Handball · Sweden Handbollsligan · 11/11, 19:00

Prediction: IF Hallby HK vs HK Malmo

Team pages: IF Hallby HK · HK Malmo

Prediction summary

Estimated points

65.1Total

IF Hallby HK31.6

HK Malmo33.5

1X2

35% 65%

IF Hallby HK HK Malmo

Recent form · 10 last

IF Hallby HK 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

WWLLLDLLLL

HK Malmo 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LLWLWWWWDW

Head-to-head

IF Hallby HK 2–4 HK Malmo (6 last)

HK Malmo39-36IF Hallby HK
IF Hallby HK32-34HK Malmo
HK Malmo26-27IF Hallby HK
IF Hallby HK28-32HK Malmo
HK Malmo34-27IF Hallby HK
IF Hallby HK30-29HK Malmo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · IF Hallby HK 1450 · HK Malmo 1566

	IF Hallby HK	HK Malmo
Our model	43%	57%
Market	26%	63%

Estimated total (ours) 65.1 points · Bet365 line 64.5 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points65.1IF Hallby HK 31.6 · HK Malmo 33.5

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours HK Malmo (rating 1450 vs 1566).
HK Malmo is a clear favourite (65% market).
H2H favours HK Malmo: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	IF Hallby HK	HK Malmo
Points F\|A (Last 10)	28.9 / 32.1	33.5 / 32.2
Points F\|A (Last 5)	27.4 / 33.4	34.6 / 31.4
Est. result	32	34

Est. total65.1

Line O/U64.5

Diff.0.6

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

13.50

X8.00

21.42

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+2.5)1.88

2 (-2.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 64.51.88

Under 64.51.88

Diff.: 1.15 · Est. total: 63.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
X	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00
2	1.42 → 1.42	Bet365 1.42

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
02:49 +27’	3.50	8.00	1.42

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · IF Hallby HK 2–0–4 HK Malmo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/03/26 Sweden Handbollsligan	HK Malmo	39-36	IF Hallby HK
24/09/25 Sweden Handbollsligan	IF Hallby HK	32-34	HK Malmo
22/12/24 Sweden Handbollsligan	HK Malmo	26-27	IF Hallby HK
09/12/24 Sweden Handbollsligan	IF Hallby HK	28-32	HK Malmo
29/12/23 Sweden Handbollsligan	HK Malmo	34-27	IF Hallby HK
14/10/23 Sweden Handbollsligan	IF Hallby HK	30-29	HK Malmo

Standings · Sweden Handbollsligan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	HK Malmo	9	6	1	2	297	281	13
2	Ystads IF HF	8	5	1	2	247	218	11
3	IK Savehof	7	5	1	1	212	191	11
4	Amo HK	9	5	1	3	289	275	11
5	Alingsas HK	8	5	0	3	248	228	10
6	IFK Skovde HK	8	4	2	2	261	254	10
7	Hammarby IF HF	9	4	2	3	263	257	10
8	IFK Kristianstad	7	5	0	2	208	204	10
9	HIF Karlskrona	8	3	1	4	245	252	7
10	OV Helsingborg	8	2	3	3	226	240	7
11	Onnereds HK	9	2	2	5	269	279	6
12	Lugi HF	9	2	1	6	278	294	5
13	Skanela IF	9	2	0	7	261	291	4
14	IF Hallby HK	8	0	1	7	220	260	1

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	IF Hallby HK	HK Malmo
Alingsas HK	22-33 L	28-27 W
OV Helsingborg	32-39 L	32-25 W
Ystads IF HF	28-31 L	29-35 L
IFK Kristianstad	27-30 L	38-41 L
Hammarby IF HF	32-38 L	37-37 D
Lugi HF	24-25 L	33-31 W
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 6 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: HK Malmo (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

IF Hallby HK

WWLLLDLLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
29/10	Alingsas HK Sweden Handbollsligan	22-33	L
26/10	OV Helsingborg Sweden Handbollsligan	32-39	L
21/10	IK Savehof Sweden Handbollsligan	27-36	L
16/10	Ystads IF HF Sweden Handbollsligan	28-31	L
10/10	Onnereds HK Sweden Handbollsligan	28-28	D
03/10	IFK Kristianstad Sweden Handbollsligan	27-30	L
26/09	Hammarby IF HF Sweden Handbollsligan	32-38	L
23/09	Lugi HF Sweden Handbollsligan	24-25	L
08/04	GF Kroppskultur Sweden Handbollsligan	36-31	W
03/04	GF Kroppskultur Sweden Handbollsligan	33-30	W

HK Malmo

LLWLWWWWDW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
01/11	IFK Skovde HK Sweden Handbollsligan	35-29	W
28/10	Hammarby IF HF Sweden Handbollsligan	37-37	D
25/10	Amo HK Sweden Handbollsligan	40-33	W
21/10	Lugi HF Sweden Handbollsligan	33-31	W
16/10	Alingsas HK Sweden Handbollsligan	28-27	W
09/10	HIF Karlskrona Sweden Handbollsligan	34-30	W
03/10	Ystads IF HF Sweden Handbollsligan	29-35	L
26/09	OV Helsingborg Sweden Handbollsligan	32-25	W
23/09	Skanela IF Sweden Handbollsligan	29-34	L
29/05	IFK Kristianstad Sweden Handbollsligan	38-41	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in IF Hallby HK vs HK Malmo?

Our model gives 65% to HK Malmo.

How many points are expected in IF Hallby HK vs HK Malmo?

The model estimates 65.1 total points (IF Hallby HK 31.6 · HK Malmo 33.5).