Handball · Brazil Super Paulista · 15/08, 00:30
Prediction: Sorocaba vs EC Pinheiros
Prediction summary
Estimated points
54.5Total
Sorocaba25.8
EC Pinheiros28.7
1X2
Sorocaba
EC Pinheiros
Recent form · 10 last
Sorocaba
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
EC Pinheiros
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sorocaba
0–2
EC Pinheiros
(2 last)
- EC Pinheiros38-26Sorocaba
- EC Pinheiros31-16Sorocaba
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sorocaba 1538 · EC Pinheiros 1582
| Sorocaba | EC Pinheiros | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 6% | 89% |
Estimated total (ours)
54.5 points · Bet365 line 57.5 · -3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points54.5Sorocaba 25.8 · EC Pinheiros 28.7
Match keys
- EC Pinheiros is a clear favourite (75% market).
- H2H favours EC Pinheiros: 2-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Sorocaba | EC Pinheiros | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 27.2 / 26.5 | 33.1 / 22.7 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 26.8 / 27.4 | 36.8 / 19.6 |
| Est. result | 26 | 29 |
Est. total54.5
Line O/U57.5
Diff.3
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sorocaba 0–0–2 EC Pinheiros
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/04/26 Brazil Super Paulista | EC Pinheiros | 38-26 | Sorocaba |
| 23/10/25 Brazil Super Paulista | EC Pinheiros | 31-16 | Sorocaba |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sorocaba | EC Pinheiros |
|---|---|---|
| Guarulhos | 29-24 W | 33-22 W |
| EC Praia Grande | 30-28 W | 37-18 W |
| HC Osasco | 27-26 W | 33-19 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 0 L | 3 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: EC Pinheiros (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sorocaba
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Guarulhos Brazil Super Paulista |
29-24 | W |
| 23/06 | EC Praia Grande Brazil Super Paulista |
30-28 | W |
| 13/06 | HC Osasco Brazil Super Paulista |
27-26 | W |
| 29/04 | EC Pinheiros Brazil Super Paulista |
26-38 | L |
| 25/04 | Itatiba Esporte Clube Brazil Super Paulista |
22-21 | W |
| 11/04 | Taubate Brazil Super Paulista |
24-30 | L |
| 25/10 | Sao Carlos Brazil Super Paulista |
39-19 | W |
| 23/10 | EC Pinheiros Brazil Super Paulista |
16-31 | L |
| 11/10 | Ribeirao Preto Brazil Super Paulista |
29-26 | W |
| 07/10 | HC Osasco Brazil Super Paulista |
30-22 | W |
EC Pinheiros
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | EC Praia Grande Brazil Super Paulista |
37-18 | W |
| 01/08 | EC Praia Grande Brazil Super Paulista |
55-14 | W |
| 12/07 | Pato Handebol Brazil Liga Nacional |
30-20 | W |
| 03/07 | HC Osasco Brazil Liga Nacional |
33-19 | W |
| 28/06 | Nacional HC S and C America Club Champs |
29-27 | W |
| 26/06 | Clube Portugues Do Recife S and C America Club Champs |
27-26 | W |
| 24/06 | SAG Villa Ballester S and C America Club Champs |
28-20 | W |
| 21/06 | Colegio Ward S and C America Club Champs |
28-29 | L |
| 17/06 | Guarulhos Brazil Super Paulista |
33-22 | W |
| 06/06 | Nacional Sao Jose Brazil Liga Nacional |
31-32 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sorocaba vs EC Pinheiros?
Our model gives 75% to EC Pinheiros.
How many points are expected in Sorocaba vs EC Pinheiros?
The model estimates 54.5 total points (Sorocaba 25.8 · EC Pinheiros 28.7).