Handball · Argentina LHC Oro Clausura · 16/08, 01:15

Prediction: VILO vs River Plate

Team pages: VILO · River Plate

Prediction summary

Estimated points

52.8Total

VILO24.9

River Plate28

1X2

42% 58%

VILO River Plate

Recent form · 10 last

VILO 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLLDWL

River Plate 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

DWLLWWLLWW

Head-to-head

VILO 2–4 River Plate (6 last)

River Plate36-25VILO
River Plate27-28VILO
VILO26-31River Plate
VILO28-29River Plate
River Plate30-34VILO
River Plate30-23VILO

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · VILO 1416 · River Plate 1516

	VILO	River Plate
Our model	46%	54%
Market	34%	54%

Estimated total (ours) 52.8 points · Bet365 line 56.5 · -3.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points52.8VILO 24.9 · River Plate 28

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours River Plate (rating 1416 vs 1516).
H2H favours River Plate: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	VILO	River Plate
Points F\|A (Last 10)	26.5 / 30.9	24.6 / 23.6
Points F\|A (Last 5)	28 / 29	24.8 / 24.2
Est. result	25	28

Est. total52.8

Line O/U56.5

Diff.3.7

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.60

X8.00

21.65

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)1.80

2 (-1.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 56.51.85

Under 56.51.85

Diff.: 3.7 · Est. total: 52.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:53

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60
X	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00
2	1.65 → 1.65	Bet365 1.65

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
11:38 +15’	2.60	8.00	1.65

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · VILO 2–0–4 River Plate

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
28/03/26 Argentina LHC Oro Apertura	River Plate	36-25	VILO
17/09/25 Argentina LHC Oro Clausura	River Plate	27-28	VILO
29/03/25 Argentina LHC Oro Apertura	VILO	26-31	River Plate
23/05/24 Argentina LHC Oro Apertura	VILO	28-29	River Plate
08/07/23 Argentina LHC Oro Apertura	River Plate	30-34	VILO
21/10/22 Argentina LHC Oro Clausura	River Plate	30-23	VILO

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	VILO	River Plate
Bartolome Mitre	24-26 L	27-24 W
Velez Sarsfield	28-23 W	23-17 W
NS Lujan	23-35 L	32-26 W
San Fernando Handball	24-33 L	26-27 L
Ferro Carril Oeste	22-27 L	20-20 D
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 4 L	3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: River Plate (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

VILO

LLLLLLLDWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
12/07	Bartolome Mitre Argentina LHC Oro Apertura	24-26	L
09/07	Velez Sarsfield Argentina LHC Oro Apertura	28-23	W
31/05	Colegio Ward Argentina LHC Oro Apertura	26-26	D
29/05	Argentinos Juniors Argentina LHC Oro Apertura	31-37	L
24/05	SAG de Lomas de Zamora Argentina LHC Oro Apertura	31-33	L
23/05	S.A.G.B. Argentina LHC Oro Apertura	31-33	L
10/05	NS Lujan Argentina LHC Oro Apertura	23-35	L
28/03	River Plate Argentina LHC Oro Apertura	25-36	L
22/03	San Fernando Handball Argentina LHC Oro Apertura	24-33	L
12/10	Ferro Carril Oeste Argentina LHC Oro Clausura	22-27	L

River Plate

DWLLWWLLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
12/07	NS Lujan Argentina LHC Oro Apertura	32-26	W
09/07	SAG Polvorines Argentina LHC Oro Apertura	27-24	W
23/06	Manuel Dorrego S and C America Club Champs	18-24	L
23/06	San Fernando Handball S and C America Club Champs	26-27	L
15/06	Sedalo Argentina LHC Oro Apertura	21-20	W
14/06	Bartolome Mitre Argentina LHC Oro Apertura	27-24	W
07/06	Manuel Dorrego Argentina LHC Oro Apertura	26-27	L
24/05	San Fernando Handball Argentina LHC Oro Apertura	26-27	L
10/05	Velez Sarsfield Argentina LHC Oro Apertura	23-17	W
01/05	Ferro Carril Oeste Argentina LHC Oro Apertura	20-20	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in VILO vs River Plate?

Our model gives 58% to River Plate.

How many points are expected in VILO vs River Plate?

The model estimates 52.8 total points (VILO 24.9 · River Plate 28).