Handball · Denmark 1st Division Women · 15/11, 13:00

Prediction: AGF (W) vs Aarhus United (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

51.3Total

AGF (W)26.6

Aarhus United (W)24.7

1X2

67% 33%

AGF (W) Aarhus United (W)

Recent form · 10 last

AGF (W) 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

LWWLLWWWWW

Aarhus United (W) 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DWWDLLWLWW

Head-to-head

AGF (W) 1–1 Aarhus United (W) (2 last)

Aarhus United (W)29-28AGF (W)
AGF (W)25-24Aarhus United (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · AGF (W) 1552 · Aarhus United (W) 1519

	AGF (W)	Aarhus United (W)
Our model	64%	36%
Market	60%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 51.3 points · Bet365 line 51.5 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points51.3AGF (W) 26.6 · Aarhus United (W) 24.7

Match keys

AGF (W) is a clear favourite (67% market).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	AGF (W)	Aarhus United (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	26.3 / 24.1	26.1 / 26
Points F\|A (Last 5)	28.2 / 23	26 / 26.4
Est. result	27	25

Est. total51.3

Line O/U51.5

Diff.0.2

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.50

X8.00

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.5)1.95

2 (+2.5)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 51.51.85

Under 51.51.85

Diff.: 0.25 · Est. total: 51.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.50	Bet365 1.50
X	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00
2	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.4%

Time*	1	X	2
18:06 +13’	1.50	8.00	3.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · AGF (W) 1–0–1 Aarhus United (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/03/26 Denmark 1st Division Women	Aarhus United (W)	29-28	AGF (W)
22/11/25 Denmark 1st Division Women	AGF (W)	25-24	Aarhus United (W)

Standings · Denmark 1st Division Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Roskilde (W)	9	7	0	2	242	222	14
2	Ajax Kobenhavn (W)	9	7	0	2	259	227	14
3	AGF (W)	9	7	0	2	235	212	14
4	GOG (W)	9	5	0	4	233	220	10
5	Aarhus United (W)	9	4	2	3	236	240	10
6	SIK Viborg (W)	9	5	0	4	221	231	10
7	Hadsten (W)	9	4	1	4	221	229	9
8	Fredericia HK (W)	9	4	1	4	228	225	9
9	Ejstrup/Haervejen HK (W)	9	4	0	5	272	261	8
10	Rodovre HK (W)	9	3	0	6	196	215	6
11	DHG Odense (W)	9	2	0	7	244	278	4
12	Bjerringbro FH (W)	9	0	0	9	236	263	0

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	AGF (W)	Aarhus United (W)
DHG Odense (W)	30-24 W	31-29 W
Bjerringbro FH (W)	32-28 W	30-29 W
Rodovre HK (W)	20-19 W	19-20 L
SIK Viborg (W)	30-25 W	27-21 W
GOG (W)	29-19 W	24-32 L
Roskilde (W)	24-28 L	24-30 L
Hadsten (W)	19-14 W	22-22 D
Ejstrup/Haervejen HK (W)	28-25 W	33-31 W
Record vs common	7 W 0 D 1 L	4 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: AGF (W) (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AGF (W)

LWWLLWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
06/11	DHG Odense (W) Denmark 1st Division Women	30-24	W
30/10	Bjerringbro FH (W) Denmark 1st Division Women	32-28	W
17/10	Rodovre HK (W) Denmark 1st Division Women	20-19	W
10/10	SIK Viborg (W) Denmark 1st Division Women	30-25	W
04/10	GOG (W) Denmark 1st Division Women	29-19	W
19/09	Ajax Kobenhavn (W) Denmark 1st Division Women	23-30	L
12/09	Roskilde (W) Denmark 1st Division Women	24-28	L
05/09	Hadsten (W) Denmark 1st Division Women	19-14	W
28/08	Ejstrup/Haervejen HK (W) Denmark 1st Division Women	28-25	W
29/03	Aarhus United (W) Denmark 1st Division Women	28-29	L

Aarhus United (W)

DWWDLLWLWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
08/11	SIK Handbold (W) Denmark 1st Division Women	25-20	W
08/11	SIK Viborg (W) Denmark 1st Division Women	27-21	W
31/10	Roskilde (W) Denmark 1st Division Women	24-30	L
27/10	Bjerringbro FH (W) Denmark 1st Division Women	30-29	W
10/10	GOG (W) Denmark 1st Division Women	24-32	L
03/10	Rodovre HK (W) Denmark 1st Division Women	19-20	L
26/09	Fredericia HK (W) Denmark 1st Division Women	26-26	D
13/09	Ejstrup/Haervejen HK (W) Denmark 1st Division Women	33-31	W
06/09	DHG Odense (W) Denmark 1st Division Women	31-29	W
30/08	Hadsten (W) Denmark 1st Division Women	22-22	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AGF (W) vs Aarhus United (W)?

Our model gives 67% to AGF (W).

How many points are expected in AGF (W) vs Aarhus United (W)?

The model estimates 51.3 total points (AGF (W) 26.6 · Aarhus United (W) 24.7).