Handball · Denmark Handboldligaen · 16/11, 19:00

Prediction: Fredericia HK vs Skjern Handbold

Team pages: Fredericia HK · Skjern Handbold

Prediction summary

Estimated points

60.8Total

Fredericia HK30.5

Skjern Handbold30.3

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

56% 44%

Fredericia HK Skjern Handbold

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Fredericia HK 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WLWLLWWWWL

Skjern Handbold 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WLWWLWWLWW

Head-to-head

Fredericia HK 2–4 Skjern Handbold (6 last)

Skjern Handbold37-31Fredericia HK
Fredericia HK32-34Skjern Handbold
Fredericia HK27-32Skjern Handbold
Skjern Handbold30-28Fredericia HK
Skjern Handbold27-31Fredericia HK
Fredericia HK29-28Skjern Handbold

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Fredericia HK 1525 · Skjern Handbold 1558

	Fredericia HK	Skjern Handbold
Our model	55%	45%
Market	51%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 60.8 points · Bet365 line 61.5 · -0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points60.8Fredericia HK 30.5 · Skjern Handbold 30.3

Match keys

H2H favours Skjern Handbold: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Fredericia HK	Skjern Handbold
Points F\|A (Last 10)	30.7 / 28.1	32.1 / 29.2
Points F\|A (Last 5)	31.8 / 27.6	32.4 / 28.8
Est. result	31	30

Est. total60.8

Line O/U61.5

Diff.0.7

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.88

X8.50

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.88

2 (+0.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 61.51.88

Under 61.51.88

Diff.: 1.45 · Est. total: 60.05

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 21:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.75 → 1.88▲	Bet365 1.88
X	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50
2	2.70 → 2.50▼	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 5%

Time*	1	X	2
15:17 +1’	1.75	8.50	2.70
21:12 +7’	1.88▲	8.50	2.50▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Fredericia HK 2–0–4 Skjern Handbold

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 Denmark Handboldligaen	Skjern Handbold	37-31	Fredericia HK
18/04/26 Denmark Handboldligaen	Fredericia HK	32-34	Skjern Handbold
07/02/26 Denmark Handboldligaen	Fredericia HK	27-32	Skjern Handbold
04/10/25 Denmark Handboldligaen	Skjern Handbold	30-28	Fredericia HK
11/12/24 Denmark Handboldligaen	Skjern Handbold	27-31	Fredericia HK
15/09/24 Denmark Handboldligaen	Fredericia HK	29-28	Skjern Handbold

Standings · Denmark Handboldligaen

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	GOG	12	11	1	0	414	346	23
2	Aalborg Handbold	12	9	1	2	384	362	19
3	SonderjyskE	12	8	0	4	380	365	16
4	Skjern Handbold	12	8	0	4	390	357	16
5	Ribe Esbjerg HH	12	7	1	4	386	372	15
6	Bjerringbro-Silkeborg	12	7	1	4	378	375	15
7	Fredericia HK	12	7	0	5	365	336	14
8	Skanderborg Handbold	12	7	0	5	397	389	14
9	Nordsjaelland Handbold	12	4	1	7	359	370	9
10	Team Tvis Holstebro	12	4	1	7	376	381	9
11	Mors-Thy Handbold	12	4	0	8	354	389	8
12	KIF Kolding Kbh.	12	2	1	9	369	410	5
13	TMS Ringsted	12	1	1	10	362	413	3
14	Skive FH	12	1	0	11	378	427	2

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Fredericia HK	Skjern Handbold
Mors-Thy Handbold	27-29 L	35-32 W
KIF Kolding Kbh.	32-31 W	42-35 W
Skive FH	36-29 W	32-24 W
Skanderborg Handbold	31-29 W	38-25 W
Team Tvis Holstebro	33-20 W	29-27 W
SonderjyskE	30-31 L	25-30 L
Bjerringbro-Silkeborg	26-28 L	34-31 W
Aalborg Handbold	33-26 W	30-33 L
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 3 L	6 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Skjern Handbold (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Fredericia HK

WLWLLWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
01/11	Mors-Thy Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	27-29	L
22/10	KIF Kolding Kbh. Denmark Handboldligaen	32-31	W
18/10	Skive FH Denmark Handboldligaen	36-29	W
11/10	Skanderborg Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	31-29	W
03/10	Team Tvis Holstebro Denmark Handboldligaen	33-20	W
28/09	SonderjyskE Denmark Handboldligaen	30-31	L
19/09	GOG Denmark Handboldligaen	28-32	L
11/09	TMS Ringsted Denmark Handboldligaen	31-26	W
07/09	Bjerringbro-Silkeborg Denmark Handboldligaen	26-28	L
02/09	Aalborg Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	33-26	W

Skjern Handbold

WLWWLWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
30/10	Skive FH Denmark Handboldligaen	32-24	W
24/10	Ribe Esbjerg HH Denmark Handboldligaen	29-24	W
17/10	SonderjyskE Denmark Handboldligaen	25-30	L
10/10	Bjerringbro-Silkeborg Denmark Handboldligaen	34-31	W
03/10	KIF Kolding Kbh. Denmark Handboldligaen	42-35	W
27/09	Nordsjaelland Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	27-31	L
20/09	Skanderborg Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	38-25	W
12/09	Team Tvis Holstebro Denmark Handboldligaen	29-27	W
05/09	Aalborg Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	30-33	L
02/09	Mors-Thy Handbold Denmark Handboldligaen	35-32	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fredericia HK vs Skjern Handbold?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Fredericia HK 56% · Skjern Handbold 44%).

How many points are expected in Fredericia HK vs Skjern Handbold?

The model estimates 60.8 total points (Fredericia HK 30.5 · Skjern Handbold 30.3).