Handball · Czechia Extraliga · 15/11, 10:30

Prediction: HC Zubri vs Nove Veseli

Team pages: HC Zubri · Nove Veseli

Prediction summary

Estimated points

58.4Total

HC Zubri29.2

Nove Veseli29.3

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

68% 32%

HC Zubri Nove Veseli

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Markets

Under 63.5 points 90%

Recent form · 10 last

HC Zubri 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WLWWWLDWLW

Nove Veseli 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WWWLLWLWDW

Head-to-head

HC Zubri 3–3 Nove Veseli (6 last)

HC Zubri34-32Nove Veseli
Nove Veseli23-27HC Zubri
Nove Veseli34-24HC Zubri
HC Zubri31-27Nove Veseli
Nove Veseli32-29HC Zubri
HC Zubri32-33Nove Veseli

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · HC Zubri 1518 · Nove Veseli 1537

	HC Zubri	Nove Veseli
Our model	57%	43%
Market	68%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 58.4 points · Bet365 line 63.5 · -5.1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points58.4HC Zubri 29.2 · Nove Veseli 29.3

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	HC Zubri	Nove Veseli
Points F\|A (Last 10)	30.3 / 28.8	30.4 / 27.5
Points F\|A (Last 5)	30 / 31.4	33 / 28.4
Est. result	29	29

Est. total58.4

Line O/U63.5

Diff.5.1

Over / Under10% / 90%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.32

X9.50

24.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-3.5)1.85

2 (+3.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 63.51.85

Under 63.51.85

Diff.: 5 · Est. total: 58.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.32 → 1.32	Bet365 1.32
X	9.50 → 9.50	Bet365 9.50
2	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
10:13 +8’	1.32	9.50	4.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · HC Zubri 3–0–3 Nove Veseli

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
10/12/25 Czechia Extraliga	HC Zubri	34-32	Nove Veseli
20/09/25 Czechia Extraliga	Nove Veseli	23-27	HC Zubri
16/04/25 Czechia Extraliga	Nove Veseli	34-24	HC Zubri
11/04/25 Czechia Extraliga	HC Zubri	31-27	Nove Veseli
23/11/24 Czechia Extraliga	Nove Veseli	32-29	HC Zubri
07/09/24 Czechia Extraliga	HC Zubri	32-33	Nove Veseli

Standings · Czechia Extraliga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Banik Karvina	10	8	2	0	325	279	18
2	Talent Plzen	10	7	2	1	313	283	16
3	HK Lovosice	10	7	1	2	321	287	15
4	Dukla Praha	9	7	0	2	324	256	14
5	Nove Veseli	10	6	1	3	304	275	13
6	HC Zubri	10	6	1	3	303	288	13
7	KP Brno 1920	9	5	0	4	262	271	10
8	HBC Jicin	10	3	0	7	273	302	6
9	KH Koprivnice	10	2	0	8	262	298	4
10	HBC Strakonice 1921	10	1	1	8	287	326	3
11	HC Frydek-Mistek	10	1	1	8	265	312	3
12	HC Zlin	10	1	1	8	269	331	3

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	HC Zubri	Nove Veseli
HC Frydek-Mistek	33-29 W	34-29 W
HK Lovosice	27-36 L	27-28 L
Dukla Praha	33-32 W	26-34 L
HBC Strakonice 1921	30-30 D	33-29 W
Talent Plzen	27-30 L	23-29 L
HBC Jicin	33-28 W	27-23 W
KH Koprivnice	30-26 W	30-22 W
KP Brno 1920	28-19 W	33-25 W
Banik Karvina	30-31 L	32-32 D
HC Zlin	32-27 W	39-24 W
Record vs common	6 W 1 D 3 L	6 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Nove Veseli (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

HC Zubri

WLWWWLDWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
01/11	HC Frydek-Mistek Czechia Extraliga	33-29	W
28/10	HK Lovosice Czechia Extraliga	27-36	L
20/10	Dukla Praha Czechia Extraliga	33-32	W
14/10	HBC Strakonice 1921 Czechia Extraliga	30-30	D
11/10	Talent Plzen Czechia Extraliga	27-30	L
03/10	HBC Jicin Czechia Extraliga	33-28	W
26/09	KH Koprivnice Czechia Extraliga	30-26	W
23/09	KP Brno 1920 Czechia Extraliga	28-19	W
15/09	Banik Karvina Czechia Extraliga	30-31	L
06/09	HC Zlin Czechia Extraliga	32-27	W

Nove Veseli

WWWLLWLWDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/10	HC Zlin Czechia Extraliga	39-24	W
28/10	Banik Karvina Czechia Extraliga	32-32	D
25/10	HC Frydek-Mistek Czechia Extraliga	34-29	W
17/10	HK Lovosice Czechia Extraliga	27-28	L
10/10	HBC Strakonice 1921 Czechia Extraliga	33-29	W
03/10	Dukla Praha Czechia Extraliga	26-34	L
27/09	Talent Plzen Czechia Extraliga	23-29	L
19/09	HBC Jicin Czechia Extraliga	27-23	W
13/09	KH Koprivnice Czechia Extraliga	30-22	W
05/09	KP Brno 1920 Czechia Extraliga	33-25	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in HC Zubri vs Nove Veseli?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (HC Zubri 68% · Nove Veseli 32%).

How many points are expected in HC Zubri vs Nove Veseli?

The model estimates 58.4 total points (HC Zubri 29.2 · Nove Veseli 29.3).