Handball · Romania Liga Nationala · 14/11, 14:00

Prediction: CSM Constanta vs HC Minaur Baia Mare

Team pages: CSM Constanta · HC Minaur Baia Mare

Prediction summary

Estimated points

54.9Total

CSM Constanta27

HC Minaur Baia Mare27.9

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

43% 57%

CSM Constanta HC Minaur Baia Mare

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

CSM Constanta 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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HC Minaur Baia Mare 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

CSM Constanta 1–2–3 HC Minaur Baia Mare (6 last)

HC Minaur Baia Mare26-24CSM Constanta
CSM Constanta25-25HC Minaur Baia Mare
CSM Constanta28-34HC Minaur Baia Mare
HC Minaur Baia Mare27-27CSM Constanta
HC Minaur Baia Mare26-21CSM Constanta
HC Minaur Baia Mare24-29CSM Constanta

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CSM Constanta 1471 · HC Minaur Baia Mare 1560

	CSM Constanta	HC Minaur Baia Mare
Our model	47%	53%
Market	36%	52%

Estimated total (ours) 54.9 points · Bet365 line 52.5 · +2.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points54.9CSM Constanta 27 · HC Minaur Baia Mare 27.9

Match keys

H2H favours HC Minaur Baia Mare: 3-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	CSM Constanta	HC Minaur Baia Mare
Points F\|A (Last 10)	26 / 26	31 / 28.6
Points F\|A (Last 5)	25.8 / 25.4	32.2 / 28.6
Est. result	27	28

Est. total54.9

Line O/U52.5

Diff.2.4

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.55

X8.00

21.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.95

2 (-0.5)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 52.52.00

Under 52.51.72

Diff.: 3.3 · Est. total: 55.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55
X	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00
2	1.75 → 1.75	Bet365 1.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.9%

Time*	1	X	2
18:21 +56’	2.55	8.00	1.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · CSM Constanta 1–2–3 HC Minaur Baia Mare

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/02/26 Romania Liga Nationala	HC Minaur Baia Mare	26-24	CSM Constanta
17/09/25 Romania Liga Nationala	CSM Constanta	25-25	HC Minaur Baia Mare
15/04/25 Romania Liga Nationala	CSM Constanta	28-34	HC Minaur Baia Mare
19/03/25 Romania Cup	HC Minaur Baia Mare	27-27	CSM Constanta
16/11/24 Romania Liga Nationala	HC Minaur Baia Mare	26-21	CSM Constanta
18/05/24 Romania Cup	HC Minaur Baia Mare	24-29	CSM Constanta

Standings · Romania Liga Nationala

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Dinamo Bucuresti	6	5	0	1	176	147	10
2	CSM Bucuresti	6	5	0	1	201	178	10
3	HC Minaur Baia Mare	6	4	1	1	188	162	9
4	Poli Timisoara	6	4	1	1	185	162	9
5	Potaissa Turda	6	3	2	1	152	144	8
6	HC Vaslui	6	3	0	3	158	172	6
7	CSU Suceava	6	3	0	3	181	179	6
8	HC Buzau	6	3	0	3	178	178	6
9	CSM Constanta	6	2	0	4	151	150	4
10	CS Universitatea Cluj	6	1	0	5	148	178	2
11	Steaua Bucuresti	6	1	0	5	174	184	2
12	Teutonii Ghimbav	6	0	0	6	171	229	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CSM Constanta	HC Minaur Baia Mare
CSM Bucuresti	25-27 L	27-29 L
Potaissa Turda	17-25 L	25-25 D
Teutonii Ghimbav	34-27 W	38-26 W
CS Universitatea Cluj	30-24 W	27-19 W
CSU Suceava	26-24 W	39-33 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 2 L	3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: HC Minaur Baia Mare (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CSM Constanta

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
23/10	CSM Bucuresti Romania Liga Nationala	25-27	L
13/10	Potaissa Turda Romania Liga Nationala	17-25	L
03/10	Teutonii Ghimbav Romania Liga Nationala	34-27	W
26/09	CS Universitatea Cluj Romania Liga Nationala	30-24	W
12/09	HC Vaslui Romania Liga Nationala	23-24	L
03/09	Dinamo Bucuresti Romania Liga Nationala	22-23	L
21/05	CSU Suceava Romania Liga Nationala	26-24	W
07/05	CS Universitatea Cluj Romania Liga Nationala	27-24	W
25/04	CSM Bucuresti Romania Liga Nationala	29-31	L
04/04	Potaissa Turda Romania Liga Nationala	27-31	L

HC Minaur Baia Mare

LWLLWWDLWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
24/10	CSU Suceava Romania Liga Nationala	39-33	W
14/10	Poli Timisoara Romania Liga Nationala	32-30	W
08/10	CSM Bucuresti Romania Liga Nationala	27-29	L
26/09	Potaissa Turda Romania Liga Nationala	25-25	D
12/09	Teutonii Ghimbav Romania Liga Nationala	38-26	W
05/09	CS Universitatea Cluj Romania Liga Nationala	27-19	W
24/05	CSM Bucuresti Romania Liga Nationala	29-33	L
07/05	Potaissa Turda Romania Liga Nationala	28-30	L
25/04	CSM Sighisoara Romania Liga Nationala	37-25	W
22/04	HC Buzau Romania Liga Nationala	28-36	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CSM Constanta vs HC Minaur Baia Mare?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (CSM Constanta 43% · HC Minaur Baia Mare 57%).

How many points are expected in CSM Constanta vs HC Minaur Baia Mare?

The model estimates 54.9 total points (CSM Constanta 27 · HC Minaur Baia Mare 27.9).