Handball · Spain Liga Asobal · 14/11, 18:00

Prediction: BM Logrono La Rioja vs BM Granollers

Team pages: BM Logrono La Rioja · BM Granollers

Prediction summary

Estimated points

64.4Total

BM Logrono La Rioja32.5

BM Granollers32

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

57% 43%

BM Logrono La Rioja BM Granollers

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

BM Logrono La Rioja 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WLLWWWWDWD

BM Granollers 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LWWWWLWDWL

Head-to-head

BM Logrono La Rioja 2–1–3 BM Granollers (6 last)

BM Granollers24-24BM Logrono La Rioja
BM Logrono La Rioja33-29BM Granollers
BM Granollers28-27BM Logrono La Rioja
BM Logrono La Rioja38-42BM Granollers
BM Logrono La Rioja34-28BM Granollers
BM Granollers30-28BM Logrono La Rioja

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · BM Logrono La Rioja 1542 · BM Granollers 1540

	BM Logrono La Rioja	BM Granollers
Our model	60%	40%
Market	48%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 64.4 points · Bet365 line 63.5 · +0.9

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points64.4BM Logrono La Rioja 32.5 · BM Granollers 32

Match keys

H2H favours BM Granollers: 3-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	BM Logrono La Rioja	BM Granollers
Points F\|A (Last 10)	33.4 / 33.1	32.7 / 31.4
Points F\|A (Last 5)	34.4 / 31.4	31.4 / 33.2
Est. result	33	32

Est. total64.4

Line O/U63.5

Diff.0.9

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.95

X8.50

22.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.95

2 (+0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 63.51.88

Under 63.51.88

Diff.: 1.8 · Est. total: 65.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95
X	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50
2	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.5%

Time*	1	X	2
17:35 +43’	1.95	8.50	2.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · BM Logrono La Rioja 2–1–3 BM Granollers

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/04/26 Spain Liga Asobal	BM Granollers	24-24	BM Logrono La Rioja
08/11/25 Spain Liga Asobal	BM Logrono La Rioja	33-29	BM Granollers
09/03/25 Spain Liga Asobal	BM Granollers	28-27	BM Logrono La Rioja
12/10/24 Spain Liga Asobal	BM Logrono La Rioja	38-42	BM Granollers
31/05/24 Spain Copa del Rey	BM Logrono La Rioja	34-28	BM Granollers
05/05/24 Spain Liga Asobal	BM Granollers	30-28	BM Logrono La Rioja

Standings · Spain Liga Asobal

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Barcelona	8	8	0	0	325	221	16
2	Bidasoa Irun	8	8	0	0	283	243	16
3	Atletico Valladolid	8	6	1	1	265	232	13
4	BM Logrono La Rioja	8	5	2	1	275	265	12
5	BM Torrelavega	8	5	1	2	250	223	11
6	BM Granollers	8	5	1	2	263	255	11
7	Caserio Ciudad Real	8	3	2	3	239	254	8
8	Ademar Leon	8	3	0	5	280	283	6
9	BM Triana	8	3	0	5	253	268	6
10	Ciudad Encantada	8	2	2	4	260	279	6
11	CMB Sporting Alicante	8	3	0	5	239	265	6
12	Puerto Sagunto	8	2	1	5	237	240	5
13	Villa De Aranda	8	1	2	5	238	270	4
14	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil	8	1	1	6	230	266	3
15	BM Nava	8	1	1	6	242	288	3
16	BM Cangas	8	1	0	7	252	279	2

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	BM Logrono La Rioja	BM Granollers
Caserio Ciudad Real	29-29 D	33-34 L
BM Cangas	39-32 W	38-34 W
Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil	32-32 D	32-31 W
Ciudad Encantada	36-32 W	36-36 D
Puerto Sagunto	36-32 W	27-24 W
BM Triana	33-27 W	31-29 W
FC Barcelona	32-48 L	25-36 L
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 1 L	4 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: BM Logrono La Rioja (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

BM Logrono La Rioja

WLLWWWWDWD

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
30/10	Caserio Ciudad Real Spain Liga Asobal	29-29	D
24/10	BM Cangas Spain Liga Asobal	39-32	W
17/10	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil Spain Liga Asobal	32-32	D
09/10	Ciudad Encantada Spain Liga Asobal	36-32	W
03/10	Puerto Sagunto Spain Liga Asobal	36-32	W
26/09	BM Nava Spain Liga Asobal	38-33	W
18/09	BM Triana Spain Liga Asobal	33-27	W
11/09	FC Barcelona Spain Liga Asobal	32-48	L
31/05	FC Barcelona Spain Liga Asobal	28-41	L
22/05	BM Huesca Spain Liga Asobal	31-25	W

BM Granollers

LWWWWLWDWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
01/11	FC Barcelona Spain Liga Asobal	25-36	L
25/10	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil Spain Liga Asobal	32-31	W
22/10	Ciudad Encantada Spain Liga Asobal	36-36	D
18/10	BM Triana Spain Liga Asobal	31-29	W
09/10	Caserio Ciudad Real Spain Liga Asobal	33-34	L
26/09	CMB Sporting Alicante Spain Liga Asobal	41-31	W
19/09	Puerto Sagunto Spain Liga Asobal	27-24	W
11/09	BM Cangas Spain Liga Asobal	38-34	W
31/05	Caserio Ciudad Real Spain Liga Asobal	38-29	W
23/05	BM Base Oviedo Spain Liga Asobal	26-30	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in BM Logrono La Rioja vs BM Granollers?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (BM Logrono La Rioja 57% · BM Granollers 43%).

How many points are expected in BM Logrono La Rioja vs BM Granollers?

The model estimates 64.4 total points (BM Logrono La Rioja 32.5 · BM Granollers 32).