almeida Garrett B (W)
Prediction summary
Estimated points
53Total
Santa Joana Maia (W)24.3
Almeida Garrett B (W)28.7
1X2
Santa Joana Maia (W)
Almeida Garrett B (W)
Recent form · 10 last
Santa Joana Maia (W)
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Almeida Garrett B (W)
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Santa Joana Maia (W)
1–1–0
Almeida Garrett B (W)
(2 last)
- Almeida Garrett B (W)31-31Santa Joana Maia (W)
- Santa Joana Maia (W)27-25Almeida Garrett B (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Santa Joana Maia (W) 1432 · Almeida Garrett B (W) 1530
| Santa Joana Maia (W) | Almeida Garrett B (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 5% | 90% |
Estimated total (ours)
53 points · Bet365 line 51.5 · +1.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points53Santa Joana Maia (W) 24.3 · Almeida Garrett B (W) 28.7
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Almeida Garrett B (W) (rating 1432 vs 1530).
- Almeida Garrett B (W) is a clear favourite (78% market).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Santa Joana Maia (W) | Almeida Garrett B (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 22.2 / 28.5 | 29.6 / 25.6 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 21.6 / 30 | 29.8 / 27 |
| Est. result | 24 | 29 |
Est. total53
Line O/U51.5
Diff.1.5
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Santa Joana Maia (W) 1–1–0 Almeida Garrett B (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/01/26 Portugal Divisao de Honra Women | Almeida Garrett B (W) | 31-31 | Santa Joana Maia (W) |
| 11/10/25 Portugal Divisao de Honra Women | Santa Joana Maia (W) | 27-25 | Almeida Garrett B (W) |
Standings · Portugal Divisao de Honra Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maiastars (W) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 98 | 72 | 9 |
| 2 | CS Madeira (W) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 88 | 65 | 9 |
| 3 | P.Rebordosa (W) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 93 | 75 | 9 |
| 4 | NAAL Passos Manuel (W) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 92 | 93 | 6 |
| 5 | Colegio Gaia (W) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 74 | 86 | 5 |
| 6 | CP Valongo Vouga (W) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 50 | 51 | 4 |
| 7 | AA Didaxis (W) | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 61 | 66 | 3 |
| 8 | ARC Alpendorada (W) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 71 | 87 | 3 |
| 9 | Almeida Garrett B (W) | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 58 | 61 | 2 |
| 10 | Santa Joana Maia (W) | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 36 | 65 | 2 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Santa Joana Maia (W) | Almeida Garrett B (W) |
|---|---|---|
| P.Rebordosa (W) | 18-32 L | 30-32 L |
| AA Didaxis (W) | 25-22 W | 24-23 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Santa Joana Maia (W)
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Maiastars (W) Portugal Divisao de Honra Women |
18-33 | L |
| 19/09 | P.Rebordosa (W) Portugal Divisao de Honra Women |
18-32 | L |
| 23/05 | Alavarium ACA (W) Portugal Divisao de Honra Women |
22-31 | L |
| 09/05 | CD Feirense (W) Portugal Divisao de Honra Women |
29-25 | W |
| 25/04 | Maiastars (W) Portugal Divisao de Honra Women |
21-29 | L |
| 18/04 | Alavarium ACA (W) Portugal Divisao de Honra Women |
17-28 | L |
| 21/03 | CD Feirense (W) Portugal Divisao de Honra Women |
26-25 | W |
| 14/03 | Maiastars (W) Portugal Divisao de Honra Women |
20-31 | L |
| 14/02 | Maiastars (W) Portugal Divisao de Honra Women |
26-29 | L |
| 07/02 | AA Didaxis (W) Portugal Divisao de Honra Women |
25-22 | W |
Almeida Garrett B (W)
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | P.Rebordosa (W) Portugal Divisao de Honra Women |
30-32 | L |
| 13/09 | CS Madeira (W) Portugal Divisao de Honra Women |
28-29 | L |
| 30/05 | SIR 1 Maio (W) Portugal Divisao de Honra Women |
32-21 | W |
| 23/05 | EA Beira Douro (W) Portugal Divisao de Honra Women |
29-24 | W |
| 16/05 | ARC Alpendorada (W) Portugal Divisao de Honra Women |
30-29 | W |
| 09/05 | AA Didaxis (W) Portugal Divisao de Honra Women |
24-23 | W |
| 02/05 | ASS Assomada (W) Portugal Divisao de Honra Women |
28-29 | L |
| 25/04 | SIR 1 Maio (W) Portugal Divisao de Honra Women |
36-14 | W |
| 18/04 | EA Beira Douro (W) Portugal Divisao de Honra Women |
34-30 | W |
| 28/03 | ARC Alpendorada (W) Portugal Divisao de Honra Women |
25-25 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Santa Joana Maia (W) vs Almeida Garrett B (W)?
Our model gives 78% to Almeida Garrett B (W).
How many points are expected in Santa Joana Maia (W) vs Almeida Garrett B (W)?
The model estimates 53 total points (Santa Joana Maia (W) 24.3 · Almeida Garrett B (W) 28.7).