Handball · Denmark 1st Division Women · 14/11, 14:00
Prediction: Ajax Kobenhavn (W) vs GOG (W)
Team pages: Ajax Kobenhavn (W)
Prediction summary
Estimated points
51.4Total
Ajax Kobenhavn (W)26.6
GOG (W)24.8
1X2
Ajax Kobenhavn (W)
GOG (W)
Recent form · 10 last
Ajax Kobenhavn (W)
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
GOG (W)
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ajax Kobenhavn (W) 1555 · GOG (W) 1505
| Ajax Kobenhavn (W) | GOG (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 33% |
| Market | 69% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
51.4 points · Bet365 line 52.5 · -1.1
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points51.4Ajax Kobenhavn (W) 26.6 · GOG (W) 24.8
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ajax Kobenhavn (W) (rating 1555 vs 1505).
- Ajax Kobenhavn (W) is a clear favourite (73% market).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Ajax Kobenhavn (W) | GOG (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 28.3 / 24.5 | 25.8 / 24.6 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 29.2 / 25.6 | 25.8 / 23 |
| Est. result | 27 | 25 |
Est. total51.4
Line O/U52.5
Diff.1.1
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Standings · Denmark 1st Division Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roskilde (W) | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 242 | 222 | 14 |
| 2 | Ajax Kobenhavn (W) | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 259 | 227 | 14 |
| 3 | AGF (W) | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 235 | 212 | 14 |
| 4 | GOG (W) | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 233 | 220 | 10 |
| 5 | Aarhus United (W) | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 236 | 240 | 10 |
| 6 | SIK Viborg (W) | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 221 | 231 | 10 |
| 7 | Hadsten (W) | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 221 | 229 | 9 |
| 8 | Fredericia HK (W) | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 228 | 225 | 9 |
| 9 | Ejstrup/Haervejen HK (W) | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 272 | 261 | 8 |
| 10 | Rodovre HK (W) | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 196 | 215 | 6 |
| 11 | DHG Odense (W) | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 244 | 278 | 4 |
| 12 | Bjerringbro FH (W) | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 236 | 263 | 0 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ajax Kobenhavn (W) | GOG (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Ejstrup/Haervejen HK (W) | 36-31 W | 30-25 W |
| DHG Odense (W) | 38-27 W | 28-21 W |
| Roskilde (W) | 25-27 L | 19-26 L |
| Fredericia HK (W) | 26-25 W | 19-21 L |
| AGF (W) | 30-23 W | 19-29 L |
| Hadsten (W) | 33-28 W | 28-18 W |
| SIK Viborg (W) | 22-23 L | 25-26 L |
| Bjerringbro FH (W) | 28-25 W | 33-30 W |
| Record vs common | 6 W 0 D 2 L | 4 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Ajax Kobenhavn (W) (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ajax Kobenhavn (W)
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Ejstrup/Haervejen HK (W) Denmark 1st Division Women |
36-31 | W |
| 31/10 | DHG Odense (W) Denmark 1st Division Women |
38-27 | W |
| 16/10 | Roskilde (W) Denmark 1st Division Women |
25-27 | L |
| 09/10 | Rodovre HK (W) Denmark 1st Division Women |
21-18 | W |
| 04/10 | Fredericia HK (W) Denmark 1st Division Women |
26-25 | W |
| 19/09 | AGF (W) Denmark 1st Division Women |
30-23 | W |
| 13/09 | Hadsten (W) Denmark 1st Division Women |
33-28 | W |
| 05/09 | SIK Viborg (W) Denmark 1st Division Women |
22-23 | L |
| 30/08 | Bjerringbro FH (W) Denmark 1st Division Women |
28-25 | W |
| 25/04 | Rodovre HK (W) Denmark 1st Division Women |
24-18 | W |
GOG (W)
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Hadsten (W) Denmark 1st Division Women |
28-18 | W |
| 01/11 | SIK Viborg (W) Denmark 1st Division Women |
25-26 | L |
| 31/10 | SIK Handbold (W) Denmark 1st Division Women |
25-26 | L |
| 18/10 | Fredericia HK (W) Denmark 1st Division Women |
19-21 | L |
| 10/10 | Aarhus United (W) Denmark 1st Division Women |
32-24 | W |
| 04/10 | AGF (W) Denmark 1st Division Women |
19-29 | L |
| 19/09 | Ejstrup/Haervejen HK (W) Denmark 1st Division Women |
30-25 | W |
| 11/09 | DHG Odense (W) Denmark 1st Division Women |
28-21 | W |
| 06/09 | Bjerringbro FH (W) Denmark 1st Division Women |
33-30 | W |
| 28/08 | Roskilde (W) Denmark 1st Division Women |
19-26 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ajax Kobenhavn (W) vs GOG (W)?
Our model gives 73% to Ajax Kobenhavn (W).
How many points are expected in Ajax Kobenhavn (W) vs GOG (W)?
The model estimates 51.4 total points (Ajax Kobenhavn (W) 26.6 · GOG (W) 24.8).