Handball · Spain Liga Asobal · 14/11, 17:00

Prediction: BM Torrelavega vs Ademar Leon

Team pages: BM Torrelavega · Ademar Leon

Prediction summary

Estimated points

64.2Total

BM Torrelavega33.7

Ademar Leon30.5

1X2

78% 22%

BM Torrelavega Ademar Leon

Recent form · 10 last

BM Torrelavega 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LWLWWWLDWW

Ademar Leon 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LLLLWLLWWL

Head-to-head

BM Torrelavega 3–2–1 Ademar Leon (6 last)

BM Torrelavega40-33Ademar Leon
Ademar Leon28-28BM Torrelavega
BM Torrelavega23-23Ademar Leon
Ademar Leon28-35BM Torrelavega
Ademar Leon40-30BM Torrelavega
BM Torrelavega31-30Ademar Leon

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · BM Torrelavega 1569 · Ademar Leon 1448

	BM Torrelavega	Ademar Leon
Our model	75%	25%
Market	73%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 64.2 points · Bet365 line 63.5 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points64.2BM Torrelavega 33.7 · Ademar Leon 30.5

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours BM Torrelavega (rating 1569 vs 1448).
BM Torrelavega is a clear favourite (78% market).
H2H favours BM Torrelavega: 3-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	BM Torrelavega	Ademar Leon
Points F\|A (Last 10)	31.3 / 29	34 / 34.6
Points F\|A (Last 5)	30.6 / 28.8	35.4 / 35.4
Est. result	34	31

Est. total64.2

Line O/U63.5

Diff.0.7

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.30

X11.00

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-3.5)1.80

2 (+3.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 63.51.88

Under 63.51.88

Diff.: 0.95 · Est. total: 64.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.30 → 1.30	Bet365 1.30
X	11.00 → 11.00	Bet365 11.00
2	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6%

Time*	1	X	2
16:45 +32’	1.30	11.00	5.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · BM Torrelavega 3–2–1 Ademar Leon

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Spain Liga Asobal	BM Torrelavega	40-33	Ademar Leon
29/11/25 Spain Liga Asobal	Ademar Leon	28-28	BM Torrelavega
30/03/25 Spain Liga Asobal	BM Torrelavega	23-23	Ademar Leon
26/10/24 Spain Liga Asobal	Ademar Leon	28-35	BM Torrelavega
05/05/24 Spain Liga Asobal	Ademar Leon	40-30	BM Torrelavega
03/12/23 Spain Liga Asobal	BM Torrelavega	31-30	Ademar Leon

Standings · Spain Liga Asobal

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Barcelona	8	8	0	0	325	221	16
2	Bidasoa Irun	8	8	0	0	283	243	16
3	Atletico Valladolid	8	6	1	1	265	232	13
4	BM Logrono La Rioja	8	5	2	1	275	265	12
5	BM Torrelavega	8	5	1	2	250	223	11
6	BM Granollers	8	5	1	2	263	255	11
7	Caserio Ciudad Real	8	3	2	3	239	254	8
8	Ademar Leon	8	3	0	5	280	283	6
9	BM Triana	8	3	0	5	253	268	6
10	Ciudad Encantada	8	2	2	4	260	279	6
11	CMB Sporting Alicante	8	3	0	5	239	265	6
12	Puerto Sagunto	8	2	1	5	237	240	5
13	Villa De Aranda	8	1	2	5	238	270	4
14	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil	8	1	1	6	230	266	3
15	BM Nava	8	1	1	6	242	288	3
16	BM Cangas	8	1	0	7	252	279	2

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	BM Torrelavega	Ademar Leon
Atletico Valladolid	29-28 W	27-28 L
Ciudad Encantada	31-31 D	32-35 L
BM Cangas	28-31 L	33-32 W
Villa De Aranda	28-21 W	40-35 W
BM Nava	33-19 W	36-38 L
CMB Sporting Alicante	29-32 L	35-32 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: BM Torrelavega (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

BM Torrelavega

LWLWWWLDWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
30/10	Atletico Valladolid Spain Liga Asobal	29-28	W
25/10	BM Triana Spain Liga Asobal	37-33	W
17/10	Ciudad Encantada Spain Liga Asobal	31-31	D
10/10	BM Cangas Spain Liga Asobal	28-31	L
03/10	Villa De Aranda Spain Liga Asobal	28-21	W
26/09	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil Spain Liga Asobal	35-28	W
19/09	BM Nava Spain Liga Asobal	33-19	W
12/09	CMB Sporting Alicante Spain Liga Asobal	29-32	L
31/05	BM Guadalajara Spain Liga Asobal	39-31	W
22/05	FC Barcelona Spain Liga Asobal	24-36	L

Ademar Leon

LLLLWLLWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/10	Bidasoa Irun Spain Liga Asobal	33-37	L
25/10	CMB Sporting Alicante Spain Liga Asobal	35-32	W
16/10	Villa De Aranda Spain Liga Asobal	40-35	W
10/10	BM Nava Spain Liga Asobal	36-38	L
02/10	Caserio Ciudad Real Spain Liga Asobal	33-35	L
25/09	BM Cangas Spain Liga Asobal	33-32	W
20/09	Ciudad Encantada Spain Liga Asobal	32-35	L
13/09	Puerto Sagunto Spain Liga Asobal	38-39	L
30/05	Villa De Aranda Spain Liga Asobal	33-35	L
23/05	Atletico Valladolid Spain Liga Asobal	27-28	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in BM Torrelavega vs Ademar Leon?

Our model gives 78% to BM Torrelavega.

How many points are expected in BM Torrelavega vs Ademar Leon?

The model estimates 64.2 total points (BM Torrelavega 33.7 · Ademar Leon 30.5).