Handball · Sweden Handbollsligan · 14/11, 18:30

Prediction: Skanela IF vs Hammarby IF HF

Team pages: Hammarby IF HF

Prediction summary

Estimated points

58.8Total

Skanela IF28.6

Hammarby IF HF30.2

1X2

32% 68%

Skanela IF Hammarby IF HF

Recent form · 10 last

Skanela IF 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

WLLLLLLLWL

Hammarby IF HF 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LWLWWWLDDW

Head-to-head

Skanela IF 1–5 Hammarby IF HF (6 last)

Hammarby IF HF32-21Skanela IF
Skanela IF29-34Hammarby IF HF
Hammarby IF HF26-20Skanela IF
Hammarby IF HF28-27Skanela IF
Skanela IF25-31Hammarby IF HF
Skanela IF29-26Hammarby IF HF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Skanela IF 1442 · Hammarby IF HF 1537

	Skanela IF	Hammarby IF HF
Our model	46%	54%
Market	20%	69%

Estimated total (ours) 58.8 points · Bet365 line 59.5 · -0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points58.8Skanela IF 28.6 · Hammarby IF HF 30.2

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hammarby IF HF (rating 1442 vs 1537).
Hammarby IF HF is a clear favourite (68% market).
H2H favours Hammarby IF HF: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Skanela IF	Hammarby IF HF
Points F\|A (Last 10)	28.4 / 31.8	29.8 / 28.7
Points F\|A (Last 5)	28.4 / 32.6	30.2 / 29
Est. result	29	30

Est. total58.8

Line O/U59.5

Diff.0.7

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

14.50

X8.50

21.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+3.5)1.85

2 (-3.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 59.51.88

Under 59.51.88

Diff.: 0.15 · Est. total: 59.35

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 10:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.75 → 4.50▼	Bet365 4.50
X	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50
2	1.27 → 1.30▲	Bet365 1.30

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.9%

Time*	1	X	2
01:56 +21’	4.75	8.50	1.27
10:13 +6’	4.50▼	8.50	1.30▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Skanela IF 1–0–5 Hammarby IF HF

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
15/02/25 Sweden Handbollsligan	Hammarby IF HF	32-21	Skanela IF
13/11/24 Sweden Handbollsligan	Skanela IF	29-34	Hammarby IF HF
11/08/21 Club Friendlies	Hammarby IF HF	26-20	Skanela IF
13/02/21 Sweden Allsvenskan	Hammarby IF HF	28-27	Skanela IF
09/10/20 Sweden Allsvenskan	Skanela IF	25-31	Hammarby IF HF
15/02/20 Sweden Allsvenskan	Skanela IF	29-26	Hammarby IF HF

Standings · Sweden Handbollsligan

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	HK Malmo	10	7	1	2	326	308	15
2	Ystads IF HF	9	6	1	2	274	241	13
3	IK Savehof	8	6	1	1	245	221	13
4	Alingsas HK	9	6	0	3	277	254	12
5	Hammarby IF HF	10	5	2	3	298	287	12
6	IFK Kristianstad	8	6	0	2	247	237	12
7	Amo HK	10	5	1	4	322	314	11
8	IFK Skovde HK	9	4	2	3	287	283	10
9	OV Helsingborg	9	3	3	3	254	265	9
10	HIF Karlskrona	9	3	1	5	275	285	7
11	Onnereds HK	10	2	2	6	294	307	6
12	Lugi HF	10	2	1	7	308	329	5
13	Skanela IF	10	2	0	8	284	318	4
14	IF Hallby HK	9	0	1	8	247	289	1

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Skanela IF	Hammarby IF HF
Ystads IF HF	23-27 L	24-26 L
IFK Kristianstad	32-30 W	27-28 L
IK Savehof	29-30 L	24-30 L
HIF Karlskrona	30-33 L	28-28 D
Alingsas HK	26-31 L	27-24 W
OV Helsingborg	26-30 L	26-23 W
Lugi HF	29-31 L	35-30 W
HK Malmo	34-29 W	37-37 D
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 6 L	3 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Hammarby IF HF (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Skanela IF

WLLLLLLLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
11/11	Ystads IF HF Sweden Handbollsligan	23-27	L
01/11	IFK Kristianstad Sweden Handbollsligan	32-30	W
29/10	IFK Skovde HK Sweden Handbollsligan	28-43	L
25/10	IK Savehof Sweden Handbollsligan	29-30	L
22/10	HIF Karlskrona Sweden Handbollsligan	30-33	L
16/10	Amo HK Sweden Handbollsligan	27-34	L
09/10	Alingsas HK Sweden Handbollsligan	26-31	L
01/10	OV Helsingborg Sweden Handbollsligan	26-30	L
28/09	Lugi HF Sweden Handbollsligan	29-31	L
23/09	HK Malmo Sweden Handbollsligan	34-29	W

Hammarby IF HF

LWLWWWLDDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
11/11	Lugi HF Sweden Handbollsligan	35-30	W
31/10	HIF Karlskrona Sweden Handbollsligan	28-28	D
28/10	HK Malmo Sweden Handbollsligan	37-37	D
25/10	Ystads IF HF Sweden Handbollsligan	24-26	L
21/10	Alingsas HK Sweden Handbollsligan	27-24	W
16/10	Onnereds HK Sweden Handbollsligan	32-29	W
11/10	OV Helsingborg Sweden Handbollsligan	26-23	W
02/10	IK Savehof Sweden Handbollsligan	24-30	L
26/09	IF Hallby HK Sweden Handbollsligan	38-32	W
23/09	IFK Kristianstad Sweden Handbollsligan	27-28	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Skanela IF vs Hammarby IF HF?

Our model gives 68% to Hammarby IF HF.

How many points are expected in Skanela IF vs Hammarby IF HF?

The model estimates 58.8 total points (Skanela IF 28.6 · Hammarby IF HF 30.2).