Handball · Czechia Extraliga · 14/11, 19:00

Prediction: HC Zlin vs Banik Karvina

Team pages: HC Zlin · Banik Karvina

Prediction summary

Estimated points

61.8Total

HC Zlin28.3

Banik Karvina33.5

1X2

16% 84%

HC Zlin Banik Karvina

Recent form · 10 last

HC Zlin 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

LLWLLLLLDL

Banik Karvina 8-2-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWWDD

Head-to-head

HC Zlin 0–6 Banik Karvina (6 last)

HC Zlin38-41Banik Karvina
Banik Karvina41-24HC Zlin
HC Zlin27-42Banik Karvina
HC Zlin25-28Banik Karvina
Banik Karvina31-15HC Zlin
HC Zlin18-27Banik Karvina

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · HC Zlin 1406 · Banik Karvina 1566

	HC Zlin	Banik Karvina
Our model	37%	63%
Market	2%	95%

Estimated total (ours) 61.8 points · Bet365 line 60.5 · +1.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points61.8HC Zlin 28.3 · Banik Karvina 33.5

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Banik Karvina (rating 1406 vs 1566).
Banik Karvina is a clear favourite (84% market).
H2H favours Banik Karvina: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	HC Zlin	Banik Karvina
Points F\|A (Last 10)	27.1 / 33.4	32.5 / 27.9
Points F\|A (Last 5)	25.6 / 34.2	31.4 / 27.2
Est. result	28	34

Est. total61.8

Line O/U60.5

Diff.1.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

140.00

X40.00

21.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+12.5)1.85

2 (-12.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 60.51.85

Under 60.51.85

Diff.: 0.05 · Est. total: 60.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	40.00 → 40.00	Bet365 40.00
X	40.00 → 40.00	Bet365 40.00
2	1.00 → 1.00	Bet365 1.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 4.8%

Time*	1	X	2
10:16 +4’	40.00	40.00	1.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · HC Zlin 0–0–6 Banik Karvina

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/03/26 Czechia Extraliga	HC Zlin	38-41	Banik Karvina
19/11/25 Czechia Extraliga	Banik Karvina	41-24	HC Zlin
05/11/25 Czechia Cup	HC Zlin	27-42	Banik Karvina
17/11/16 Czechia Cup	HC Zlin	25-28	Banik Karvina
21/02/16 Czechia Extraliga	Banik Karvina	31-15	HC Zlin
18/10/15 Czechia Extraliga	HC Zlin	18-27	Banik Karvina

Standings · Czechia Extraliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Banik Karvina	10	8	2	0	325	279	18
2	Talent Plzen	10	7	2	1	313	283	16
3	HK Lovosice	10	7	1	2	321	287	15
4	Dukla Praha	9	7	0	2	324	256	14
5	Nove Veseli	10	6	1	3	304	275	13
6	HC Zubri	10	6	1	3	303	288	13
7	KP Brno 1920	9	5	0	4	262	271	10
8	HBC Jicin	10	3	0	7	273	302	6
9	KH Koprivnice	10	2	0	8	262	298	4
10	HBC Strakonice 1921	10	1	1	8	287	326	3
11	HC Frydek-Mistek	10	1	1	8	265	312	3
12	HC Zlin	10	1	1	8	269	331	3

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	HC Zlin	Banik Karvina
Nove Veseli	24-39 L	32-32 D
HC Frydek-Mistek	27-27 D	33-23 W
HK Lovosice	27-33 L	29-27 W
HBC Strakonice 1921	24-32 L	35-32 W
Dukla Praha	26-40 L	35-30 W
Talent Plzen	33-37 L	31-31 D
HBC Jicin	26-34 L	35-27 W
KH Koprivnice	29-22 W	26-23 W
HC Zubri	27-32 L	31-30 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 7 L	7 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Banik Karvina (8 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

HC Zlin

LLWLLLLLDL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/10	Nove Veseli Czechia Extraliga	24-39	L
28/10	HC Frydek-Mistek Czechia Extraliga	27-27	D
24/10	HK Lovosice Czechia Extraliga	27-33	L
18/10	HBC Strakonice 1921 Czechia Extraliga	24-32	L
11/10	Dukla Praha Czechia Extraliga	26-40	L
04/10	Talent Plzen Czechia Extraliga	33-37	L
26/09	HBC Jicin Czechia Extraliga	26-34	L
20/09	KH Koprivnice Czechia Extraliga	29-22	W
06/09	HC Zubri Czechia Extraliga	27-32	L
02/05	HBC Jicin Czechia Extraliga	28-38	L

Banik Karvina

WWWWWWWWDD

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/10	Talent Plzen Czechia Extraliga	31-31	D
28/10	Nove Veseli Czechia Extraliga	32-32	D
24/10	HBC Jicin Czechia Extraliga	35-27	W
18/10	HC Frydek-Mistek Czechia Extraliga	33-23	W
10/10	KH Koprivnice Czechia Extraliga	26-23	W
03/10	HK Lovosice Czechia Extraliga	29-27	W
26/09	KP Brno 1920 Czechia Extraliga	38-24	W
19/09	HBC Strakonice 1921 Czechia Extraliga	35-32	W
15/09	HC Zubri Czechia Extraliga	31-30	W
05/09	Dukla Praha Czechia Extraliga	35-30	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in HC Zlin vs Banik Karvina?

Our model gives 84% to Banik Karvina.

How many points are expected in HC Zlin vs Banik Karvina?

The model estimates 61.8 total points (HC Zlin 28.3 · Banik Karvina 33.5).