Handball · Czechia Extraliga · 15/11, 10:30

Prediction: Talent Plzen vs Dukla Praha

Team pages: Talent Plzen · Dukla Praha

Prediction summary

Estimated points

60.9Total

Talent Plzen30.4

Dukla Praha30.5

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

67% 33%

Talent Plzen Dukla Praha

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Markets

Over 57.5 points 65%

Recent form · 10 last

Talent Plzen 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WDWWWWLWWD

Dukla Praha 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WLWWWWWLWW

Head-to-head

Talent Plzen 3–1–2 Dukla Praha (6 last)

Dukla Praha24-27Talent Plzen
Dukla Praha29-29Talent Plzen
Talent Plzen31-26Dukla Praha
Talent Plzen26-32Dukla Praha
Dukla Praha26-29Talent Plzen
Talent Plzen23-24Dukla Praha

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Talent Plzen 1600 · Dukla Praha 1573

	Talent Plzen	Dukla Praha
Our model	64%	36%
Market	62%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 60.9 points · Bet365 line 57.5 · +3.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points60.9Talent Plzen 30.4 · Dukla Praha 30.5

Over / Under 57.5Over · 65%recent trend · ~60.8 pts · strength 3

Match keys

H2H favours Talent Plzen: 3-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Talent Plzen	Dukla Praha
Points F\|A (Last 10)	31.3 / 28.3	35.7 / 28.4
Points F\|A (Last 5)	31.8 / 29.4	34.2 / 27.4
Est. result	30	31

Est. total60.9

Line O/U57.5

Diff.3.4

Over / Under65% / 35%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.47

X8.50

23.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.5)1.90

2 (+2.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 57.51.85

Under 57.51.85

Diff.: 4.35 · Est. total: 61.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:21

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.47 → 1.47	Bet365 1.47
X	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50
2	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.1%

Time*	1	X	2
10:11 +11’	1.47	8.50	3.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Talent Plzen 3–1–2 Dukla Praha

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Czechia Extraliga	Dukla Praha	24-27	Talent Plzen
17/04/26 Czechia Extraliga	Dukla Praha	29-29	Talent Plzen
12/04/26 Czechia Extraliga	Talent Plzen	31-26	Dukla Praha
10/04/26 Czechia Extraliga	Talent Plzen	26-32	Dukla Praha
06/03/26 Czechia Extraliga	Dukla Praha	26-29	Talent Plzen
12/11/25 Czechia Extraliga	Talent Plzen	23-24	Dukla Praha

Standings · Czechia Extraliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Banik Karvina	10	8	2	0	325	279	18
2	Talent Plzen	10	7	2	1	313	283	16
3	HK Lovosice	10	7	1	2	321	287	15
4	Dukla Praha	9	7	0	2	324	256	14
5	Nove Veseli	10	6	1	3	304	275	13
6	HC Zubri	10	6	1	3	303	288	13
7	KP Brno 1920	9	5	0	4	262	271	10
8	HBC Jicin	10	3	0	7	273	302	6
9	KH Koprivnice	10	2	0	8	262	298	4
10	HBC Strakonice 1921	10	1	1	8	287	326	3
11	HC Frydek-Mistek	10	1	1	8	265	312	3
12	HC Zlin	10	1	1	8	269	331	3

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Talent Plzen	Dukla Praha
Banik Karvina	31-31 D	30-35 L
HBC Jicin	31-25 W	32-23 W
KH Koprivnice	36-29 W	33-29 W
HC Zubri	30-27 W	32-33 L
HC Zlin	37-33 W	40-26 W
Nove Veseli	29-23 W	34-26 W
HC Frydek-Mistek	27-24 W	42-27 W
HK Lovosice	29-29 D	39-26 W
HBC Strakonice 1921	32-27 W	42-31 W
Record vs common	7 W 2 D 0 L	7 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Dukla Praha (6 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Talent Plzen

WDWWWWLWWD

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/10	Banik Karvina Czechia Extraliga	31-31	D
28/10	HBC Jicin Czechia Extraliga	31-25	W
25/10	KH Koprivnice Czechia Extraliga	36-29	W
17/10	KP Brno 1920 Czechia Extraliga	31-35	L
11/10	HC Zubri Czechia Extraliga	30-27	W
04/10	HC Zlin Czechia Extraliga	37-33	W
27/09	Nove Veseli Czechia Extraliga	29-23	W
20/09	HC Frydek-Mistek Czechia Extraliga	27-24	W
13/09	HK Lovosice Czechia Extraliga	29-29	D
05/09	HBC Strakonice 1921 Czechia Extraliga	32-27	W

Dukla Praha

WLWWWWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/10	HBC Jicin Czechia Extraliga	32-23	W
28/10	KH Koprivnice Czechia Extraliga	33-29	W
20/10	HC Zubri Czechia Extraliga	32-33	L
11/10	HC Zlin Czechia Extraliga	40-26	W
03/10	Nove Veseli Czechia Extraliga	34-26	W
27/09	HC Frydek-Mistek Czechia Extraliga	42-27	W
19/09	HK Lovosice Czechia Extraliga	39-26	W
13/09	HBC Strakonice 1921 Czechia Extraliga	42-31	W
05/09	Banik Karvina Czechia Extraliga	30-35	L
02/05	HC Zubri Czechia Extraliga	33-28	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Talent Plzen vs Dukla Praha?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Talent Plzen 67% · Dukla Praha 33%).

How many points are expected in Talent Plzen vs Dukla Praha?

The model estimates 60.9 total points (Talent Plzen 30.4 · Dukla Praha 30.5).

Over or under 57.5 points?

Recent history points to over 57.5 points (65%).