Handball · Sweden Handbollsligan Women · 12/11, 19:00

Prediction: Skovde HF (W) vs IK Savehof (W)

Team pages: Skovde HF (W) · IK Savehof (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

55.3Total

Skovde HF (W)25.4

IK Savehof (W)29.9

1X2

26% 74%

Skovde HF (W) IK Savehof (W)

Recent form · 10 last

Skovde HF (W) 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LLWLWWLWLL

IK Savehof (W) 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WWWDWLWWWW

Head-to-head

Skovde HF (W) 0–1–5 IK Savehof (W) (6 last)

IK Savehof (W)29-28Skovde HF (W)
Skovde HF (W)25-34IK Savehof (W)
Skovde HF (W)26-26IK Savehof (W)
IK Savehof (W)37-31Skovde HF (W)
IK Savehof (W)35-22Skovde HF (W)
Skovde HF (W)25-35IK Savehof (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Skovde HF (W) 1486 · IK Savehof (W) 1618

	Skovde HF (W)	IK Savehof (W)
Our model	41%	59%
Market	15%	77%

Estimated total (ours) 55.3 points · Bet365 line 57.5 · -2.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points55.3Skovde HF (W) 25.4 · IK Savehof (W) 29.9

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours IK Savehof (W) (rating 1486 vs 1618).
IK Savehof (W) is a clear favourite (74% market).
H2H favours IK Savehof (W): 5-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Skovde HF (W)	IK Savehof (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	26 / 27.5	30.3 / 23.3
Points F\|A (Last 5)	29.6 / 30.4	30.6 / 22
Est. result	25	30

Est. total55.3

Line O/U57.5

Diff.2.2

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

16.00

X11.00

21.18

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+5.5)1.80

2 (-5.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 57.51.80

Under 57.51.90

Diff.: 3.95 · Est. total: 53.55

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 22:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.50 → 6.00▲	Bet365 6.00
X	11.00 → 11.00	Bet365 11.00
2	1.18 → 1.18	Bet365 1.18

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
19:06 +9’	5.50	11.00	1.18
22:08 +7’	6.00▲	11.00	1.18

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Skovde HF (W) 0–1–5 IK Savehof (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/01/26 Sweden Handbollsligan Women	IK Savehof (W)	29-28	Skovde HF (W)
18/12/25 Sweden Handbollsligan Women	Skovde HF (W)	25-34	IK Savehof (W)
05/02/25 Sweden Eliteserien Women	Skovde HF (W)	26-26	IK Savehof (W)
01/11/24 Sweden Eliteserien Women	IK Savehof (W)	37-31	Skovde HF (W)
11/09/24 Sweden Cup Women	IK Savehof (W)	35-22	Skovde HF (W)
04/09/24 Sweden Cup Women	Skovde HF (W)	25-35	IK Savehof (W)

Standings · Sweden Handbollsligan Women

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	VasterasIrsta HF (W)	6	6	0	182	148	12
2	Skara HF (W)	6	5	1	188	130	10
3	IK Savehof (W)	6	5	1	192	138	10
4	Boden Handboll IF (W)	6	5	1	178	162	10
5	Hoors HK H 65 (W)	6	3	3	177	175	6
6	Skovde HF (W)	6	3	3	177	176	6
7	Skuru IK (W)	7	3	4	184	188	6
8	Onnereds HK (W)	6	3	3	153	164	6
9	OV Helsingborg HK (W)	7	2	5	162	181	4
10	Ystads IF HF (W)	7	2	5	141	195	4
11	IF Hallby HK (W)	6	1	5	136	166	2
12	Kristianstad HK (W)	7	0	7	149	196	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Skovde HF (W)	IK Savehof (W)
Boden Handboll IF (W)	29-36 L	39-28 W
Hoors HK H 65 (W)	39-33 W	34-24 W
Skuru IK (W)	29-24 W	33-15 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: IK Savehof (W) (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Skovde HF (W)

LLWLWWLWLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
04/11	Boden Handboll IF (W) Sweden Handbollsligan Women	29-36	L
01/11	VasterasIrsta HF (W) Sweden Handbollsligan Women	24-26	L
27/10	OV Helsingborg HK (W) Sweden Handbollsligan Women	28-23	W
15/10	Onnereds HK (W) Sweden Handbollsligan Women	28-34	L
10/10	Hoors HK H 65 (W) Sweden Handbollsligan Women	39-33	W
03/10	Skuru IK (W) Sweden Handbollsligan Women	29-24	W
19/04	Onnereds HK (W) Sweden Handbollsligan Women	19-26	L
15/04	Onnereds HK (W) Sweden Handbollsligan Women	24-18	W
02/04	Onnereds HK (W) Sweden Handbollsligan Women	20-28	L
30/03	Onnereds HK (W) Sweden Handbollsligan Women	20-27	L

IK Savehof (W)

WWWDWLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
04/11	Skuru IK (W) Sweden Handbollsligan Women	33-15	W
31/10	Kristianstad HK (W) Sweden Handbollsligan Women	32-18	W
28/10	IF Hallby HK (W) Sweden Handbollsligan Women	36-24	W
17/10	Ystads IF HF (W) Sweden Handbollsligan Women	22-21	W
07/10	Skara HF (W) Sweden Handbollsligan Women	30-32	L
30/09	Boden Handboll IF (W) Sweden Handbollsligan Women	39-28	W
24/05	Skara HF (W) Sweden Handbollsligan Women	22-22	D
21/05	Skara HF (W) Sweden Handbollsligan Women	30-27	W
18/05	Skara HF (W) Sweden Handbollsligan Women	25-22	W
06/05	Hoors HK H 65 (W) Sweden Handbollsligan Women	34-24	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Skovde HF (W) vs IK Savehof (W)?

Our model gives 74% to IK Savehof (W).

How many points are expected in Skovde HF (W) vs IK Savehof (W)?

The model estimates 55.3 total points (Skovde HF (W) 25.4 · IK Savehof (W) 29.9).