Handball · Sweden Handbollsligan · 11/11, 20:00

Prediction: Onnereds HK vs OV Helsingborg

Team pages: Onnereds HK · OV Helsingborg

Prediction summary

Estimated points

60.1Total

Onnereds HK30.3

OV Helsingborg29.8

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

57% 43%

Onnereds HK OV Helsingborg

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Markets

Under 62.5 points 70%

Recent form · 10 last

Onnereds HK 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLLDDLWLWL

OV Helsingborg 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WWDLWLDWLD

Head-to-head

Onnereds HK 4–1–1 OV Helsingborg (6 last)

OV Helsingborg29-33Onnereds HK
Onnereds HK32-29OV Helsingborg
OV Helsingborg30-28Onnereds HK
Onnereds HK34-27OV Helsingborg
OV Helsingborg26-36Onnereds HK
Onnereds HK32-32OV Helsingborg

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Onnereds HK 1476 · OV Helsingborg 1493

	Onnereds HK	OV Helsingborg
Our model	58%	42%
Market	50%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 60.1 points · Bet365 line 62.5 · -2.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points60.1Onnereds HK 30.3 · OV Helsingborg 29.8

Over / Under 62.5Under · 70%recent trend · ~60.6 pts · strength 2

Match keys

H2H favours Onnereds HK: 4-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Onnereds HK	OV Helsingborg
Points F\|A (Last 10)	29.3 / 31.1	29.3 / 29.7
Points F\|A (Last 5)	31.6 / 31.8	27.8 / 30
Est. result	30	30

Est. total60.1

Line O/U62.5

Diff.2.4

Over / Under30% / 70%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.85

X7.50

22.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.85

2 (+0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 62.51.88

Under 62.51.88

Diff.: 2.8 · Est. total: 59.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.85 → 1.85	Bet365 1.85
X	7.50 → 7.50	Bet365 7.50
2	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.2%

Time*	1	X	2
02:52 +24’	1.85	7.50	2.45

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Onnereds HK 4–1–1 OV Helsingborg

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/12/25 Sweden Handbollsligan	OV Helsingborg	29-33	Onnereds HK
14/11/25 Sweden Handbollsligan	Onnereds HK	32-29	OV Helsingborg
01/03/25 Sweden Handbollsligan	OV Helsingborg	30-28	Onnereds HK
01/10/24 Sweden Handbollsligan	Onnereds HK	34-27	OV Helsingborg
13/08/23 Club Friendlies	OV Helsingborg	26-36	Onnereds HK
24/03/23 Sweden Handbollsligan	Onnereds HK	32-32	OV Helsingborg

Standings · Sweden Handbollsligan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	HK Malmo	9	6	1	2	297	281	13
2	Ystads IF HF	8	5	1	2	247	218	11
3	IK Savehof	7	5	1	1	212	191	11
4	Amo HK	9	5	1	3	289	275	11
5	Alingsas HK	8	5	0	3	248	228	10
6	IFK Skovde HK	8	4	2	2	261	254	10
7	Hammarby IF HF	9	4	2	3	263	257	10
8	IFK Kristianstad	7	5	0	2	208	204	10
9	HIF Karlskrona	8	3	1	4	245	252	7
10	OV Helsingborg	8	2	3	3	226	240	7
11	Onnereds HK	9	2	2	5	269	279	6
12	Lugi HF	9	2	1	6	278	294	5
13	Skanela IF	9	2	0	7	261	291	4
14	IF Hallby HK	8	0	1	7	220	260	1

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Onnereds HK	OV Helsingborg
Amo HK	32-34 L	32-32 D
Ystads IF HF	30-29 W	22-37 L
Hammarby IF HF	29-32 L	23-26 L
IF Hallby HK	28-28 D	39-32 W
IFK Skovde HK	29-29 D	29-29 D
IK Savehof	26-30 L	26-26 D
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 3 L	1 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: OV Helsingborg (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Onnereds HK

LLLDDLWLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
01/11	Amo HK Sweden Handbollsligan	32-34	L
28/10	Lugi HF Sweden Handbollsligan	37-32	W
25/10	Alingsas HK Sweden Handbollsligan	30-32	L
22/10	Ystads IF HF Sweden Handbollsligan	30-29	W
16/10	Hammarby IF HF Sweden Handbollsligan	29-32	L
10/10	IF Hallby HK Sweden Handbollsligan	28-28	D
03/10	IFK Skovde HK Sweden Handbollsligan	29-29	D
27/09	IFK Kristianstad Sweden Handbollsligan	28-33	L
23/09	IK Savehof Sweden Handbollsligan	26-30	L
25/03	IK Savehof Sweden Handbollsligan	24-32	L

OV Helsingborg

WWDLWLDWLD

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
01/11	IK Savehof Sweden Handbollsligan	26-26	D
29/10	Ystads IF HF Sweden Handbollsligan	22-37	L
26/10	IF Hallby HK Sweden Handbollsligan	39-32	W
15/10	IFK Skovde HK Sweden Handbollsligan	29-29	D
11/10	Hammarby IF HF Sweden Handbollsligan	23-26	L
01/10	Skanela IF Sweden Handbollsligan	30-26	W
26/09	HK Malmo Sweden Handbollsligan	25-32	L
23/09	Amo HK Sweden Handbollsligan	32-32	D
14/04	HK Varberg Sweden Handbollsligan	35-27	W
06/04	HK Varberg Sweden Handbollsligan	32-30	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Onnereds HK vs OV Helsingborg?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Onnereds HK 57% · OV Helsingborg 43%).

How many points are expected in Onnereds HK vs OV Helsingborg?

The model estimates 60.1 total points (Onnereds HK 30.3 · OV Helsingborg 29.8).

Over or under 62.5 points?

Recent history points to under 62.5 points (70%).