Handball · Sweden Handbollsligan · 14/11, 14:00

Prediction: HIF Karlskrona vs Ystads IF HF

Team pages: HIF Karlskrona · Ystads IF HF

Prediction summary

Estimated points

59.8Total

HIF Karlskrona29.5

Ystads IF HF30.3

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

45% 55%

HIF Karlskrona Ystads IF HF

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

HIF Karlskrona 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLLWLWWLDL

Ystads IF HF 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LWWLWLWWDW

Head-to-head

HIF Karlskrona 2–4 Ystads IF HF (6 last)

HIF Karlskrona33-29Ystads IF HF
Ystads IF HF36-32HIF Karlskrona
HIF Karlskrona28-26Ystads IF HF
Ystads IF HF34-30HIF Karlskrona
Ystads IF HF40-30HIF Karlskrona
HIF Karlskrona23-31Ystads IF HF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · HIF Karlskrona 1481 · Ystads IF HF 1524

	HIF Karlskrona	Ystads IF HF
Our model	54%	46%
Market	34%	54%

Estimated total (ours) 59.8 points · Bet365 line 60.5 · -0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points59.8HIF Karlskrona 29.5 · Ystads IF HF 30.3

Match keys

H2H favours Ystads IF HF: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	HIF Karlskrona	Ystads IF HF
Points F\|A (Last 10)	31 / 32.6	30.2 / 27.5
Points F\|A (Last 5)	30.2 / 30.2	29.8 / 25.8
Est. result	30	30

Est. total59.8

Line O/U60.5

Diff.0.7

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.60

X7.50

21.67

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)1.78

2 (-1.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 60.51.90

Under 60.51.85

Diff.: 0.15 · Est. total: 60.65

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 05:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.55 → 2.60▲	Bet365 2.60
X	7.50 → 7.50	Bet365 7.50
2	1.80 → 1.67▼	Bet365 1.67

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
01:26 +50’	2.55	7.50	1.80
04:57 +18’	2.60▲	7.50	1.67▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · HIF Karlskrona 2–0–4 Ystads IF HF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/02/26 Sweden Handbollsligan	HIF Karlskrona	33-29	Ystads IF HF
22/09/25 Sweden Handbollsligan	Ystads IF HF	36-32	HIF Karlskrona
08/03/25 Sweden Handbollsligan	HIF Karlskrona	28-26	Ystads IF HF
05/12/24 Sweden Handbollsligan	Ystads IF HF	34-30	HIF Karlskrona
31/01/24 Sweden Handbollsligan	Ystads IF HF	40-30	HIF Karlskrona
21/10/23 Sweden Handbollsligan	HIF Karlskrona	23-31	Ystads IF HF

Standings · Sweden Handbollsligan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	HK Malmo	10	7	1	2	326	308	15
2	Ystads IF HF	9	6	1	2	274	241	13
3	IK Savehof	8	6	1	1	245	221	13
4	Alingsas HK	9	6	0	3	277	254	12
5	Hammarby IF HF	10	5	2	3	298	287	12
6	IFK Kristianstad	8	6	0	2	247	237	12
7	Amo HK	10	5	1	4	322	314	11
8	IFK Skovde HK	9	4	2	3	287	283	10
9	OV Helsingborg	9	3	3	3	254	265	9
10	HIF Karlskrona	9	3	1	5	275	285	7
11	Onnereds HK	10	2	2	6	294	307	6
12	Lugi HF	10	2	1	7	308	329	5
13	Skanela IF	10	2	0	8	284	318	4
14	IF Hallby HK	9	0	1	8	247	289	1

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	HIF Karlskrona	Ystads IF HF
Hammarby IF HF	28-28 D	26-24 W
IFK Kristianstad	28-30 L	23-29 L
Skanela IF	33-30 W	27-23 W
Lugi HF	32-30 W	30-30 D
HK Malmo	30-34 L	35-29 W
IFK Skovde HK	35-36 L	36-26 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 3 L	4 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Ystads IF HF (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

HIF Karlskrona

LLLWLWWLDL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
11/11	IK Savehof Sweden Handbollsligan	30-33	L
31/10	Hammarby IF HF Sweden Handbollsligan	28-28	D
25/10	IFK Kristianstad Sweden Handbollsligan	28-30	L
22/10	Skanela IF Sweden Handbollsligan	33-30	W
16/10	Lugi HF Sweden Handbollsligan	32-30	W
09/10	HK Malmo Sweden Handbollsligan	30-34	L
02/10	Amo HK Sweden Handbollsligan	31-30	W
26/09	IFK Skovde HK Sweden Handbollsligan	35-36	L
23/09	Alingsas HK Sweden Handbollsligan	28-34	L
16/04	IFK Kristianstad Sweden Handbollsligan	35-41	L

Ystads IF HF

LWWLWLWWDW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
11/11	Skanela IF Sweden Handbollsligan	27-23	W
01/11	Lugi HF Sweden Handbollsligan	30-30	D
29/10	OV Helsingborg Sweden Handbollsligan	37-22	W
25/10	Hammarby IF HF Sweden Handbollsligan	26-24	W
22/10	Onnereds HK Sweden Handbollsligan	29-30	L
16/10	IF Hallby HK Sweden Handbollsligan	31-28	W
11/10	IFK Kristianstad Sweden Handbollsligan	23-29	L
03/10	HK Malmo Sweden Handbollsligan	35-29	W
23/09	IFK Skovde HK Sweden Handbollsligan	36-26	W
19/04	HK Malmo Sweden Handbollsligan	28-34	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in HIF Karlskrona vs Ystads IF HF?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (HIF Karlskrona 45% · Ystads IF HF 55%).

How many points are expected in HIF Karlskrona vs Ystads IF HF?

The model estimates 59.8 total points (HIF Karlskrona 29.5 · Ystads IF HF 30.3).