Handball · Argentina LHC Oro Clausura · 16/08, 00:45

Prediction: NS Lujan vs Estudiantes de La Plata

Team pages: NS Lujan · Estudiantes de La Plata

Prediction summary

Estimated points

54.6Total

NS Lujan30.3

Estudiantes de La Plata24.4

1X2

82% 18%

NS Lujan Estudiantes de La Plata

Recent form · 10 last

NS Lujan 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWDWLDWWLL

Estudiantes de La Plata 0-1-9 (W-D-L)

LDLLLLLLLL

Head-to-head

NS Lujan 1–1 Estudiantes de La Plata (2 last)

NS Lujan33-36Estudiantes de La Plata
NS Lujan26-20Estudiantes de La Plata

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · NS Lujan 1523 · Estudiantes de La Plata 1408

	NS Lujan	Estudiantes de La Plata
Our model	74%	26%
Market	80%	12%

Estimated total (ours) 54.6 points · Bet365 line 57.5 · -2.9

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points54.6NS Lujan 30.3 · Estudiantes de La Plata 24.4

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours NS Lujan (rating 1523 vs 1408).
NS Lujan is a clear favourite (82% market).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	NS Lujan	Estudiantes de La Plata
Points F\|A (Last 10)	27.9 / 26.8	22.6 / 31.7
Points F\|A (Last 5)	26.6 / 27.2	23.6 / 32.8
Est. result	30	24

Est. total54.6

Line O/U57.5

Diff.2.9

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.12

X12.00

27.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-5.5)1.72

2 (+5.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 57.51.85

Under 57.51.85

Diff.: 3 · Est. total: 54.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:51

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.12 → 1.12	Bet365 1.12
X	12.00 → 12.00	Bet365 12.00
2	7.50 → 7.50	Bet365 7.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
11:51 +1’	1.12	12.00	7.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · NS Lujan 1–0–1 Estudiantes de La Plata

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
28/04/24 Argentina LHC Oro Apertura	NS Lujan	33-36	Estudiantes de La Plata
18/06/23 Argentina LHC Oro Apertura	NS Lujan	26-20	Estudiantes de La Plata

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	NS Lujan	Estudiantes de La Plata
Manuel Dorrego	25-28 L	21-34 L
San Fernando Handball	30-28 W	27-36 L
Colegio Ward	27-27 D	21-27 L
Argentinos Juniors	29-28 W	19-38 L
SAG Villa Ballester	26-26 D	26-26 D
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 1 L	0 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: NS Lujan (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

NS Lujan

WWDWLDWWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
07/08	Manuel Dorrego Argentina LHC Oro Clausura	25-28	L
12/07	River Plate Argentina LHC Oro Apertura	26-32	L
09/07	San Fernando Handball Argentina LHC Oro Apertura	30-28	W
15/06	Bartolome Mitre Argentina LHC Oro Apertura	25-21	W
14/06	Colegio Ward Argentina LHC Oro Apertura	27-27	D
06/06	Ferro Carril Oeste Argentina LHC Oro Apertura	21-24	L
31/05	Argentinos Juniors Argentina LHC Oro Apertura	29-28	W
24/05	SAG Villa Ballester Argentina LHC Oro Apertura	26-26	D
10/05	VILO Argentina LHC Oro Apertura	35-23	W
03/05	AA Quilmes Argentina LHC Oro Apertura	35-31	W

Estudiantes de La Plata

LDLLLLLLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
09/08	SAG Polvorines Argentina LHC Oro Clausura	17-25	L
11/07	Sedalo Argentina LHC Oro Apertura	29-34	L
09/07	SAG de Lomas de Zamora Argentina LHC Oro Apertura	24-35	L
16/06	Manuel Dorrego Argentina LHC Oro Apertura	21-34	L
07/06	San Fernando Handball Argentina LHC Oro Apertura	27-36	L
24/05	Velez Sarsfield Argentina LHC Oro Apertura	21-31	L
23/05	Velez Sarsfield Argentina LHC Oro Apertura	21-31	L
10/05	Argentinos Juniors Argentina LHC Oro Apertura	19-38	L
03/05	SAG Villa Ballester Argentina LHC Oro Apertura	26-26	D
26/04	Colegio Ward Argentina LHC Oro Apertura	21-27	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NS Lujan vs Estudiantes de La Plata?

Our model gives 82% to NS Lujan.

How many points are expected in NS Lujan vs Estudiantes de La Plata?

The model estimates 54.6 total points (NS Lujan 30.3 · Estudiantes de La Plata 24.4).