Handball · Portugal 1st Div Women · 19/09, 22:00

Prediction: Juve Lis (W) vs ABC Braga (W)

Team pages: Juve Lis (W) · ABC Braga (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

50.9Total

Juve Lis (W)26.8

ABC Braga (W)24.1

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

38% 62%

Juve Lis (W) ABC Braga (W)

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Markets

Over 46.5 points 85%

Recent form · 10 last

Juve Lis (W) 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

LWWWWWWLLW

ABC Braga (W) 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

DLLLLLWWWL

Head-to-head

Juve Lis (W) 1–5 ABC Braga (W) (6 last)

Juve Lis (W)25-30ABC Braga (W)
ABC Braga (W)34-27Juve Lis (W)
ABC Braga (W)30-19Juve Lis (W)
Juve Lis (W)26-33ABC Braga (W)
Juve Lis (W)22-32ABC Braga (W)
Juve Lis (W)35-27ABC Braga (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Juve Lis (W) 1500 · ABC Braga (W) 1490

	Juve Lis (W)	ABC Braga (W)
Our model	61%	39%
Market	20%	69%

Estimated total (ours) 50.9 points · Bet365 line 46.5 · +4.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points50.9Juve Lis (W) 26.8 · ABC Braga (W) 24.1

Match keys

H2H favours ABC Braga (W): 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Juve Lis (W)	ABC Braga (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	24.7 / 23.7	23 / 28.3
Points F\|A (Last 5)	25.8 / 26.2	22.6 / 24
Est. result	27	24

Est. total50.9

Line O/U46.5

Diff.4.4

Over / Under85% / 15%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

14.50

X8.50

21.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+3.5)1.85

2 (-3.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 46.51.85

Under 46.51.85

Diff.: 3.35 · Est. total: 49.85

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 16:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
X	8.50 → 9.00▲	Bet365 9.00
2	1.30 → 1.30	Bet365 1.30

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.3%

Time*	1	X	2
12:03 +9’	4.50	8.50	1.30
16:08 +6’	4.50	9.00▲	1.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

Our recommendation on this match 2 odds moves recorded

Go premium to see the odds journey

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Juve Lis (W) 1–0–5 ABC Braga (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/01/26 Portugal 1st Div Women	Juve Lis (W)	25-30	ABC Braga (W)
25/10/25 Portugal 1st Div Women	ABC Braga (W)	34-27	Juve Lis (W)
06/01/24 Portugal 1st Div Women	ABC Braga (W)	30-19	Juve Lis (W)
09/09/23 Portugal 1st Div Women	Juve Lis (W)	26-33	ABC Braga (W)
23/10/21 Portugal 1st Div Women	Juve Lis (W)	22-32	ABC Braga (W)
22/05/21 Portugal 1st Div Women	Juve Lis (W)	35-27	ABC Braga (W)

Standings · Portugal 1st Div Women

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SL Benfica (W)	5	5	0	181	103	15
2	Madeira SAD (W)	4	3	1	105	83	10
3	ABC Braga (W)	4	3	1	93	91	10
4	CD Gil Eanes (W)	4	2	2	115	115	8
5	Almeida Garrett (W)	3	2	1	79	71	7
6	Alavarium ACA (W)	4	1	3	104	119	6
7	Juve Lis (W)	4	1	3	83	106	6
8	Cale (W)	3	1	2	67	69	5
9	Academia S. Pedro Sul (W)	3	1	2	66	86	5
10	CD Feirense (W)	4	0	4	83	133	4

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Juve Lis (W)	ABC Braga (W)
SL Benfica (W)	22-41 L	20-31 L
Cale (W)	16-19 L	21-20 W
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: ABC Braga (W) (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Juve Lis (W)

LWWWWWWLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
12/09	CD Feirense (W) Portugal 1st Div Women	24-23	W
05/09	SL Benfica (W) Portugal 1st Div Women	22-41	L
29/08	Cale (W) Portugal 1st Div Women	16-19	L
23/05	CS Madeira (W) Portugal 1st Div Women	36-22	W
16/05	Colegio Gaia (W) Portugal 1st Div Women	31-26	W
09/05	Cale (W) Portugal 1st Div Women	27-24	W
18/04	CS Madeira (W) Portugal 1st Div Women	25-22	W
28/03	Colegio Gaia (W) Portugal 1st Div Women	23-20	W
21/03	Cale (W) Portugal 1st Div Women	22-18	W
28/02	CS Madeira (W) Portugal 1st Div Women	21-22	L

ABC Braga (W)

DLLLLLWWWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
12/09	SL Benfica (W) Portugal 1st Div Women	20-31	L
05/09	Cale (W) Portugal 1st Div Women	21-20	W
30/08	Academia S. Pedro Sul (W) Portugal 1st Div Women	29-19	W
04/06	Almeida Garrett (W) Portugal 1st Div Women	23-22	W
28/05	Madeira SAD (W) Portugal 1st Div Women	20-28	L
23/05	CD Gil Eanes (W) Portugal 1st Div Women	32-35	L
16/05	SL Benfica (W) Portugal 1st Div Women	18-37	L
09/05	Academia S. Pedro Sul (W) Portugal 1st Div Women	21-29	L
25/04	Almeida Garrett (W) Portugal 1st Div Women	20-36	L
18/04	Madeira SAD (W) Portugal 1st Div Women	26-26	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Juve Lis (W) vs ABC Braga (W)?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Juve Lis (W) 38% · ABC Braga (W) 62%).

How many points are expected in Juve Lis (W) vs ABC Braga (W)?

The model estimates 50.9 total points (Juve Lis (W) 26.8 · ABC Braga (W) 24.1).