Handball · Denmark Handboldligaen · 14/11, 16:00

Prediction: Team Tvis Holstebro vs Mors-Thy Handbold

Team pages: Team Tvis Holstebro · Mors-Thy Handbold

Prediction summary

Estimated points

63.1Total

Team Tvis Holstebro32.5

Mors-Thy Handbold30.6

1X2

63% 37%

Team Tvis Holstebro Mors-Thy Handbold

Recent form · 10 last

Team Tvis Holstebro 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

DLLWWLLLLW

Mors-Thy Handbold 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LLWWLLLLLW

Head-to-head

Team Tvis Holstebro 3–2–1 Mors-Thy Handbold (6 last)

Team Tvis Holstebro31-30Mors-Thy Handbold
Mors-Thy Handbold33-31Team Tvis Holstebro
Mors-Thy Handbold37-38Team Tvis Holstebro
Team Tvis Holstebro41-33Mors-Thy Handbold
Team Tvis Holstebro31-31Mors-Thy Handbold
Mors-Thy Handbold34-34Team Tvis Holstebro

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Team Tvis Holstebro 1494 · Mors-Thy Handbold 1468

	Team Tvis Holstebro	Mors-Thy Handbold
Our model	63%	37%
Market	55%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 63.1 points · Bet365 line 62.5 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points63.1Team Tvis Holstebro 32.5 · Mors-Thy Handbold 30.6

Match keys

H2H favours Team Tvis Holstebro: 3-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Team Tvis Holstebro	Mors-Thy Handbold
Points F\|A (Last 10)	31 / 31.7	28.8 / 32.4
Points F\|A (Last 5)	30.2 / 33.6	26.4 / 32.2
Est. result	33	31

Est. total63.1

Line O/U62.5

Diff.0.6

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.72

X8.50

22.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.95

2 (+1.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 62.51.88

Under 62.51.88

Diff.: 0.55 · Est. total: 61.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.72 → 1.72	Bet365 1.72
X	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50
2	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 5.6%

Time*	1	X	2
15:18 +59’	1.72	8.50	2.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Team Tvis Holstebro 3–2–1 Mors-Thy Handbold

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/05/26 Denmark Handboldligaen	Team Tvis Holstebro	31-30	Mors-Thy Handbold
06/04/26 Denmark Handboldligaen	Mors-Thy Handbold	33-31	Team Tvis Holstebro
07/03/26 Denmark Handboldligaen	Mors-Thy Handbold	37-38	Team Tvis Holstebro
05/11/25 Denmark Handboldligaen	Team Tvis Holstebro	41-33	Mors-Thy Handbold
11/12/24 Denmark Handboldligaen	Team Tvis Holstebro	31-31	Mors-Thy Handbold
12/09/24 Denmark Handboldligaen	Mors-Thy Handbold	34-34	Team Tvis Holstebro

Standings · Denmark Handboldligaen

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	GOG	12	11	1	0	414	346	23
2	Aalborg Handbold	12	9	1	2	384	362	19
3	SonderjyskE	12	8	0	4	380	365	16
4	Skjern Handbold	12	8	0	4	390	357	16
5	Ribe Esbjerg HH	12	7	1	4	386	372	15
6	Bjerringbro-Silkeborg	12	7	1	4	378	375	15
7	Fredericia HK	12	7	0	5	365	336	14
8	Skanderborg Handbold	12	7	0	5	397	389	14
9	Nordsjaelland Handbold	12	4	1	7	359	370	9
10	Team Tvis Holstebro	12	4	1	7	376	381	9
11	Mors-Thy Handbold	12	4	0	8	354	389	8
12	KIF Kolding Kbh.	12	2	1	9	369	410	5
13	TMS Ringsted	12	1	1	10	362	413	3
14	Skive FH	12	1	0	11	378	427	2

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Team Tvis Holstebro	Mors-Thy Handbold
TMS Ringsted	43-30 W	32-28 W
Skanderborg Handbold	27-31 L	29-38 L
Nordsjaelland Handbold	28-36 L	21-28 L
Fredericia HK	20-33 L	29-27 W
Skive FH	38-29 W	34-30 W
Skjern Handbold	27-29 L	32-35 L
SonderjyskE	28-31 L	24-34 L
GOG	29-29 D	29-32 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 5 L	3 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Team Tvis Holstebro (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Team Tvis Holstebro

DLLWWLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
01/11	TMS Ringsted Denmark Handboldligaen	43-30	W
25/10	Skanderborg Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	27-31	L
17/10	Nordsjaelland Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	28-36	L
09/10	Ribe Esbjerg HH Denmark Handboldligaen	33-38	L
03/10	Fredericia HK Denmark Handboldligaen	20-33	L
25/09	KIF Kolding Kbh. Denmark Handboldligaen	37-31	W
15/09	Skive FH Denmark Handboldligaen	38-29	W
12/09	Skjern Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	27-29	L
08/09	SonderjyskE Denmark Handboldligaen	28-31	L
03/09	GOG Denmark Handboldligaen	29-29	D

Mors-Thy Handbold

LLWWLLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
01/11	Fredericia HK Denmark Handboldligaen	29-27	W
21/10	Bjerringbro-Silkeborg Denmark Handboldligaen	32-35	L
18/10	Aalborg Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	26-37	L
10/10	SonderjyskE Denmark Handboldligaen	24-34	L
03/10	Nordsjaelland Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	21-28	L
26/09	Skanderborg Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	29-38	L
19/09	TMS Ringsted Denmark Handboldligaen	32-28	W
11/09	Skive FH Denmark Handboldligaen	34-30	W
06/09	GOG Denmark Handboldligaen	29-32	L
02/09	Skjern Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	32-35	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Team Tvis Holstebro vs Mors-Thy Handbold?

Our model gives 63% to Team Tvis Holstebro.

How many points are expected in Team Tvis Holstebro vs Mors-Thy Handbold?

The model estimates 63.1 total points (Team Tvis Holstebro 32.5 · Mors-Thy Handbold 30.6).