Handball · Sweden Handbollsligan · 14/11, 17:00

Prediction: Alingsas HK vs IK Savehof

Team pages: Alingsas HK · IK Savehof

Prediction summary

Estimated points

58.4Total

Alingsas HK29.7

IK Savehof28.7

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

56% 44%

Alingsas HK IK Savehof

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Alingsas HK 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

LWLWWLLWWW

IK Savehof 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LLWWWWWLDW

Head-to-head

Alingsas HK 1–5 IK Savehof (6 last)

IK Savehof20-29Alingsas HK
Alingsas HK26-29IK Savehof
Alingsas HK30-34IK Savehof
IK Savehof30-21Alingsas HK
IK Savehof33-27Alingsas HK
Alingsas HK28-29IK Savehof

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Alingsas HK 1529 · IK Savehof 1551

	Alingsas HK	IK Savehof
Our model	57%	43%
Market	49%	39%

Estimated total (ours) 58.4 points · Bet365 line 60.5 · -2.1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points58.4Alingsas HK 29.7 · IK Savehof 28.7

Match keys

H2H favours IK Savehof: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Alingsas HK	IK Savehof
Points F\|A (Last 10)	30.4 / 28.6	30.6 / 29.7
Points F\|A (Last 5)	29 / 26.6	29.2 / 28.6
Est. result	30	29

Est. total58.4

Line O/U60.5

Diff.2.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.88

X7.50

22.35

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.88

2 (+0.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 60.51.88

Under 60.51.88

Diff.: 0.85 · Est. total: 59.65

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 13:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.85 → 1.88▲	Bet365 1.88
X	7.50 → 7.50	Bet365 7.50
2	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
01:24 +52’	1.85	7.50	2.35
13:09 +10’	1.88▲	7.50	2.35

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Alingsas HK 1–0–5 IK Savehof

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/12/25 Sweden Handbollsligan	IK Savehof	20-29	Alingsas HK
21/11/25 Sweden Handbollsligan	Alingsas HK	26-29	IK Savehof
29/12/24 Sweden Handbollsligan	Alingsas HK	30-34	IK Savehof
26/09/24 Sweden Handbollsligan	IK Savehof	30-21	Alingsas HK
31/01/24 Sweden Handbollsligan	IK Savehof	33-27	Alingsas HK
09/10/23 Sweden Handbollsligan	Alingsas HK	28-29	IK Savehof

Standings · Sweden Handbollsligan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	HK Malmo	10	7	1	2	326	308	15
2	Ystads IF HF	9	6	1	2	274	241	13
3	IK Savehof	8	6	1	1	245	221	13
4	Alingsas HK	9	6	0	3	277	254	12
5	Hammarby IF HF	10	5	2	3	298	287	12
6	IFK Kristianstad	8	6	0	2	247	237	12
7	Amo HK	10	5	1	4	322	314	11
8	IFK Skovde HK	9	4	2	3	287	283	10
9	OV Helsingborg	9	3	3	3	254	265	9
10	HIF Karlskrona	9	3	1	5	275	285	7
11	Onnereds HK	10	2	2	6	294	307	6
12	Lugi HF	10	2	1	7	308	329	5
13	Skanela IF	10	2	0	8	284	318	4
14	IF Hallby HK	9	0	1	8	247	289	1

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Alingsas HK	IK Savehof
IF Hallby HK	33-22 W	36-27 W
Onnereds HK	32-30 W	30-26 W
Hammarby IF HF	24-27 L	30-24 W
HK Malmo	27-28 L	34-37 L
Skanela IF	31-26 W	30-29 W
Amo HK	28-30 L	21-31 L
HIF Karlskrona	34-28 W	33-30 W
IFK Kristianstad	27-32 L	39-28 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 4 L	6 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Alingsas HK (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Alingsas HK

LWLWWLLWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
11/11	IFK Skovde HK Sweden Handbollsligan	29-26	W
29/10	IF Hallby HK Sweden Handbollsligan	33-22	W
25/10	Onnereds HK Sweden Handbollsligan	32-30	W
21/10	Hammarby IF HF Sweden Handbollsligan	24-27	L
16/10	HK Malmo Sweden Handbollsligan	27-28	L
09/10	Skanela IF Sweden Handbollsligan	31-26	W
04/10	Lugi HF Sweden Handbollsligan	39-37	W
26/09	Amo HK Sweden Handbollsligan	28-30	L
23/09	HIF Karlskrona Sweden Handbollsligan	34-28	W
08/05	IFK Kristianstad Sweden Handbollsligan	27-32	L

IK Savehof

LLWWWWWLDW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
11/11	HIF Karlskrona Sweden Handbollsligan	33-30	W
01/11	OV Helsingborg Sweden Handbollsligan	26-26	D
28/10	Amo HK Sweden Handbollsligan	21-31	L
25/10	Skanela IF Sweden Handbollsligan	30-29	W
21/10	IF Hallby HK Sweden Handbollsligan	36-27	W
19/10	IFK Kristianstad Sweden Handbollsligan	39-28	W
02/10	Hammarby IF HF Sweden Handbollsligan	30-24	W
23/09	Onnereds HK Sweden Handbollsligan	30-26	W
03/05	HK Malmo Sweden Handbollsligan	34-37	L
29/04	HK Malmo Sweden Handbollsligan	27-39	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Alingsas HK vs IK Savehof?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Alingsas HK 56% · IK Savehof 44%).

How many points are expected in Alingsas HK vs IK Savehof?

The model estimates 58.4 total points (Alingsas HK 29.7 · IK Savehof 28.7).