Handball · Sweden Handbollsligan · 11/11, 19:00

Prediction: IK Savehof vs HIF Karlskrona

Team pages: IK Savehof · HIF Karlskrona

Prediction summary

Estimated points

62.5Total

IK Savehof32.7

HIF Karlskrona29.8

1X2

73% 27%

IK Savehof HIF Karlskrona

Markets

Under 63.5 points 80%

Recent form · 10 last

IK Savehof 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LLLWWWWWLD

HIF Karlskrona 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WLLLWLWWLD

Head-to-head

IK Savehof 4–1–1 HIF Karlskrona (6 last)

IK Savehof39-36HIF Karlskrona
HIF Karlskrona30-33IK Savehof
HIF Karlskrona35-30IK Savehof
IK Savehof39-35HIF Karlskrona
IK Savehof27-27HIF Karlskrona
HIF Karlskrona28-37IK Savehof

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · IK Savehof 1560 · HIF Karlskrona 1469

	IK Savehof	HIF Karlskrona
Our model	72%	28%
Market	65%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 62.5 points · Bet365 line 63.5 · -1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points62.5IK Savehof 32.7 · HIF Karlskrona 29.8

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours IK Savehof (rating 1560 vs 1469).
IK Savehof is a clear favourite (73% market).
H2H favours IK Savehof: 4-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	IK Savehof	HIF Karlskrona
Points F\|A (Last 10)	30.2 / 29.8	31.4 / 32.3
Points F\|A (Last 5)	30.4 / 28.2	30.2 / 30.4
Est. result	33	30

Est. total62.5

Line O/U63.5

Diff.1

Over / Under20% / 80%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.40

X8.50

23.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.5)1.85

2 (+2.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 63.51.80

Under 63.51.95

Diff.: 1.65 · Est. total: 61.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.40 → 1.40	Bet365 1.40
X	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50
2	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.5%

Time*	1	X	2
03:35 +40’	1.40	8.50	3.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · IK Savehof 4–1–1 HIF Karlskrona

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/12/25 Sweden Handbollsligan	IK Savehof	39-36	HIF Karlskrona
28/11/25 Sweden Handbollsligan	HIF Karlskrona	30-33	IK Savehof
05/11/25 European League Qualification	HIF Karlskrona	35-30	IK Savehof
25/10/25 European League Qualification	IK Savehof	39-35	HIF Karlskrona
03/04/25 Sweden Handbollsligan	IK Savehof	27-27	HIF Karlskrona
31/03/25 Sweden Handbollsligan	HIF Karlskrona	28-37	IK Savehof

Standings · Sweden Handbollsligan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	HK Malmo	9	6	1	2	297	281	13
2	Ystads IF HF	8	5	1	2	247	218	11
3	IK Savehof	7	5	1	1	212	191	11
4	Amo HK	9	5	1	3	289	275	11
5	Alingsas HK	8	5	0	3	248	228	10
6	IFK Skovde HK	8	4	2	2	261	254	10
7	Hammarby IF HF	9	4	2	3	263	257	10
8	IFK Kristianstad	7	5	0	2	208	204	10
9	HIF Karlskrona	8	3	1	4	245	252	7
10	OV Helsingborg	8	2	3	3	226	240	7
11	Onnereds HK	9	2	2	5	269	279	6
12	Lugi HF	9	2	1	6	278	294	5
13	Skanela IF	9	2	0	7	261	291	4
14	IF Hallby HK	8	0	1	7	220	260	1

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	IK Savehof	HIF Karlskrona
Amo HK	21-31 L	31-30 W
Skanela IF	30-29 W	33-30 W
IFK Kristianstad	39-28 W	28-30 L
Hammarby IF HF	30-24 W	28-28 D
HK Malmo	34-37 L	30-34 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: IK Savehof (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

IK Savehof

LLLWWWWWLD

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
01/11	OV Helsingborg Sweden Handbollsligan	26-26	D
28/10	Amo HK Sweden Handbollsligan	21-31	L
25/10	Skanela IF Sweden Handbollsligan	30-29	W
21/10	IF Hallby HK Sweden Handbollsligan	36-27	W
19/10	IFK Kristianstad Sweden Handbollsligan	39-28	W
02/10	Hammarby IF HF Sweden Handbollsligan	30-24	W
23/09	Onnereds HK Sweden Handbollsligan	30-26	W
03/05	HK Malmo Sweden Handbollsligan	34-37	L
29/04	HK Malmo Sweden Handbollsligan	27-39	L
26/04	HK Malmo Sweden Handbollsligan	29-31	L

HIF Karlskrona

WLLLWLWWLD

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/10	Hammarby IF HF Sweden Handbollsligan	28-28	D
25/10	IFK Kristianstad Sweden Handbollsligan	28-30	L
22/10	Skanela IF Sweden Handbollsligan	33-30	W
16/10	Lugi HF Sweden Handbollsligan	32-30	W
09/10	HK Malmo Sweden Handbollsligan	30-34	L
02/10	Amo HK Sweden Handbollsligan	31-30	W
26/09	IFK Skovde HK Sweden Handbollsligan	35-36	L
23/09	Alingsas HK Sweden Handbollsligan	28-34	L
16/04	IFK Kristianstad Sweden Handbollsligan	35-41	L
13/04	IFK Kristianstad Sweden Handbollsligan	34-30	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in IK Savehof vs HIF Karlskrona?

Our model gives 73% to IK Savehof.

How many points are expected in IK Savehof vs HIF Karlskrona?

The model estimates 62.5 total points (IK Savehof 32.7 · HIF Karlskrona 29.8).