Handball · Spain Liga Asobal · 14/11, 18:00

Prediction: Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil vs BM Cangas

Team pages: Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil · BM Cangas

Prediction summary

Estimated points

62.7Total

Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil31.4

BM Cangas31.3

1X2

59% 41%

Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil BM Cangas

Markets

Over 58.5 points 75%

Recent form · 10 last

Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

WLWLLLLDLL

BM Cangas 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

DWLLLLWLLL

Head-to-head

Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil 2–1–3 BM Cangas (6 last)

BM Cangas32-30Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil
Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil28-34BM Cangas
BM Cangas26-25Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil
Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil35-34BM Cangas
BM Cangas27-27Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil
Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil24-22BM Cangas

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil 1440 · BM Cangas 1465

	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil	BM Cangas
Our model	56%	44%
Market	54%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 62.7 points · Bet365 line 58.5 · +4.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points62.7Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil 31.4 · BM Cangas 31.3

Match keys

H2H favours BM Cangas: 3-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil	BM Cangas
Points F\|A (Last 10)	28.8 / 32.5	31.2 / 33.7
Points F\|A (Last 5)	28.8 / 32.4	30.8 / 35
Est. result	31	31

Est. total62.7

Line O/U58.5

Diff.4.2

Over / Under75% / 25%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.75

X8.00

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)2.00

2 (+1.5)1.78

Line ⓘ

Over 58.51.88

Under 58.51.88

Diff.: 4.6 · Est. total: 63.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.75 → 1.75	Bet365 1.75
X	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00
2	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.7%

Time*	1	X	2
17:12 +6’	1.75	8.00	2.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil 2–1–3 BM Cangas

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/05/26 Spain Liga Asobal	BM Cangas	32-30	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil
20/12/25 Spain Liga Asobal	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil	28-34	BM Cangas
23/02/25 Spain Liga Asobal	BM Cangas	26-25	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil
28/09/24 Spain Liga Asobal	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil	35-34	BM Cangas
11/02/24 Spain Liga Asobal	BM Cangas	27-27	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil
16/09/23 Spain Liga Asobal	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil	24-22	BM Cangas

Standings · Spain Liga Asobal

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Barcelona	8	8	0	0	325	221	16
2	Bidasoa Irun	8	8	0	0	283	243	16
3	Atletico Valladolid	8	6	1	1	265	232	13
4	BM Logrono La Rioja	8	5	2	1	275	265	12
5	BM Torrelavega	8	5	1	2	250	223	11
6	BM Granollers	8	5	1	2	263	255	11
7	Caserio Ciudad Real	8	3	2	3	239	254	8
8	Ademar Leon	8	3	0	5	280	283	6
9	BM Triana	8	3	0	5	253	268	6
10	Ciudad Encantada	8	2	2	4	260	279	6
11	CMB Sporting Alicante	8	3	0	5	239	265	6
12	Puerto Sagunto	8	2	1	5	237	240	5
13	Villa De Aranda	8	1	2	5	238	270	4
14	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil	8	1	1	6	230	266	3
15	BM Nava	8	1	1	6	242	288	3
16	BM Cangas	8	1	0	7	252	279	2

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil	BM Cangas
BM Granollers	31-32 L	34-38 L
BM Logrono La Rioja	32-32 D	32-39 L
Atletico Valladolid	24-33 L	36-40 L
Bidasoa Irun	25-31 L	32-33 L
BM Torrelavega	28-35 L	31-28 W
FC Barcelona	27-39 L	28-37 L
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 5 L	1 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: BM Cangas (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/10	Villa De Aranda Spain Liga Asobal	32-34	L
25/10	BM Granollers Spain Liga Asobal	31-32	L
17/10	BM Logrono La Rioja Spain Liga Asobal	32-32	D
11/10	Atletico Valladolid Spain Liga Asobal	24-33	L
03/10	Bidasoa Irun Spain Liga Asobal	25-31	L
26/09	BM Torrelavega Spain Liga Asobal	28-35	L
20/09	FC Barcelona Spain Liga Asobal	27-39	L
12/09	BM Triana Spain Liga Asobal	31-30	W
31/05	BM Cangas Spain Liga Asobal	30-32	L
22/05	Villa De Aranda Spain Liga Asobal	28-27	W

BM Cangas

DWLLLLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
01/11	CMB Sporting Alicante Spain Liga Asobal	27-31	L
24/10	BM Logrono La Rioja Spain Liga Asobal	32-39	L
18/10	FC Barcelona Spain Liga Asobal	28-37	L
10/10	BM Torrelavega Spain Liga Asobal	31-28	W
02/10	Atletico Valladolid Spain Liga Asobal	36-40	L
25/09	Ademar Leon Spain Liga Asobal	32-33	L
19/09	Bidasoa Irun Spain Liga Asobal	32-33	L
11/09	BM Granollers Spain Liga Asobal	34-38	L
31/05	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil Spain Liga Asobal	32-30	W
22/05	Caserio Ciudad Real Spain Liga Asobal	28-28	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil vs BM Cangas?

Our model gives 59% to Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil.

How many points are expected in Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil vs BM Cangas?

The model estimates 62.7 total points (Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil 31.4 · BM Cangas 31.3).