Handball · Sweden Handbollsligan · 11/11, 19:00

Prediction: IFK Skovde HK vs Alingsas HK

Team pages: IFK Skovde HK · Alingsas HK

Prediction summary

Estimated points

58.8Total

IFK Skovde HK29.4

Alingsas HK29.5

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

54% 46%

IFK Skovde HK Alingsas HK

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

IFK Skovde HK 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LLLWDDWWWL

Alingsas HK 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

DLWLWWLLWW

Head-to-head

IFK Skovde HK 2–4 Alingsas HK (6 last)

Alingsas HK18-17IFK Skovde HK
IFK Skovde HK28-31Alingsas HK
Alingsas HK36-26IFK Skovde HK
IFK Skovde HK25-23Alingsas HK
Alingsas HK33-24IFK Skovde HK
IFK Skovde HK28-21Alingsas HK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · IFK Skovde HK 1506 · Alingsas HK 1529

	IFK Skovde HK	Alingsas HK
Our model	57%	43%
Market	46%	42%

Estimated total (ours) 58.8 points · Bet365 line 62.5 · -3.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points58.8IFK Skovde HK 29.4 · Alingsas HK 29.5

Match keys

H2H favours Alingsas HK: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	IFK Skovde HK	Alingsas HK
Points F\|A (Last 10)	30.6 / 30.3	30.5 / 29
Points F\|A (Last 5)	34 / 30.8	29.4 / 26.6
Est. result	29	30

Est. total58.8

Line O/U62.5

Diff.3.7

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.00

X7.50

22.15

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.00

2 (+0.5)1.78

Line ⓘ

Over 62.51.88

Under 62.51.88

Diff.: 2.3 · Est. total: 60.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	7.50 → 7.50	Bet365 7.50
2	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.8%

Time*	1	X	2
02:52 +24’	2.00	7.50	2.15

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · IFK Skovde HK 2–0–4 Alingsas HK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/04/26 Sweden Handbollsligan	Alingsas HK	18-17	IFK Skovde HK
12/04/26 Sweden Handbollsligan	IFK Skovde HK	28-31	Alingsas HK
07/04/26 Sweden Handbollsligan	Alingsas HK	36-26	IFK Skovde HK
01/04/26 Sweden Handbollsligan	IFK Skovde HK	25-23	Alingsas HK
07/12/25 Sweden Handbollsligan	Alingsas HK	33-24	IFK Skovde HK
27/11/25 Sweden Handbollsligan	IFK Skovde HK	28-21	Alingsas HK

Standings · Sweden Handbollsligan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	HK Malmo	9	6	1	2	297	281	13
2	Ystads IF HF	8	5	1	2	247	218	11
3	IK Savehof	7	5	1	1	212	191	11
4	Amo HK	9	5	1	3	289	275	11
5	Alingsas HK	8	5	0	3	248	228	10
6	IFK Skovde HK	8	4	2	2	261	254	10
7	Hammarby IF HF	9	4	2	3	263	257	10
8	IFK Kristianstad	7	5	0	2	208	204	10
9	HIF Karlskrona	8	3	1	4	245	252	7
10	OV Helsingborg	8	2	3	3	226	240	7
11	Onnereds HK	9	2	2	5	269	279	6
12	Lugi HF	9	2	1	6	278	294	5
13	Skanela IF	9	2	0	7	261	291	4
14	IF Hallby HK	8	0	1	7	220	260	1

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	IFK Skovde HK	Alingsas HK
HK Malmo	29-35 L	27-28 L
Skanela IF	43-28 W	31-26 W
Lugi HF	35-32 W	39-37 W
Amo HK	34-30 W	28-30 L
Onnereds HK	29-29 D	32-30 W
HIF Karlskrona	36-35 W	34-28 W
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 1 L	4 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

IFK Skovde HK

LLLWDDWWWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
01/11	HK Malmo Sweden Handbollsligan	29-35	L
29/10	Skanela IF Sweden Handbollsligan	43-28	W
25/10	Lugi HF Sweden Handbollsligan	35-32	W
20/10	Amo HK Sweden Handbollsligan	34-30	W
15/10	OV Helsingborg Sweden Handbollsligan	29-29	D
03/10	Onnereds HK Sweden Handbollsligan	29-29	D
26/09	HIF Karlskrona Sweden Handbollsligan	36-35	W
23/09	Ystads IF HF Sweden Handbollsligan	26-36	L
15/04	Alingsas HK Sweden Handbollsligan	17-18	L
12/04	Alingsas HK Sweden Handbollsligan	28-31	L

Alingsas HK

DLWLWWLLWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
29/10	IF Hallby HK Sweden Handbollsligan	33-22	W
25/10	Onnereds HK Sweden Handbollsligan	32-30	W
21/10	Hammarby IF HF Sweden Handbollsligan	24-27	L
16/10	HK Malmo Sweden Handbollsligan	27-28	L
09/10	Skanela IF Sweden Handbollsligan	31-26	W
04/10	Lugi HF Sweden Handbollsligan	39-37	W
26/09	Amo HK Sweden Handbollsligan	28-30	L
23/09	HIF Karlskrona Sweden Handbollsligan	34-28	W
08/05	IFK Kristianstad Sweden Handbollsligan	27-32	L
06/05	IFK Kristianstad Sweden Handbollsligan	30-30	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in IFK Skovde HK vs Alingsas HK?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (IFK Skovde HK 54% · Alingsas HK 46%).

How many points are expected in IFK Skovde HK vs Alingsas HK?

The model estimates 58.8 total points (IFK Skovde HK 29.4 · Alingsas HK 29.5).