Handball · Romania Liga Nationala · 23/10, 18:30

Prediction: CSM Bucuresti vs CSM Constanta

Team pages: CSM Bucuresti · CSM Constanta

Prediction summary

Estimated points

56.5Total

CSM Bucuresti29.2

CSM Constanta27.3

1X2

69% 31%

CSM Bucuresti CSM Constanta

Recent form · 10 last

CSM Bucuresti 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWLWW

CSM Constanta 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LLLWWLLWWL

Head-to-head

CSM Bucuresti 2–4 CSM Constanta (6 last)

CSM Constanta29-31CSM Bucuresti
CSM Bucuresti26-21CSM Constanta
CSM Bucuresti21-29CSM Constanta
CSM Constanta26-20CSM Bucuresti
CSM Bucuresti25-34CSM Constanta
CSM Constanta28-26CSM Bucuresti

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CSM Bucuresti 1527 · CSM Constanta 1473

	CSM Bucuresti	CSM Constanta
Our model	67%	33%
Market	63%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 56.5 points · Bet365 line 55.5 · +1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points56.5CSM Bucuresti 29.2 · CSM Constanta 27.3

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CSM Bucuresti (rating 1527 vs 1473).
CSM Bucuresti is a clear favourite (69% market).
H2H favours CSM Constanta: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	CSM Bucuresti	CSM Constanta
Points F\|A (Last 10)	34.4 / 29.6	26 / 26.1
Points F\|A (Last 5)	34.8 / 30.6	25.2 / 24.6
Est. result	29	27

Est. total56.5

Line O/U55.5

Diff.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.42

X8.50

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.5)1.85

2 (+2.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 55.51.85

Under 55.51.85

Diff.: 2.55 · Est. total: 58.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.42 → 1.42	Bet365 1.42
X	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50
2	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
20:07 +7’	1.42	8.50	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · CSM Bucuresti 2–0–4 CSM Constanta

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Romania Liga Nationala	CSM Constanta	29-31	CSM Bucuresti
21/11/25 Romania Liga Nationala	CSM Bucuresti	26-21	CSM Constanta
03/03/25 Romania Liga Nationala	CSM Bucuresti	21-29	CSM Constanta
28/09/24 Romania Liga Nationala	CSM Constanta	26-20	CSM Bucuresti
23/02/24 Romania Liga Nationala	CSM Bucuresti	25-34	CSM Constanta
24/09/23 Romania Liga Nationala	CSM Constanta	28-26	CSM Bucuresti

Standings · Romania Liga Nationala

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CSM Bucuresti	5	4	0	1	174	153	8
2	Dinamo Bucuresti	5	4	0	1	143	122	8
3	HC Minaur Baia Mare	5	3	1	1	149	129	7
4	Poli Timisoara	5	3	1	1	150	141	7
5	Potaissa Turda	5	2	2	1	120	113	6
6	CSU Suceava	5	3	0	2	148	140	6
7	HC Vaslui	5	3	0	2	137	137	6
8	CSM Constanta	5	2	0	3	126	123	4
9	HC Buzau	5	2	0	3	146	156	4
10	CS Universitatea Cluj	5	1	0	4	123	145	2
11	Steaua Bucuresti	5	1	0	4	143	152	2
12	Teutonii Ghimbav	5	0	0	5	149	197	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CSM Bucuresti	CSM Constanta
CSU Suceava	30-29 W	26-24 W
Poli Timisoara	36-40 L	25-28 L
Potaissa Turda	28-23 W	17-25 L
Teutonii Ghimbav	51-34 W	34-27 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CSM Bucuresti

WWWWWWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
18/10	CSU Suceava Romania Liga Nationala	30-29	W
08/10	HC Minaur Baia Mare Romania Liga Nationala	29-27	W
25/09	Poli Timisoara Romania Liga Nationala	36-40	L
11/09	Potaissa Turda Romania Liga Nationala	28-23	W
04/09	Teutonii Ghimbav Romania Liga Nationala	51-34	W
24/05	HC Minaur Baia Mare Romania Liga Nationala	33-29	W
07/05	CSU Suceava Romania Liga Nationala	39-30	W
25/04	CSM Constanta Romania Liga Nationala	31-29	W
10/04	Potaissa Turda Romania Liga Nationala	29-27	W
04/04	CSM Sighisoara Romania Liga Nationala	38-28	W

CSM Constanta

LLLWWLLWWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
13/10	Potaissa Turda Romania Liga Nationala	17-25	L
03/10	Teutonii Ghimbav Romania Liga Nationala	34-27	W
26/09	CS Universitatea Cluj Romania Liga Nationala	30-24	W
12/09	HC Vaslui Romania Liga Nationala	23-24	L
03/09	Dinamo Bucuresti Romania Liga Nationala	22-23	L
21/05	CSU Suceava Romania Liga Nationala	26-24	W
07/05	CS Universitatea Cluj Romania Liga Nationala	27-24	W
25/04	CSM Bucuresti Romania Liga Nationala	29-31	L
04/04	Potaissa Turda Romania Liga Nationala	27-31	L
28/03	Poli Timisoara Romania Liga Nationala	25-28	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CSM Bucuresti vs CSM Constanta?

Our model gives 69% to CSM Bucuresti.

How many points are expected in CSM Bucuresti vs CSM Constanta?

The model estimates 56.5 total points (CSM Bucuresti 29.2 · CSM Constanta 27.3).