Handball · Portugal Liga Andebol · 14/11, 19:30

Prediction: Povoa Andebol/Bodegao vs ABC Braga

Team pages: Povoa Andebol/Bodegao · ABC Braga

Prediction summary

Estimated points

61.9Total

Povoa Andebol/Bodegao31.3

ABC Braga30.5

1X2

69% 31%

Povoa Andebol/Bodegao ABC Braga

Recent form · 10 last

Povoa Andebol/Bodegao 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

LWWLWWWLLW

ABC Braga 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LWWLLLWLWL

Head-to-head

Povoa Andebol/Bodegao 2–4 ABC Braga (6 last)

ABC Braga32-31Povoa Andebol/Bodegao
Povoa Andebol/Bodegao30-27ABC Braga
ABC Braga27-31Povoa Andebol/Bodegao
Povoa Andebol/Bodegao34-36ABC Braga
ABC Braga32-26Povoa Andebol/Bodegao
ABC Braga33-21Povoa Andebol/Bodegao

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Povoa Andebol/Bodegao 1519 · ABC Braga 1473

	Povoa Andebol/Bodegao	ABC Braga
Our model	66%	34%
Market	64%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 61.9 points · Bet365 line 61.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points61.9Povoa Andebol/Bodegao 31.3 · ABC Braga 30.5

Match keys

Povoa Andebol/Bodegao is a clear favourite (69% market).
H2H favours ABC Braga: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Povoa Andebol/Bodegao	ABC Braga
Points F\|A (Last 10)	31.2 / 32.1	28.7 / 31.3
Points F\|A (Last 5)	30.8 / 33.6	27.2 / 27.6
Est. result	31	31

Est. total61.9

Line O/U61.5

Diff.0.4

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.40

X9.00

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.5)1.80

2 (+2.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 61.51.80

Under 61.51.90

Diff.: 0.15 · Est. total: 61.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.40 → 1.40	Bet365 1.40
X	9.00 → 9.00	Bet365 9.00
2	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
18:11 +9’	1.40	9.00	3.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Povoa Andebol/Bodegao 2–0–4 ABC Braga

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/08/26 Portugal Liga Andebol	ABC Braga	32-31	Povoa Andebol/Bodegao
09/05/26 Portugal Liga Andebol	Povoa Andebol/Bodegao	30-27	ABC Braga
11/04/26 Portugal Liga Andebol	ABC Braga	27-31	Povoa Andebol/Bodegao
13/12/25 Portugal Liga Andebol	Povoa Andebol/Bodegao	34-36	ABC Braga
01/10/25 Portugal Liga Andebol	ABC Braga	32-26	Povoa Andebol/Bodegao
23/11/24 Portugal Liga Andebol	ABC Braga	33-21	Povoa Andebol/Bodegao

Standings · Portugal Liga Andebol

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sporting Clube	11	10	0	1	449	304	31
2	FC Porto	10	10	0	0	404	269	30
3	Madeira	11	9	0	2	344	320	29
4	SL Benfica	11	8	0	3	380	307	27
5	Povoa Andebol/Bodegao	11	6	0	5	343	353	23
6	ABC Braga	11	5	0	6	319	344	21
7	Aguas Santas	10	5	0	5	294	293	20
8	Belenenses	11	4	0	7	302	333	19
9	Vitoria SC	11	3	1	7	302	363	18
10	GC Santo Tirso	11	2	0	9	294	364	15
11	AA Avanca	11	1	1	9	265	360	14
12	AD Carvalhos	11	1	0	10	282	368	13

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Povoa Andebol/Bodegao	ABC Braga
AA Avanca	29-24 W	27-26 W
Sporting Clube	31-43 L	32-43 L
FC Porto	33-43 L	24-39 L
GC Santo Tirso	29-28 W	34-28 W
Aguas Santas	32-30 W	22-23 L
Vitoria SC	30-27 W	30-29 W
Madeira	37-38 L	31-32 L
AD Carvalhos	33-26 W	30-26 W
Belenenses	28-25 W	23-28 L
SL Benfica	30-37 L	34-39 L
Record vs common	6 W 0 D 4 L	4 W 0 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: Povoa Andebol/Bodegao (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Povoa Andebol/Bodegao

LWWLWWWLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/10	AA Avanca Portugal Liga Andebol	29-24	W
25/10	Sporting Clube Portugal Liga Andebol	31-43	L
18/10	FC Porto Portugal Liga Andebol	33-43	L
10/10	GC Santo Tirso Portugal Liga Andebol	29-28	W
03/10	Aguas Santas Portugal Liga Andebol	32-30	W
26/09	Vitoria SC Portugal Liga Andebol	30-27	W
23/09	Madeira Portugal Liga Andebol	37-38	L
19/09	AD Carvalhos Portugal Liga Andebol	33-26	W
12/09	Belenenses Portugal Liga Andebol	28-25	W
05/09	SL Benfica Portugal Liga Andebol	30-37	L

ABC Braga

LWWLLLWLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/10	Aguas Santas Portugal Liga Andebol	22-23	L
25/10	Vitoria SC Portugal Liga Andebol	30-29	W
20/10	Madeira Portugal Liga Andebol	31-32	L
10/10	AD Carvalhos Portugal Liga Andebol	30-26	W
03/10	Belenenses Portugal Liga Andebol	23-28	L
30/09	FC Porto Portugal Liga Andebol	24-39	L
26/09	SL Benfica Portugal Liga Andebol	34-39	L
23/09	GC Santo Tirso Portugal Liga Andebol	34-28	W
19/09	AA Avanca Portugal Liga Andebol	27-26	W
13/09	Sporting Clube Portugal Liga Andebol	32-43	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Povoa Andebol/Bodegao vs ABC Braga?

Our model gives 69% to Povoa Andebol/Bodegao.

How many points are expected in Povoa Andebol/Bodegao vs ABC Braga?

The model estimates 61.9 total points (Povoa Andebol/Bodegao 31.3 · ABC Braga 30.5).