Handball · Argentina LHC Plata Clausura · 16/08, 23:00

Prediction: AFALP vs Ferro Carril Oeste B

Team pages: AFALP · Ferro Carril Oeste B

Prediction summary

Estimated points

52.3Total

AFALP25.4

Ferro Carril Oeste B27

1X2

38% 62%

AFALP Ferro Carril Oeste B

Recent form · 10 last

AFALP 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

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Ferro Carril Oeste B 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

AFALP 3–1 Ferro Carril Oeste B (4 last)

Ferro Carril Oeste B24-19AFALP
AFALP31-26Ferro Carril Oeste B
AFALP26-25Ferro Carril Oeste B
Ferro Carril Oeste B23-26AFALP

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · AFALP 1442 · Ferro Carril Oeste B 1501

	AFALP	Ferro Carril Oeste B
Our model	52%	48%
Market	26%	64%

Estimated total (ours) 52.3 points · Bet365 line 51.5 · +0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points52.3AFALP 25.4 · Ferro Carril Oeste B 27

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ferro Carril Oeste B (rating 1442 vs 1501).
H2H favours AFALP: 3-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	AFALP	Ferro Carril Oeste B
Points F\|A (Last 10)	22.1 / 24.2	30.1 / 28.5
Points F\|A (Last 5)	22.8 / 24.6	31.2 / 29.4
Est. result	25	27

Est. total52.3

Line O/U51.5

Diff.0.8

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

13.50

X8.50

21.42

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+2.5)1.85

2 (-2.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 51.51.95

Under 51.51.75

Diff.: 0.95 · Est. total: 52.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:48

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
X	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50
2	1.42 → 1.42	Bet365 1.42

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.8%

Time*	1	X	2
11:33 +15’	3.50	8.50	1.42

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · AFALP 3–0–1 Ferro Carril Oeste B

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/03/26 Argentina LHC Plata Apertura	Ferro Carril Oeste B	24-19	AFALP
09/06/25 Argentina LHC Plata Apertura	AFALP	31-26	Ferro Carril Oeste B
14/10/24 Argentina LHC Plata Clausura	AFALP	26-25	Ferro Carril Oeste B
02/06/24 Argentina LHC Plata Apertura	Ferro Carril Oeste B	23-26	AFALP

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	AFALP	Ferro Carril Oeste B
Cideco	36-32 W	42-25 W
CA San Telmo	17-25 L	28-28 D
Juventud Unida	22-22 D	28-27 W
CA Lanus	18-26 L	29-34 L
Comunicaciones	20-27 L	29-33 L
Sag Ballester B	21-21 D	27-26 W
UBA	20-21 L	27-28 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 4 L	3 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Ferro Carril Oeste B (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

AFALP

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
05/07	Colegio Goethe Argentina LHC Plata Apertura	18-20	L
28/06	CID Mariano Moreno Argentina LHC Plata Apertura	21-24	L
14/06	Cideco Argentina LHC Plata Apertura	36-32	W
07/06	CA San Telmo Argentina LHC Plata Apertura	17-25	L
31/05	Juventud Unida Argentina LHC Plata Apertura	22-22	D
24/05	CA Lanus Argentina LHC Plata Apertura	18-26	L
17/05	Comunicaciones Argentina LHC Plata Apertura	20-27	L
10/05	Sag Ballester B Argentina LHC Plata Apertura	21-21	D
26/04	Manuel Dorrego B Argentina LHC Plata Apertura	28-24	W
12/04	UBA Argentina LHC Plata Apertura	20-21	L

Ferro Carril Oeste B

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
10/08	Cideco Argentina LHC Plata Clausura	42-25	W
12/07	CA San Telmo Argentina LHC Plata Apertura	28-28	D
05/07	Juventud Unida Argentina LHC Plata Apertura	28-27	W
18/06	CA Lanus Argentina LHC Plata Apertura	29-34	L
14/06	Comunicaciones Argentina LHC Plata Apertura	29-33	L
07/06	Sag Ballester B Argentina LHC Plata Apertura	27-26	W
17/05	Boca Juniors Argentina LHC Plata Apertura	33-34	L
10/05	UBA Argentina LHC Plata Apertura	27-28	L
19/04	Mariano Acosta Argentina LHC Plata Apertura	34-31	W
29/03	AFALP Argentina LHC Plata Apertura	24-19	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AFALP vs Ferro Carril Oeste B?

Our model gives 62% to Ferro Carril Oeste B.

How many points are expected in AFALP vs Ferro Carril Oeste B?

The model estimates 52.3 total points (AFALP 25.4 · Ferro Carril Oeste B 27).