Handball · Austria HLA2 · 10/10, 17:30

Prediction: HC Linz 2 vs Alpla Hard 2

Team pages: HC Linz 2 · Alpla Hard 2

Prediction summary

Estimated points

57.2Total

HC Linz 230.3

Alpla Hard 226.9

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

57% 43%

HC Linz 2 Alpla Hard 2

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

HC Linz 2 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WDWDLWLWLL

Alpla Hard 2 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

WLLLWLWWLL

Head-to-head

HC Linz 2 0–6 Alpla Hard 2 (6 last)

Alpla Hard 229-27HC Linz 2
HC Linz 227-33Alpla Hard 2
Alpla Hard 236-31HC Linz 2
HC Linz 221-36Alpla Hard 2
Alpla Hard 235-30HC Linz 2
Alpla Hard 237-29HC Linz 2

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · HC Linz 2 1492 · Alpla Hard 2 1472

	HC Linz 2	Alpla Hard 2
Our model	63%	37%
Market	48%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 57.2 points · Bet365 line 56.5 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points57.2HC Linz 2 30.3 · Alpla Hard 2 26.9

Match keys

H2H favours Alpla Hard 2: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	HC Linz 2	Alpla Hard 2
Points F\|A (Last 10)	28.7 / 28.8	25.6 / 31.2
Points F\|A (Last 5)	28.2 / 29	26.6 / 30.2
Est. result	30	27

Est. total57.2

Line O/U56.5

Diff.0.7

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.90

X8.00

22.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.90

2 (+0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 56.51.85

Under 56.51.85

Diff.: 0.65 · Est. total: 57.15

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 14:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.80 → 1.90▼	Bet365 1.90
X	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00
2	1.60 → 2.20▲	Bet365 2.20

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
08:48 +29’	2.80	8.00	1.60
14:14 +6’	1.90▼	8.00	2.20▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · HC Linz 2 0–0–6 Alpla Hard 2

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/11/25 Austria HLA2	Alpla Hard 2	29-27	HC Linz 2
14/09/25 Austria HLA2	HC Linz 2	27-33	Alpla Hard 2
14/12/24 Austria HLA2	Alpla Hard 2	36-31	HC Linz 2
21/09/24 Austria HLA2	HC Linz 2	21-36	Alpla Hard 2
07/04/24 Austria HLA2	Alpla Hard 2	35-30	HC Linz 2
09/12/23 Austria HLA2	Alpla Hard 2	37-29	HC Linz 2

Standings · Austria HLA2 · HLA Challenge 26/27, Main Round, West

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Spiders Wels	4	4	0	163	107	8
2	UHC Salzburg	4	3	1	98	94	6
3	Medalp Tirol	4	2	2	106	106	4
4	SK Konstant Traun/Edelweiss	4	2	2	105	131	4
5	Alpla Hard 2	4	2	2	109	114	4
6	Bregenz 2	4	1	3	114	123	2
7	HC Linz 2	4	1	3	113	123	2
8	Schwaz HT 2	4	1	3	116	126	2

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	HC Linz 2	Alpla Hard 2
SK Konstant Traun/Edelweiss	43-29 W	21-23 L
Medalp Tirol	22-28 L	30-38 L
Bregenz 2	33-31 W	28-25 W
Schwaz HT 2	28-28 D	30-28 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

HC Linz 2

WDWDLWLWLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
04/10	UHC Salzburg Austria HLA2	22-24	L
19/09	Spiders Wels Austria HLA2	26-42	L
12/09	SK Konstant Traun/Edelweiss Austria HLA2	43-29	W
06/09	Medalp Tirol Austria HLA2	22-28	L
30/05	SK Keplinger-Traun Austria HLA2	28-22	W
23/05	UHC Salzburg Austria HLA2	30-32	L
09/05	Spiders Wels Austria HLA2	26-26	D
03/05	Bregenz 2 Austria HLA2	33-31	W
30/04	Schwaz HT 2 Austria HLA2	28-28	D
19/04	SK Keplinger-Traun Austria HLA2	29-26	W

Alpla Hard 2

WLLLWLWWLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
03/10	SK Konstant Traun/Edelweiss Austria HLA2	21-23	L
20/09	Medalp Tirol Austria HLA2	30-38	L
13/09	Bregenz 2 Austria HLA2	28-25	W
05/09	Schwaz HT 2 Austria HLA2	30-28	W
30/05	SG Krems/Langenlois Austria HLA2	24-37	L
23/05	Medalp Tirol Austria HLA2	29-25	W
09/05	Fivers WAT Margareten 2 Austria HLA2	20-32	L
03/05	WAT Atzgersdorf Austria HLA2	25-37	L
30/04	Sportunion St Polten Austria HLA2	22-41	L
18/04	SG Krems/Langenlois Austria HLA2	27-26	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in HC Linz 2 vs Alpla Hard 2?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (HC Linz 2 57% · Alpla Hard 2 43%).

How many points are expected in HC Linz 2 vs Alpla Hard 2?

The model estimates 57.2 total points (HC Linz 2 30.3 · Alpla Hard 2 26.9).