Handball · Portugal 1st Div Women · 10/10, 17:00

Prediction: Juve Lis (W) vs Madeira SAD (W)

Team pages: Juve Lis (W) · Madeira SAD (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

49.2Total

Juve Lis (W)22.9

Madeira SAD (W)26.3

1X2

19% 81%

Juve Lis (W) Madeira SAD (W)

Markets

Over 47.5 points 80%

Recent form · 10 last

Juve Lis (W) 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

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Madeira SAD (W) 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Juve Lis (W) 0–6 Madeira SAD (W) (6 last)

Juve Lis (W)14-22Madeira SAD (W)
Madeira SAD (W)25-12Juve Lis (W)
Juve Lis (W)18-34Madeira SAD (W)
Madeira SAD (W)42-23Juve Lis (W)
Juve Lis (W)18-35Madeira SAD (W)
Madeira SAD (W)33-27Juve Lis (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Juve Lis (W) 1480 · Madeira SAD (W) 1588

	Juve Lis (W)	Madeira SAD (W)
Our model	45%	55%
Market	1%	97%

Estimated total (ours) 49.2 points · Bet365 line 47.5 · +1.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points49.2Juve Lis (W) 22.9 · Madeira SAD (W) 26.3

Over / Under 47.5Over · 80%recent trend · ~49.9 pts · strength 2

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Madeira SAD (W) (rating 1480 vs 1588).
Madeira SAD (W) is a clear favourite (81% market).
H2H favours Madeira SAD (W): 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Juve Lis (W)	Madeira SAD (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	25 / 24.6	29.3 / 23.9
Points F\|A (Last 5)	21.6 / 26.4	27.8 / 19.8
Est. result	23	26

Est. total49.2

Line O/U47.5

Diff.1.7

Over / Under80% / 20%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

165.00

X50.00

21.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+12.5)1.85

2 (-12.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 47.51.85

Under 47.51.85

Diff.: 3.9 · Est. total: 51.4

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 15:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	35.00 → 65.00▲	Bet365 65.00
X	30.00 → 50.00▲	Bet365 50.00
2	1.00 → 1.00▼	Bet365 1.00

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 3.4%

Time*	1	X	2
08:59 +18’	35.00	30.00	1.00
15:05 +13’	65.00▲	50.00▲	1.00▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Juve Lis (W) 0–0–6 Madeira SAD (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/02/26 Portugal 1st Div Women	Juve Lis (W)	14-22	Madeira SAD (W)
08/11/25 Portugal 1st Div Women	Madeira SAD (W)	25-12	Juve Lis (W)
28/01/24 Portugal 1st Div Women	Juve Lis (W)	18-34	Madeira SAD (W)
23/09/23 Portugal 1st Div Women	Madeira SAD (W)	42-23	Juve Lis (W)
20/03/22 Portugal 1st Div Women	Juve Lis (W)	18-35	Madeira SAD (W)
11/04/21 Portugal 1st Div Women	Madeira SAD (W)	33-27	Juve Lis (W)

Standings · Portugal 1st Div Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SL Benfica (W)	5	5	0	0	181	103	15
2	Madeira SAD (W)	6	4	1	1	161	121	15
3	ABC Braga (W)	5	4	0	1	127	115	13
4	Academia S. Pedro Sul (W)	5	3	0	2	112	126	11
5	Almeida Garrett (W)	5	3	0	2	127	120	11
6	CD Gil Eanes (W)	5	3	0	2	141	140	11
7	Alavarium ACA (W)	6	1	1	4	147	166	9
8	Juve Lis (W)	6	1	1	4	130	154	9
9	Cale (W)	5	1	1	3	117	120	8
10	CD Feirense (W)	6	0	0	6	123	201	6

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Juve Lis (W)	Madeira SAD (W)
CD Gil Eanes (W)	25-26 L	32-30 W
ABC Braga (W)	21-23 L	28-20 W
CD Feirense (W)	24-23 W	34-16 W
SL Benfica (W)	22-41 L	19-31 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 3 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Madeira SAD (W) (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Juve Lis (W)

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
03/10	CD Gil Eanes (W) Portugal 1st Div Women	25-26	L
19/09	ABC Braga (W) Portugal 1st Div Women	21-23	L
12/09	CD Feirense (W) Portugal 1st Div Women	24-23	W
05/09	SL Benfica (W) Portugal 1st Div Women	22-41	L
29/08	Cale (W) Portugal 1st Div Women	16-19	L
23/05	CS Madeira (W) Portugal 1st Div Women	36-22	W
16/05	Colegio Gaia (W) Portugal 1st Div Women	31-26	W
09/05	Cale (W) Portugal 1st Div Women	27-24	W
18/04	CS Madeira (W) Portugal 1st Div Women	25-22	W
28/03	Colegio Gaia (W) Portugal 1st Div Women	23-20	W

Madeira SAD (W)

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
03/10	CD Feirense (W) Portugal 1st Div Women	34-16	W
16/09	SL Benfica (W) Portugal 1st Div Women	19-31	L
12/09	Academia S. Pedro Sul (W) Portugal 1st Div Women	33-15	W
06/09	Alavarium ACA (W) Portugal 1st Div Women	31-23	W
30/08	Almeida Garrett (W) Portugal 1st Div Women	22-14	W
04/06	SL Benfica (W) Portugal 1st Div Women	25-35	L
28/05	ABC Braga (W) Portugal 1st Div Women	28-20	W
23/05	Almeida Garrett (W) Portugal 1st Div Women	41-28	W
16/05	Academia S. Pedro Sul (W) Portugal 1st Div Women	28-27	W
09/05	CD Gil Eanes (W) Portugal 1st Div Women	32-30	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Juve Lis (W) vs Madeira SAD (W)?

Our model gives 81% to Madeira SAD (W).

How many points are expected in Juve Lis (W) vs Madeira SAD (W)?

The model estimates 49.2 total points (Juve Lis (W) 22.9 · Madeira SAD (W) 26.3).

Over or under 47.5 points?

Recent history points to over 47.5 points (80%).