Handball · Czechia Extraliga · 14/11, 19:00

Prediction: KP Brno 1920 vs HC Frydek-Mistek

Team pages: KP Brno 1920 · HC Frydek-Mistek

Prediction summary

Estimated points

58Total

KP Brno 192030.1

HC Frydek-Mistek27.9

1X2

76% 24%

KP Brno 1920 HC Frydek-Mistek

Markets

Under 61.5 points 65%

Recent form · 10 last

KP Brno 1920 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WLLLLWWWWL

HC Frydek-Mistek 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

LLLLWLLLDL

Head-to-head

KP Brno 1920 5–1 HC Frydek-Mistek (6 last)

HC Frydek-Mistek30-28KP Brno 1920
KP Brno 192027-25HC Frydek-Mistek
KP Brno 192033-28HC Frydek-Mistek
HC Frydek-Mistek29-31KP Brno 1920
KP Brno 192028-24HC Frydek-Mistek
HC Frydek-Mistek23-31KP Brno 1920

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · KP Brno 1920 1511 · HC Frydek-Mistek 1443

	KP Brno 1920	HC Frydek-Mistek
Our model	69%	31%
Market	73%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 58 points · Bet365 line 61.5 · -3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points58KP Brno 1920 30.1 · HC Frydek-Mistek 27.9

Over / Under 61.5Under · 65%recent trend · ~59.9 pts · strength 2

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours KP Brno 1920 (rating 1511 vs 1443).
KP Brno 1920 is a clear favourite (76% market).
H2H favours KP Brno 1920: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	KP Brno 1920	HC Frydek-Mistek
Points F\|A (Last 10)	28.6 / 31.4	26.5 / 31.2
Points F\|A (Last 5)	31.8 / 29.2	27 / 31.2
Est. result	30	28

Est. total58

Line O/U61.5

Diff.3.5

Over / Under35% / 65%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.22

X10.00

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-4.5)1.85

2 (+4.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 61.51.75

Under 61.51.95

Diff.: 2.65 · Est. total: 58.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.22 → 1.22	Bet365 1.22
X	10.00 → 10.00	Bet365 10.00
2	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
10:20	1.22	10.00	5.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · KP Brno 1920 5–0–1 HC Frydek-Mistek

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
08/02/26 Czechia Extraliga	HC Frydek-Mistek	30-28	KP Brno 1920
01/02/26 Czechia Extraliga	KP Brno 1920	27-25	HC Frydek-Mistek
20/04/25 Czechia Extraliga	KP Brno 1920	33-28	HC Frydek-Mistek
13/04/25 Czechia Extraliga	HC Frydek-Mistek	29-31	KP Brno 1920
14/12/24 Czechia Extraliga	KP Brno 1920	28-24	HC Frydek-Mistek
28/09/24 Czechia Extraliga	HC Frydek-Mistek	23-31	KP Brno 1920

Standings · Czechia Extraliga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Banik Karvina	10	8	2	0	325	279	18
2	Talent Plzen	10	7	2	1	313	283	16
3	HK Lovosice	10	7	1	2	321	287	15
4	Dukla Praha	9	7	0	2	324	256	14
5	Nove Veseli	10	6	1	3	304	275	13
6	HC Zubri	10	6	1	3	303	288	13
7	KP Brno 1920	9	5	0	4	262	271	10
8	HBC Jicin	10	3	0	7	273	302	6
9	KH Koprivnice	10	2	0	8	262	298	4
10	HBC Strakonice 1921	10	1	1	8	287	326	3
11	HC Frydek-Mistek	10	1	1	8	265	312	3
12	HC Zlin	10	1	1	8	269	331	3

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	KP Brno 1920	HC Frydek-Mistek
HK Lovosice	30-36 L	27-29 L
HBC Strakonice 1921	32-27 W	29-26 W
Talent Plzen	35-31 W	24-27 L
HBC Jicin	32-27 W	23-30 L
KH Koprivnice	30-25 W	27-31 L
Banik Karvina	24-38 L	23-33 L
HC Zubri	19-28 L	29-33 L
Nove Veseli	25-33 L	29-34 L
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 4 L	1 W 0 D 7 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

KP Brno 1920

WLLLLWWWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
01/11	HK Lovosice Czechia Extraliga	30-36	L
28/10	HBC Strakonice 1921 Czechia Extraliga	32-27	W
17/10	Talent Plzen Czechia Extraliga	35-31	W
10/10	HBC Jicin Czechia Extraliga	32-27	W
07/10	KH Koprivnice Czechia Extraliga	30-25	W
26/09	Banik Karvina Czechia Extraliga	24-38	L
23/09	HC Zubri Czechia Extraliga	19-28	L
05/09	Nove Veseli Czechia Extraliga	25-33	L
01/05	HK Lovosice Czechia Extraliga	23-38	L
24/04	HK Lovosice Czechia Extraliga	36-31	W

HC Frydek-Mistek

LLLLWLLLDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
01/11	HC Zubri Czechia Extraliga	29-33	L
28/10	HC Zlin Czechia Extraliga	27-27	D
25/10	Nove Veseli Czechia Extraliga	29-34	L
18/10	Banik Karvina Czechia Extraliga	23-33	L
10/10	HK Lovosice Czechia Extraliga	27-29	L
04/10	HBC Strakonice 1921 Czechia Extraliga	29-26	W
27/09	Dukla Praha Czechia Extraliga	27-42	L
20/09	Talent Plzen Czechia Extraliga	24-27	L
13/09	HBC Jicin Czechia Extraliga	23-30	L
06/09	KH Koprivnice Czechia Extraliga	27-31	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in KP Brno 1920 vs HC Frydek-Mistek?

Our model gives 76% to KP Brno 1920.

How many points are expected in KP Brno 1920 vs HC Frydek-Mistek?

The model estimates 58 total points (KP Brno 1920 30.1 · HC Frydek-Mistek 27.9).

Over or under 61.5 points?

Recent history points to under 61.5 points (65%).